zlacker

[parent] [thread] 169 comments
1. CSSer+(OP)[view] [source] 2025-01-22 09:49:45
For less than this same price tag, we could’ve eliminated student loan debt for ~20 million Americans. It would in turn open a myriad number of opportunities, like owning a home and/or feeling more comfortable starting a family. It would stimulate the economy in predictable ways.

Instead we gave a small number of people all of this money for a moonshot in a state where they squabble over who’s allowed to use which bathroom and if I need an abortion I might die.

replies(17): >>Cthulh+Q >>buran7+T >>hcks+F7 >>nejsjs+lc >>bitlax+qg >>visarg+rg >>Octoth+Hp >>ajmurm+Wy >>JohnPr+qz >>_heimd+QE >>whimsi+qO >>JumpCr+171 >>daryl_+oG1 >>rqtwte+8Z1 >>eichi+392 >>cudgy+vU3 >>lauren+ks5
2. Cthulh+Q[view] [source] 2025-01-22 09:58:27
>>CSSer+(OP)
This is the problem with capitalists / the billionaires currently hoarding the money and the US' policy, it's all for short term gain. But the conservatives that look back to the 50's or 80's or whatever decade their rose-tinted glasses are tuned to should also realise that the good parts of that came from families not being neck-deep in debt.
replies(1): >>nejsjs+Bc
3. buran7+T[view] [source] 2025-01-22 09:58:55
>>CSSer+(OP)
Repaying student loans makes a lot of people a little richer. The current initiative makes a few people a lot richer. If you ask some people, the former is a very communist/socialist way of thinking (bad), while the latter is pure, unadulterated capitalism (good).
replies(3): >>A4ET8a+j2 >>_heimd+dG >>refurb+G83
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4. A4ET8a+j2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 10:11:18
>>buran7+T
That and a lot of people do not have the means to convince current power centers ( unless they were to organize, which they either don't, can't or are dissuaded from ) to do their bidding, while few rich ones do. And so the old saying 'rich become richer' becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
replies(1): >>buran7+54
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5. buran7+54[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 10:30:55
>>A4ET8a+j2
That was the implication indeed. Money is like gravity, the more you have the more you can pull in. This will give a person the power to do anything to make more money (change the laws as desired, or break them if needed) but also the perfect shield from any repercussions.
6. hcks+F7[view] [source] 2025-01-22 11:10:31
>>CSSer+(OP)
I know!! Also we could have given an IPhone to 500 million of people for the amount!! It’s such a waste to think they’re investing it in the future instead
7. nejsjs+lc[view] [source] 2025-01-22 11:54:36
>>CSSer+(OP)
Eliminating some student debt is a fish. Free university is the fishing rod. Do that instead.
replies(2): >>_heimd+DF >>whimsi+HO
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8. nejsjs+Bc[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 11:56:16
>>Cthulh+Q
Yes you don't want to destroy your food chain. If everyone is poor except you then you are now poor.
9. bitlax+qg[view] [source] 2025-01-22 12:26:45
>>CSSer+(OP)
Let the schools pay back the people they scammed.
10. visarg+rg[view] [source] 2025-01-22 12:26:58
>>CSSer+(OP)
The problem with allowing student debt to rack up to these levels and then cancelling it is that it would embolden universities to ask even higher tuition. A second problem is that not all students get the benefit, some already paid off their debts or a large part of it. It would be unfair to them.
replies(7): >>jimkle+mi >>Twirri+xV >>aylmao+u81 >>bun_at+v81 >>thfura+qQ1 >>_aavaa+Hk2 >>datavi+838
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11. jimkle+mi[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 12:39:08
>>visarg+rg
Yes but every policy is unfair. It literally is choosing where to give a limited resource, it can never be fully fair.

And there could be a change in the law that allows people to forgive student debt in personal bankruptcy, and that could make sure higher tuition doesnt happen.

replies(2): >>greent+Qr >>_heimd+pF
12. Octoth+Hp[view] [source] 2025-01-22 13:31:54
>>CSSer+(OP)
> Instead we gave a small number of people all of this money for a moonshot in a state where they squabble over who’s allowed to use which bathroom and if I need an abortion I might die.

AFAICT from this article and others on the same subject, the 500 billion number does not appear to be public money. It sounds like it's 100 billion of private investment (probably mostly from Son), and FTA,

> could reach five times that sum

(5x 100 billion === 500 billion, the # everyone seems to be quoting)

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13. greent+Qr[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 13:44:02
>>jimkle+mi
It would do more good in K12 or pre-K than it would paying off private debts held by white collar highly educated not rich yet due only to their young age university-bros.
replies(2): >>ajmurm+zz >>jimkle+MB1
14. ajmurm+Wy[view] [source] 2025-01-22 14:27:01
>>CSSer+(OP)
Or, prices of houses would go up even more because we still aren't allowing supply to increase and people having more money doesn't change that.
15. JohnPr+qz[view] [source] 2025-01-22 14:29:51
>>CSSer+(OP)
I'm starting to think there's no difference between this website and reddit
replies(2): >>actual+rA >>azemet+nW
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16. ajmurm+zz[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 14:30:43
>>greent+Qr
It truly is astonishing. We have kids who cannot afford school lunches, people working multiple blue-collar jobs and yet the problems of people who are statistically better off than average constantly jump to the front. People complain about Effective Altruism because of one dude messing up big but it would behoove everyone to read up on the basic philosophy of it before suggesting how we best spent billions to help reduce suffering.
replies(2): >>jimkle+ZB1 >>freeja+YQ3
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17. actual+rA[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 14:35:55
>>JohnPr+qz
https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Please don't post comments saying that HN is turning into Reddit. It's a semi-noob illusion, as old as the hills.

replies(1): >>JohnPr+B91
18. _heimd+QE[view] [source] 2025-01-22 15:03:31
>>CSSer+(OP)
Eliminating debt has a lot of unintended consequences. Price inflation would almost certainly be a problem, for example.

It's also not clear to me what happens to all of the derivatives based on student debt, though there may very well be an answer there that I just haven't understood yet.

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19. _heimd+pF[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 15:06:10
>>jimkle+mi
> Yes but every policy is unfair. It literally is choosing where to give a limited resource, it can never be fully fair.

I don't think that holds for a policy of non-intervention. People usually don't like that solution, especially when considering welfare programs, but it is fair to give no one assistance in the sense that everyone was treated equally/fairly.

Now its a totally different question whether its fair that some people are in this position today. The answer is almost certainly no, but that doesn't have a direct impact on whether an intervention today is fair or not.

replies(1): >>jimkle+BB1
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20. _heimd+DF[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 15:07:08
>>nejsjs+lc
Free to the student sounds nice, but who pays for it in the end? And does an education lose a bit of its value when anyone can get it for free?
replies(6): >>was_a_+MH >>unethi+3O >>nejsjs+UQ >>DonHop+VT1 >>davidc+oe2 >>nuance+rP6
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21. _heimd+dG[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 15:10:24
>>buran7+T
One of the more destructive situations in capitalism is the fact that (financially) helping the many will increase inflation and lead to more problems.

When a few people get really rich it kind of slips through the gaps, the broader system isn't impacted too much. When most people get a little rich they spend that money and prices go up. Said differently, wealth is all relative so when most people get a little more rich their comparative wealth didn't really change.

replies(1): >>whimsi+3P
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22. was_a_+MH[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 15:18:56
>>_heimd+DF
Free to US citizens would be a better policy, the state investing in its own people.
replies(2): >>diggan+TK >>_heimd+pP1
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23. diggan+TK[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 15:38:08
>>was_a_+MH
Granted! Now US universities consist of 99% immigrants/people on student visas.

As long as you let universities act like for-profit businesses, their profits will be the only thing they optimize for.

replies(1): >>weakfi+dO
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24. unethi+3O[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 15:56:04
>>_heimd+DF
Your mind works in a very different way than mine.

Elsewhere, you worried that getting millions of people put of crippling debt due to a broken education finance system might tick up inflation.

Here, you worry that making society more educated via university training might decrease the economic value of a degree.

Where is the humanity? Of course some extreme of inflation is bad, and of course we want people to be employable. But artificial scarcity seems like a bad way to go about it.

(And I don't think we have a surplus of engineers in the country, judging by what I perceive to be the gap in talent between china and US, and the moaning by tech about the need for H1B).

replies(4): >>nejsjs+YR >>_heimd+TP1 >>_heimd+6R1 >>no_wiz+j52
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25. weakfi+dO[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 15:57:07
>>diggan+TK
Has that happened in countries with similar policies?
replies(1): >>Fideli+nv1
26. whimsi+qO[view] [source] 2025-01-22 15:58:15
>>CSSer+(OP)
i’m sorry but student debt payoffs are probably one of the lowest socially valuable uses of this money, rather than basic things like snap or housing vouchers. sorta shows how myopic HN is, student debt is a relatable concern so it gets prioritized
replies(1): >>whimsi+mP
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27. whimsi+HO[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 16:00:35
>>nejsjs+lc
we are vastly overspending and will either need to monetize the debt (disastrous) or massively cut spending and raise taxes in the future. already now, we need to massively raise taxes on the wealthy but even that will be insufficient with our current spend.

free college is just a giveaway to the wealthier third of our society and irresponsible with our current fiscal situation.

replies(3): >>nejsjs+FQ >>aylmao+j91 >>__Matr+GX1
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28. whimsi+3P[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 16:02:46
>>_heimd+dG
you can redistribute real resources - every person spending their life working on a rich persons yacht rather than helping educate the next generation due to the price system, for instance, is a real distribution of resources. this is why consumption taxes are modern and valuable
replies(1): >>_heimd+0E1
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29. whimsi+mP[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 16:04:55
>>whimsi+qO
also just: “why invest it when we could spend it on consumption now” is a good argument against letting private wealth usage be socially determined if most people just always vote for consumption now
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30. nejsjs+FQ[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 16:12:57
>>whimsi+HO
Good point. Then next best is limit the lending. If a uni wants to charge 50k a year then they need to find rich students who can pay cash. If they want the smartest students they need to find ways to be affordable. Only lend money for affordable universities basically. That will force efficiency, reduce admin etc.
replies(1): >>whimsi+FS
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31. nejsjs+UQ[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 16:13:51
>>_heimd+DF
Not anyone. Some kind of test is required for admission. I am thinking like the UK system.

Also if you are being $ focused then offer it where there is ROI: STEM, medicine (allow more doctors too).

Education doesn't lose its value if it is free. Does food and water? Shelter?

Unless people are just tuning out of their degree and it is just a social thing. In which deal with that specific problem.

replies(1): >>_heimd+rE1
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32. nejsjs+YR[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 16:17:16
>>unethi+3O
The MAGA ideals (this is not snark just applying logic) needs more skilled Americans so this would also be aligned with MAGA albeit one of those things that takes more than 4 years to come to fruition so politically harder to do.
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33. whimsi+FS[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 16:19:52
>>nejsjs+FQ
So end subsidized student loans? Yes that would be a good policy. Not sure how you can ban people from taking out loans writ large though.
replies(1): >>JumpCr+zb1
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34. Twirri+xV[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 16:33:13
>>visarg+rg
If we block on the basis that previous people didn't have something and that it would be unfair to them we would literally never make any progress in this world.

Instead of starting a new better world, we'll just stick with the old one that sucks because we don't want to be unfair. What an awful, awful way to look at the world.

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35. azemet+nW[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 16:38:15
>>JohnPr+qz
This site is way way way more capital friendly than worker friendly.
36. JumpCr+171[view] [source] 2025-01-22 17:31:27
>>CSSer+(OP)
> we could’ve eliminated student loan debt for ~20 million Americans. It would in turn open a myriad number of opportunities, like owning a home

I'd give the money to folks starting in the trades before bailling out the college-educated class.

Also, wiping out numbers on a spreadsheet doesn't erect new homes. If we wiped out student debt, the portion of that value that went into new homeownership would principally flow to existing homeowners.

Finally, you're comparing a government hand-out to private investment into a capital asset. That's like comparing eating out at a nice restaurant to buying a bond. Different prerogatives.

replies(5): >>tallda+BI1 >>tsunam+kW1 >>lumost+i12 >>no_wiz+s12 >>tomloc+ik2
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37. aylmao+u81[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 17:40:16
>>visarg+rg
With half a trillion dollars you can also open a lot of universities. Increased supply would lower prices for everyone. One could even open public universities and offer education at very reduced or no tuition.
replies(2): >>itsokt+eZ1 >>_uxvx+L72
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38. bun_at+v81[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 17:40:23
>>visarg+rg
> not all students get the benefit, some already paid off their debts or a large part of it.

I'm one of the people who paid off a large portion of debt and probably don't need this assistance. However, this argument is so offensive. People were encouraged to take out debt for a number of reasons, and by a number of institutions, without first being educated about the implications of that. This argument states that we shouldn't help people because other people didn't have help. Following this logic, we shouldn't seek to help anyone ever, unless everyone else has also received the exact same help.

- slaves shouldn't be freed because other slaves weren't freed - we shouldn't give food to the starving, because those not starving aren't getting free food - we shouldn't care about others because they don't care about me

These arguments are all the greedy option in game theory, and all contribute to the worst outcomes across the board, except for those who can scam others in this system.

The right way to think about programs that help others is to consider cooperating - some people don't get the maximum possible, but they do get some! And when the game is played over and over, all parties get the maximum benefit possible.

In the case of student debt, paying it off and fixing the broken system, by allowing bankruptcy or some other fix, would benefit far more people than it would hurt; it would also benefit some people who paid their loans off completely: parents of children who can't pay off their loans now.

In the end the argument that some already paid off their debts is inherently a selfish argument in the style of "I don't want them to get help because I didn't get help." Society would be better if we didn't think in such greedy terms.

All that said - there are real concerns about debt repayment. The point about emboldening universities to ask for higher tuition highlights the underlying issue with the student loan system. Why bring up the most selfish possible argument when there are valid, useful arguments for your position?

replies(4): >>Fideli+Fu1 >>indymi+7L1 >>itsokt+GY1 >>qwytw+p24
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39. aylmao+j91[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 17:44:51
>>whimsi+HO
> free college is just a giveaway to the wealthier third of our society and irresponsible with our current fiscal situation.

How is free college a giveaway to the wealthier third of society? For starters, I can assure you the wealthy care a lot about the name of the institution issuing the diploma, and they can afford it. They'll happily front extra cash so their kids can network with people of similar economic status.

replies(2): >>whimsi+gi1 >>itsokt+b02
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40. JohnPr+B91[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 17:46:11
>>actual+rA
lol you got me
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41. JumpCr+zb1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 17:55:45
>>whimsi+FS
> Not sure how you can ban people from taking out loans writ large though

Let them be discharged in bankruptcy. The system will fix itself around that.

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42. whimsi+gi1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 18:31:34
>>aylmao+j91
I didn't say "the wealthy", I said the wealthier third of our society. Only ~39% of people age 18-24 are in college, those are generally the wealthier people in our society, and free college (I'm assuming from your reply it's free public college) would mostly be a giveaway to those people.
replies(1): >>aylmao+eC1
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43. Fideli+Fu1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 19:48:33
>>bun_at+v81
Consider that his position might be more profound than you considered it to be.

Mine is. It's about incentives. Now you can take it from there, and at least in my interpretation the rest of your rebuttal falls apart.

There is absolutely no equivalency to slavery. That is simply dishonest. Slaves didn't choose to be slaves. Do students who take on debt have no agency whatsoever to you? Did the people who paid such debts had no agency when paying?

replies(1): >>bun_at+cz1
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44. Fideli+nv1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 19:52:49
>>weakfi+dO
No. It's a disaster. The poor pay for the richest to go to public universities. See Brazil.

There are more low-income people in private universities (with private or private/public loans) than in public universities.

replies(2): >>weakfi+cH1 >>vitorg+BK2
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45. bun_at+cz1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 20:19:14
>>Fideli+Fu1
If you don't like the equivalence to slavery, pick a different example, there are three I posted and more you can probably think of on your own.

We know that the idea of a rational agent in economics is a myth, and as you mentioned, it is about incentives, as well as motives.

Students who take on debt that limits them in later life don't have all the information they need at the time they make the decision. Saying the information is available is not reasonable. These students are told they _most_ go to college to make a living.

They are not told they need to get an engineering, medical, or finance degree to make going to college worth it, economically.

They are shown all the loans they can get without an equivalent amount of effort put into educating them about the consequences those loans represent. For example, how much the loans will cost in the long run, along with estimated pay for various fields of study.

Furthermore, the loans are given for any degree program without restriction.

All the comments I made about game theory still stand, and we don't need to get into the myriad problems with our education and student loan systems. I agree they aren't perfect; I just think the argument 'I didn't get my loans paid off neither should you' is an extremely selfish one. Just because someone suffers doesn't mean everyone should. Also - in my experience people who are ready to make that selfish argument are very offended when it gets flipped on them. So they can understand intuitively the issue with the selfish position.

replies(1): >>sahila+VR1
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46. jimkle+BB1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 20:33:09
>>_heimd+pF
Apathy is the only fair policy?
replies(3): >>nwiene+NO1 >>golerg+6P1 >>_heimd+Nf2
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47. jimkle+MB1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 20:34:35
>>greent+Qr
I'd say many of these university bros are actually parents to K12 and Pre-K and having parents not terribly in debt could help them focus more on being there for their kids and encouraging education.
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48. jimkle+ZB1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 20:36:15
>>ajmurm+zz
The problem with EA is in judging what is effective. Perhaps ridding the unforgivable student loans of parents actually helps the kids more than school lunches.

And frankly, some of the most effective altruism may be just to directly give cash to people, yet I don't know how many people in the EA community would trust people so much with unconditional cash.

replies(1): >>currym+zN1
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49. aylmao+eC1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 20:37:53
>>whimsi+gi1
Have you considered that perhaps you have causality mixed up here? Perhaps it's not that only the wealthier ~39% of people want to go to college, but rather that the bottom 61% don't want that economic burden.
replies(1): >>whimsi+T52
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50. _heimd+0E1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 20:49:24
>>whimsi+3P
If we have to have taxes, I'm very much in favor of a consumption tax. It doesn't work for our current system though, capitalism kind of hits a wall when spending money is disincentivized (compared to saving money or simply not trying to earn more).

Redistribution of wealth is tricky and almost certainly runs into the same wall I mentioned in my last comment. When everyone competing with each other (financially) see a similar bump in income they didn't really change anything. Redistribution is more helpful when targeting the wealth gap and not very useful when considering how wealtht the majority of people "feel".

That said, I 100% agree people shouldn't be working their entire life on a rich person's boat. That's a much bigger, and more fundamental, problem though. That gets to the core of a debt-based society and the need for self reliance. The most effective way to get out from under someone else's boot (financially) is to work towards a spot where you aren't dependent on them or the job's income.

replies(2): >>bdangu+tG1 >>whimsi+L52
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51. _heimd+rE1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 20:51:51
>>nejsjs+UQ
How does no one pay for it, though?

I don't know the ins and outs of the UK education system, but I have to assume the facilities and employees are still paid for.

> Does food and water? Shelter?

If everyone had access to it for free? Absolutely! I wouldn't work as a farmer or build houses if no one had to pay for those products. Value, or price in this context, is only really feasible for scarce assets. If something is seemingly unlimited and freely available it will have no (financial) value.

replies(2): >>thfura+7R1 >>nejsjs+g72
52. daryl_+oG1[view] [source] 2025-01-22 21:03:24
>>CSSer+(OP)
go to the uk. they have all the free abortions, genders, and education you could possibly want. apply for asylum since you're clearly afraid for your life.
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53. bdangu+tG1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 21:04:05
>>_heimd+0E1
The most effective way to get out from under someone else's boot (financially) is to work towards a spot where you aren't dependent on them or the job's income.

100% this but entire system is setup to make sure this doesn't happen at scale. even here on HN if you post something along these lines but in real terms you will get downvoted like crazy and get even crazier comments.

the system is setup to make sure there are workers, w2 workers. this is why there is student loans and this is why schools do not teach you to be an entrepreneur, to be a salesman, to hustle for yourself and not for someone else. I see so many people here talking about leetcode and faang and I think to myself that is just modern day slavery. if you are LXXX at say Meta making say $750k/year, I think the same - you are a modern-day slave. if Meta is paying you $750k/year that really means that you are worth twice that, if not more. no company is going to pay you more than you are worth to them and they won't even break even with you so-to-speak so you can bank on this fact whoever you work for and whatever you bank. though there is a big difference between working on someone's yacht and making $750k the principles are the same but system is working hard and succeeding in making sure it stays as it is...

replies(3): >>antice+uO1 >>JumpCr+vU1 >>s1arti+Ds2
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54. weakfi+cH1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 21:09:19
>>Fideli+nv1
Source?
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55. tallda+BI1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 21:17:29
>>JumpCr+171
It's a fair comparison. Stargate is fundamentally about two things - America's industry needs a cash injection, and we're choosing a completely hype-dominated vein to push the needle into.

Problem is, the parent comment is right. Even if you think student loan mitigation has washy economics behind it, the outcome is predictable and even desirable if you're playing the long-game in politics. If not that, spend $500,000,000,000 towards onshoring Apple and Microsoft's manufacturing jobs. Spend it re-invigorating America's mothballed motor industry and let Elon spec it out like a kid in a candy shop. Relative to AI, even student loan forgiveness and dumping money into trades looks attractive (not that Trump would consider either).

Nobody on HN should be confused by this. We know Sam Altman is a scammer (Worldcoin, anyone?) and we know OpenAI is a terrible business. This money is being deliberately wasted to keep OpenAI's lights on and preserve the Weekend At Bernie's-esque corpse that is America's "lead" in software technology. That's it. It's blatantly simple.

replies(3): >>JumpCr+GT1 >>epolan+MV1 >>piltdo+to5
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56. indymi+7L1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 21:35:10
>>bun_at+v81
> I'm one of the people who paid off a large portion of debt and probably don't need this assistance. However, this argument is so offensive.

Please spend my tax dollars on curing disease, fixing homelessness, free addiction treatment, better mental health care, improving our justice system, or even cold fusion. All of these have better outcomes than does paying off student debt.

> These arguments are all the greedy option

You left out the best argument against: there are much better things to spend money on.

I could get behind fixing Bush's biggest mistake - his bankruptcy change that moved the pendulum to lifetime debt. I'd love to see people be able to discharge student loans that are impossible to pay off or where the debtor was put in debt by a fraudulent or failed education institution.

replies(1): >>antice+JN1
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57. currym+zN1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 21:54:14
>>jimkle+ZB1
there are many many problems with the EA movement, but they do generally support unconditional cash transfers.

cash transfers are seen as the "default" baseline. the bar for charity is that it must be better than cash transfers. they do find some such charities that they claim are even better than cash transfers, but they are totally comfortable with giving people unconditional cash.

replies(1): >>jimkle+n03
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58. antice+JN1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 21:55:06
>>indymi+7L1
Student loans are not dischargeable but they are not inheritable too.
replies(1): >>indymi+6X1
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59. antice+uO1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:01:08
>>bdangu+tG1
There are marketing schools so they teach you to be a marketeer&sales person, a bad one at the latter.
replies(1): >>bdangu+SV1
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60. nwiene+NO1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:02:54
>>jimkle+BB1
I am a bit apathetic towards giving generally wealthier people who made a bad financial choice a break, when weighed against all the different ways you could spend that money, yes.
replies(1): >>jimkle+iX2
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61. golerg+6P1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:05:37
>>jimkle+BB1
Yes. For the government, apathy and inaction is always the best possible policy.
replies(2): >>_heimd+1h2 >>jimkle+IX2
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62. _heimd+pP1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:07:36
>>was_a_+MH
May be an unpopular opinion here, but education should be a market just like anything else and the government should put its thumb on the scales as infrequently as possible.
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63. _heimd+TP1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:12:05
>>unethi+3O
> Elsewhere, you worried that getting millions of people put of crippling debt due to a broken education finance system might tick up inflation.

Well yes, I can talk to two different points when the context is different. A good conversation isn't just people shouting their personal opinions, its people playing off of the discussion at hand and considering different angles.

> Here, you worry that making society more educated via university training might decrease the economic value of a degree.

That's actually not what I was saying, I may have phrased it poorly. I did not mean that I worry about anyone getting educated. I was simply trying to point out that a degree has much less value when anyone can get it, like that's because it is free as is the topic here.

In the other thread I wasn't actually concerned about inflation personally, only pointing out that inflation will go up if a large amount of student debt is made to just disappear. I was raising that as a prediction with high likelihood, personally I have opinions on the underlying approach but I don't really have dog in the fight either.

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64. thfura+qQ1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:17:31
>>visarg+rg
Only the first of those is a real problem, but it really is a problem.
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65. _heimd+6R1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:23:07
>>unethi+3O
(Follow-up from my other reply)

> But artificial scarcity seems like a bad way to go about it.

What artificial scarcity are you talking about here?

I'm not trying to say we need artificial scarcity, university should be a market like any other product or service.

Personally I tend to go even further away from most when it comes to scarcity in the job market too - I'd rather have open borders than immigration systems that limit how many people can come here and compete for jobs.

replies(1): >>no_wiz+Y32
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66. thfura+7R1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:23:12
>>_heimd+rE1
It's publicly funded, not built and staffed by slaves.
replies(1): >>_heimd+482
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67. sahila+VR1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:28:32
>>bun_at+cz1
> They are not told they need to get an engineering, medical, or finance degree to make going to college worth it, economically.

This is a very well known fact. When I was in high school in the 2000s, it was a well known joke about how the arts / english majors won't land you a job. And even if you never heard about it, the data for average salary for graduates in the college, its dropout rates, and salary by majors is highly publicized. This isn't advanced research to do and in the age of internet, someone considering college should be able to do. I think the problem is no one believes they are the average case and instead are the exception who'll make it work.

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68. JumpCr+GT1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:43:11
>>tallda+BI1
> completely hype-dominated vein to push the needle into

One, you’re not getting MGX and SoftBank to pay off student debt.

Two, if they do what they say they want to, they’ll be building new power generation, transmission infrastructures and data centres. Even if AI is a hype, that’s far from useless capital.

> money is being deliberately wasted to keep OpenAI's lights on

OpenAI is spending their own money on this.

replies(2): >>tomhal+V02 >>no_wiz+t22
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69. DonHop+VT1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:44:45
>>_heimd+DF
That's one of the most uneducated ignorant things I've heard anyone say in this entire discussion.

Does health insurance also lose its value when anyone can get it for free?

replies(3): >>shoo_p+hY1 >>itsokt+I02 >>_heimd+ga2
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70. JumpCr+vU1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:48:54
>>bdangu+tG1
> but entire system is setup to make sure this doesn't happen at scale

This has been getting less and less true since the Industrial Revolution. We’re not quite at the point where we don’t need menial labour. But we can sure see the through line to it. The alternate future to the despairingly unemployed is every person being something of an owner.

> if Meta is paying you $750k/year that really means that you are worth twice that, if not more

Whole is greater than the sum of its parts. Also, if you’re being paid $750k/year, you’d better be worth more than $1.5mm to your employer, because taxes and regulatory costs are typically estimated around 100% of base up to the low millions.

replies(1): >>bdangu+DV1
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71. bdangu+DV1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 22:59:07
>>JumpCr+vU1
This has been getting less and less true since the Industrial Revolution.

how so? what do you think is the breakdown between say working people in the USA (excluding gig-jobs cause you know…) who are W2 vs. 1099 and/or business owners? 99.78% to 0.22% roughly?

replies(1): >>JumpCr+HX1
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72. epolan+MV1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:00:12
>>tallda+BI1
> America's industry needs a cash injection

Does it? Seems overflowing with it.

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73. bdangu+SV1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:00:45
>>antice+uO1
so in order to be taught how to capitalism hard one has to go to a specialised school like kids with special needs need special teachers?
replies(1): >>antice+pb4
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74. tsunam+kW1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:03:47
>>JumpCr+171
This sort of folksy take always ignores that the same issue happens with the trades as does with the professional classes. No one class is immune to a crash due to unnatural promotion. You've let your moral view overcome that reality
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75. indymi+6X1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:10:34
>>antice+JN1
Lifetime debt is not ok
replies(1): >>cma+S42
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76. __Matr+GX1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:17:04
>>whimsi+HO
Or we could just spend less on weapons.
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77. JumpCr+HX1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:17:05
>>bdangu+DV1
> how so?

Automation. Consider the number of jobs today that one can do singly today that didn't even exist then.

> W2 vs. 1099 and/or business owners? 99.78% to 0.22% roughly?

There are about 165 million workers in the American labour force [1]. There are 33 million small businesses [2]. Given 14% have no employees [3], we have a lower bound of 5 million business owners in America, or 3% of the labour force.

Add to that America's 65 million freelancers and you have 2 out of 5 Americans not working for a boss. (Keep in mind, we're ignoring every building, plumber or design shop that has even a single employee in these figures.)

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Labor_force_in_the_United_Stat...

[2] https://www.uschamber.com/small-business/state-of-small-busi...

[3] https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/04/22/a-look-at...

replies(1): >>s1arti+Bj2
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78. shoo_p+hY1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:22:08
>>DonHop+VT1
Free does not mean limitless. Where I live in EU its not uncommon to wait for over a year to see a doctor on „free” insurance and less than 24h when you pay out of your pocket.

People get free insurance but hospitals get fixed amounts of cash allowing them to admit fixed amount of patients

In this scenario the answer is yes, it loses some value. Still much better system than private care in US

replies(1): >>nejsjs+Ci2
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79. itsokt+GY1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:25:15
>>bun_at+v81
>People were encouraged to take out debt for a number of reasons, and by a number of institutions, without first being educated about the implications of that

18 year olds don't understand what a loan is? Zero accountability?

replies(3): >>p_j_w+HZ1 >>bdangu+N22 >>Dennis+532
80. rqtwte+8Z1[view] [source] 2025-01-22 23:28:17
>>CSSer+(OP)
"we could’ve eliminated student loan debt for ~20 million Americans. "

Don't throw more money at schools. They will happily take the money and jack up tuition even more. There is no reason why tuition is going up at the pace it does.

replies(1): >>aimanb+W12
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81. itsokt+eZ1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:29:17
>>aylmao+u81
Lack of supply is not the reason post secondary education is expensive.
replies(1): >>aylmao+sT3
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82. p_j_w+HZ1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:31:25
>>itsokt+GY1
In the United States? For huge swaths of the population that answer is obviously no. Financial education and literacy in this country is a complete fucking joke. Very few people expected that they would be on a payment schedule that amounted to $200/mo for 30 years, and for a significant portion of them, there was really strong messaging implying that getting a college education was the only pathway to financial success, such that student loans were worth it. Two generations and counting have been massively duped.
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83. itsokt+b02[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:33:23
>>aylmao+j91
Half of the student loan crisis is because there's an over abundance of kids with degrees that can't get basic jobs. How does more degrees solve that?
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84. itsokt+I02[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:36:24
>>DonHop+VT1
If everyone has a Harvard degree, the value of a Harvard degree loses value, yes.
replies(2): >>DonHop+F12 >>nejsjs+Oi2
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85. tomhal+V02[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:38:04
>>JumpCr+GT1
Gotcha. The fun part is when OpenAI asks for more regulation on AI, congress will be receptive
replies(1): >>JumpCr+tA2
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86. lumost+i12[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:40:47
>>JumpCr+171
Student loans are the only loan type which you cannot bankrupt out of. I'm sure that many students would accept bankruptcy rather than bailouts if that is preferable. It doesn't make sense to saddle 20 year olds with insurmountable debt.
replies(2): >>timewi+f42 >>ashoea+9c5
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87. no_wiz+s12[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:42:45
>>JumpCr+171
Couple things that aren’t accounted for:

A) this is a pledge by companies they may or may not even have the cash required to back it up. Certainly they aren’t spending it all at once, but to be completely honest it’s nothing more than a PR stunt right now that seems to be an exercise in courting favor

B) that so called private capital is going to get incentives from subsidies, like tax breaks, grants etc. It’s inevitable if this proceeds to an actual investment stage. What’s that about it being pure private capital again?

C) do to the aforementioned circumstances in A it seems whatever government support systems are stood up to support this - and if this isn’t ending in hot air, there will be - it still means it’s not pure private capital and worse yet, they’ll likely end up bilking tax payers and the initiative falls apart with companies spending far less then the pledge but keeping all the upside.

I’ll bet a years salary it plays out like this.

If this ends up being 100% private capital with no government subsidies of any kind, I’ll be shocked and elated. Look at anything like this in the last 40 years and you’ll find scant few examples that actually hold up under scrutiny that they didn’t play out this way.

Which brings me to my second part. So we are going to - in some form - end up handing out subsidies to these companies, either at the local state or federal level, but by the logic of not paying off student debt, why are we going to do this? It’s only propping up an unhealthy economic policy no?

Why is it so bad for us to cancel student debt but it’s fine to have the same cost equivalent as subsidies for businesses? Is it under the “creates jobs” smoke screen? Despite the fact the overwhelming majority of money made will not go to the workers but back to the wealthy and ultra wealthy.

There's no sense of equity here. If the government is truly unequivocally hands off - no subsidies, no incentives etc - than fine, the profits go where they go, and thats the end of it.

However, it won't be, and that opens up a perfectly legitimate ask about how this money is going to get used and who it benefits

replies(2): >>steven+Ju4 >>nuance+4N6
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88. DonHop+F12[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:45:02
>>itsokt+I02
Maybe so, but also then everyone has a Harvard degree, which is MUCH MUCH better for society than a Harvard degree losing value is bad.

Of course if you're an ignorant right wing anti-intellectual climate change and evolution denying religious fanatic, the idea of everyone having a Harvard degree is existentially terrifying for other reasons that it losing a little bit of value.

replies(1): >>_heimd+Na2
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89. aimanb+W12[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:46:40
>>rqtwte+8Z1
> There is no reason why tuition is going up at the pace it does.

There is and it's explained by Baumol's cost disease. Basically you can't sustain paying professors the same wage while productivity increases in other parts of the economy. Even if the actual labor of "professing" hasn't gotten more productive. You have to retain them by keeping up with the broader wage increases. And that cost increase gets passed down to students.

replies(1): >>rqtwte+Bs3
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90. no_wiz+t22[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:52:10
>>JumpCr+GT1
>One, you’re not getting MGX and SoftBank to pay off student debt.

I don't think that was the actual literal expectation, rather that the cost to the tax payer - and there will be a cost to the tax payer - should be best spent elsewhere.

>Two, if they do what they say they want to, they’ll be building new power generation, transmission infrastructures and data centres. Even if AI is a hype, that’s far from useless capital.

Nothing has proven this to be true yet

>OpenAI is spending their own money on this.

Not a single entity has spent any real money on this. So far, its a PR stunt. The general lack of roll out corresponding with the announcement is telling. When real money is spent than I'll believe they might go through with it all the way.

Whats more likely to happen is that these companies will spend at most a token amount of money, then lobby congress and the executive branch for subsidies in order to proceed more 'earnestly' and since this is a pledge, there's nothing in writing that binds a contractual commitment of these funds and their purpose, so they could just as well pocket what they can to offset the costs, use what infrastructure gets built as a result, but shut down the initiative. Bad press won't matter, if its reported on at all.

This has played out for decades like this. Big announcements, so called private money commitments, then come the asks from the government to offset the costs they supposedly pledged to pay anyway, and eventually if you're lucky 1 widget gets built in some economic development area and the companies pocket what they can manage to bilk before its all shut down.

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91. bdangu+N22[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:53:52
>>itsokt+GY1
99.65% of 18-year olds 100% do not. or compound interest. the system is rigged against them to not be taught any of basic finacial literacy
replies(1): >>neilc+xf3
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92. Dennis+532[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 23:55:57
>>itsokt+GY1
I'm just gonna mention that during the 2010s, Donald Trump had $287 million in loans forgiven after refusing to pay and suing the lender for "predatory lending practices."[1]

But yeah, let's make sure we squeeze every drop out of those college students, they should have understood their loan terms.

[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/nicholasreimann/2020/10/27/repo...

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93. no_wiz+Y32[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 00:03:13
>>_heimd+6R1
>I'm not trying to say we need artificial scarcity, university should be a market like any other product or service.

Whats a truly competitive market place where all competitors, broadly speaking, are playing on the same playing field and the best business wins?

There's been nothing but waves of consolidation across nearly all industries for the last 40 years. Competition is scarce, it seems.

replies(1): >>_heimd+7b2
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94. timewi+f42[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 00:06:29
>>lumost+i12
That was a recent change in bankruptcy law. You could literally just revert it. It should reintroduce some caution into some of these institutions of "higher education."

I'd rather fix the law then try to decide who to hand out tax surpluses to.

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95. cma+S42[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 00:12:45
>>indymi+6X1
I don't like it, but how would you prevent everyone from getting expensive schooling and then immediately declaring bankruptcy?

Just better redistribution and georgism/UBI type stuff but also keeping the need based stuff (medicaid, social security disability etc.) I think would be more fair and not punish people who paid off their debt or worked a job during school. Expanding free public education to K-16 and maybe ?more heavily taxing elite universities that get most of their value from the prestige of their own high ranking students who then have to pay more for it and other things like prestigious journals and even startup funds like YC, top law firms, etc. that work largely as prestige money redirectors where the value comes from those capturing the prestige but is redirected almost entireoy to just whoever kicked off the prestige flywheel early..

replies(3): >>mlazos+wc3 >>Eleven+k16 >>indymi+H1d
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96. no_wiz+j52[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 00:17:05
>>unethi+3O
>And I don't think we have a surplus of engineers in the country, judging by what I perceive to be the gap in talent between china and US, and the moaning by tech about the need for H1B

Why take that at face value? Its generally used for wage suppression[0][1] by big companies (not only in tech) and due to how its structured, creates an unhealthy power balance between employers and H1B employees

[0]: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10551-024-05823-8

[1]: https://www.paularnesen.com/blog/the-h-1b-visa-corporate-ame...

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97. whimsi+L52[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 00:21:44
>>_heimd+0E1
there are lots of redistributions that are net beneficial even when you account for the incentive hit. marginal increases in the estate tax, for instance, almost certainly fall under this umbrella

i don't agree that debt is the problem

replies(1): >>_heimd+Y62
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98. whimsi+T52[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 00:22:50
>>aylmao+eC1
I certainly agree that more people would be going to college if it were free. 80% of people? I'm skeptical, but the existing people sending their kids to college (who can afford foregoing that income) would certainly appreciate the giveaway
replies(1): >>aylmao+TR3
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99. _heimd+Y62[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 00:32:06
>>whimsi+L52
> i don't agree that debt is the problem

Totally fair, by no means is that a settled issue. Debt is just my opinion of a likely root cause.

> there are lots of redistributions that are net beneficial even when you account for the incentive hit. marginal increases in the estate tax, for instance, almost certainly fall under this umbrella

That requires a lot more context to answer. The costs and benefits considered are important to lay out. Without that context I really can't say if it's a net benefit or not, I would assume that two average people would have a different list of factors they'd consider when saying whether its a net benefit or not.

Personally I don't see estate taxes as net beneficial. I don't agree with the principle that death is a taxable event, and I don't prefer the government to have in incentives to see people die (i.e. when someone with an estate dies the government makes money). Financially, to stick with just the numbers, I don't consider $66B in annual revenue worth the bureaucracy or legal complexity required to manage the estate tax program.

replies(1): >>whimsi+ee2
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100. nejsjs+g72[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 00:34:28
>>_heimd+rE1
Tax. The missing link is those educated people pay it back with their tax. And/or contributions to the economy.

Also part of this is making education better bang for buck.

You can say who's gonna pay for it for everything. Defense and meddling in world affairs is a big cost too.

replies(1): >>_heimd+jf2
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101. _uxvx+L72[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 00:40:30
>>aylmao+u81
There are very many universities with zero or no tax, most of them in socialist countries. Why don't you go there? Maybe because none of those matter when serious education is considered.
replies(1): >>aylmao+tS3
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102. _heimd+482[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 00:42:25
>>thfura+7R1
Sure, but then the answer to my original question of who pays for it is the taxpayer. It isn't free, the cost is just subsidized by the public rather than paid by the student.

I'm not even saying that's a bad thing, if most people want it that way I don't see the problem. But it isn't free.

replies(1): >>olyjoh+Nc4
103. eichi+392[view] [source] 2025-01-23 00:49:58
>>CSSer+(OP)
History says almost all society was corrputed and previous 50 to 80 years are slight exception. People with power prefer to give power to selected people selected by their personal preference.
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104. _heimd+ga2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 00:57:14
>>DonHop+VT1
Health insurance is an entirely different animal. It has its own flaws and issues, as well as its own benefits. You can't easily compare a service product and an insurance product, they're just too different.

Though yes, financially health insurance also has no monetary value when anyone can get it for free. You can't assign a price to it and anyone in the health insurance business is entirely at the whims of what the government is willing to pay them to provide a service deemed essential enough to subsidize the entire cost of the product.

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105. _heimd+Na2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 01:00:31
>>DonHop+F12
> Maybe so, but also then everyone has a Harvard degree, which is MUCH MUCH better for society than a Harvard degree losing value is bad.

Is it your opinion that Harvard could provide the same quality of education to an unlimited number of students?

This isn't a right/left scenario, its logistics and market dynamics. Expanding access to a scarce resource means value of that resource goes down. A supply glut doesn't mean the product is any less useful, just that there's more for it so people will get to pay less for it.

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106. _heimd+7b2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 01:02:53
>>no_wiz+Y32
Totally agree, we haven't really had capitalism for most of my life. It is possible though, and most of US history included at least mostly free markets.

I was a software consultant for many years. I'd put that on the list of truly competitive marketplaces. People were either willing to pay me to do a job or they weren't, and I would have to adjust my prices and terms to try to increase or decrease my workload.

replies(1): >>no_wiz+pw2
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107. whimsi+ee2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 01:27:13
>>_heimd+Y62
Transfers are taxable, either as gifts or income. Not sure why we would exempt inheritance flows. $66B seems like a pretty good haul, that could easily be much larger given the massive portion of wealth that is inherited, and is 5x the budget of the IRS.

And the disincentive effects are much smaller than taxing the equivalent in directly earned income.

replies(1): >>_heimd+Sg2
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108. davidc+oe2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 01:27:57
>>_heimd+DF
The pretending to not understand how public services work shtick is so tiring.

Everyone understands that public services are free to use because they are funded by taxes. It's not the gotcha you think it is. People say that roads, K-12 education, etc are "free" when they mean there is not a direct fee to use them because they are paid for by the government using tax dollars. You don't have to pretend to not understand this

replies(1): >>_heimd+Te2
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109. _heimd+Te2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 01:31:54
>>davidc+oe2
Who says roads or public education are free? Every gallon of fuel is taxed and, at least in any jurisdiction I've lived in, property taxes fund schools.

I'm not pretending to not understand here. Someone said it would be free and I'm asking how. The fact that "free" doesn't mean free is the problem, not an issue of me misunderstanding.

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110. _heimd+jf2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 01:35:03
>>nejsjs+g72
Right, but if our answer is taxes then someone pays for it and it is not free. There's nothing wrong with that, we just can't call it free.

> You can say who's gonna pay for it for everything. Defense and meddling in world affairs is a big cost too.

For sure, no disagreement here. My personal opinion is that defense is only necessary in times of war and meddling in world affairs is never necessary.

replies(1): >>dinkum+a55
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111. _heimd+Nf2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 01:38:34
>>jimkle+BB1
Maybe? That probably starts a definitional debate that isn't usually helpful. Is it apathetic to let nature, evolution, or markets do what they do best?

What is "fair" requires context. I could argue that nonintervention is fair or that a top-down, Marxist approach is fair depending on how "success" is defined.

replies(1): >>jimkle+g13
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112. _heimd+Sg2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 01:50:57
>>whimsi+ee2
I get that today's laws do allow for taxing estate transfers as a taxable event. The personal concern I was raising is that I don't thing it should be taxable, not whether today's laws allow for taxing it.

When my parents die, assuming they go before me, I don't see why the government should be involved. To be clear, my parents are well below estate tax thresholds, but the underlying premise is the same. Someone's relative dying and leaving them an estate shouldn't by a taxable event as far as um concerned.

$66B should be a lot of money, but our federal government doesn't know what it means to balance a budget. We could easily cut $66B in current spending if we cared.

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113. _heimd+1h2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 01:53:08
>>golerg+6P1
I wish more people still held this view. When in doubt a government should avoid acting for fear of unintended consequences.
replies(1): >>jimkle+XX2
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114. nejsjs+Ci2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 02:08:23
>>shoo_p+hY1
There is a queuing theory thing here! People die in the queue.

However the US system. seems to create a lot if inefficiency. There is no free lunch. But a lunch where you don't throw out as much bread as you eat is more efficient.

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115. nejsjs+Oi2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 02:10:34
>>itsokt+I02
Compare to: If everybody can read, reading loses value.

If everyone has sanitised water it loses value.

Value is the overloaded word. We don't need to scarcity things so dollar number goes up for some elite group.

A good test is forget money and think of human collaboration. People doing things. Does it makes sense from that perspective.

Best way to scale Harvard is easy: make all the other places better (or if they are make people realise that)

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116. s1arti+Bj2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 02:18:48
>>JumpCr+HX1
I don't follow your logic for the small businesses. Why is the lower bound 5 million opposed to 33 million owners?

Are you trying to estimate only those without employees?

replies(1): >>JumpCr+Tz2
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117. tomloc+ik2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 02:25:57
>>JumpCr+171
I think the idea of a "college-educated class" speaks to another fundamental problem with the American project - that a college education is now seen as some upper-class bauble. It is only seen as such a luxury because it is such a slog and expense. Y'all should fix that problem too!
replies(1): >>JumpCr+iA2
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118. _aavaa+Hk2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 02:29:38
>>visarg+rg
When the bailout is for business the money always comes, but suggest even a fraction of that amount of money go towards regular people and all of a sudden there's hand wringing and talk of moral hazards.

> it would embolden universities to ask even higher tuition.

Then cap the amount you give out loans. Many of them are back by one level of the government or another.

> A second problem is that not all students get the benefit, some already paid off their debts or a large part of it. It would be unfair to them.

This is a very flimsy argument. Shall we get rid of the polio vaccine since it's unfair to those who already contracted it that our efforts with the vaccine don't benefit them?

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119. s1arti+Ds2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 03:42:02
>>bdangu+tG1
I am very sympathetic to your point about barriers. I feel like California has been waging war on 1099 contractors and small businesses for decades. Hell, they have a $600 minimum business tax on unprofitable businesses. They want stable W-2 union workers with state regulated compensation, not free wheeling contractors and businesses succeeding or failing on their own merits.

However, I think it is worth clarifying your following point.

>if Meta is paying you $750k/year that really means that you are worth twice that, if not more.

This is far from slavery. You are worth that to Meta. You might be worth significantly less without Meta. If you can make 1.5 mil/year alone and quit, meta wont send the slave patrol to bring you back in shackles. Instead, it is the golden shackles of greed that keep people making $750,000 instead of opting out.

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120. no_wiz+pw2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 04:24:38
>>_heimd+7b2
That’s one, and I suppose marketing firms to some extent also fit.

But these are small niches that don’t make a whole sector, and arguably it’s on the fringes comparatively to everything else

Broadly speaking the so called free market is only in its name

replies(1): >>_heimd+xv3
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121. JumpCr+Tz2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 05:12:57
>>s1arti+Bj2
> Are you trying to estimate only those without employees?

Was using this as a proxy for business owners who probably don’t have a filing cabinet of SBA and Census small businesses.

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122. JumpCr+iA2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 05:17:57
>>tomloc+ik2
> college education is now seen as some upper-class bauble

We’re well into the pendulum swinging back. The vanguard were the dropout wunderkids. Now it’s salt-of-the-earth tradesmen and the like.

replies(1): >>tomloc+mG2
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123. JumpCr+tA2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 05:19:16
>>tomhal+V02
> fun part is when OpenAI asks for more regulation on AI, congress will be receptive

OpenAI is the Jeb Bush of D.C. They’re spending a lot of money, but it ain’t going far. Last time Altman asked for regulation he had to “jk” backwards when Europe and California proposed actual rules.

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124. tomloc+mG2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 06:41:53
>>JumpCr+iA2
I don't really get what you're trying to say here.
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125. vitorg+BK2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 07:27:03
>>Fideli+nv1
This is really not a big thing nowadays in Brazil because if "quotas" in public university.

This WAS a thing without the quotas, though.

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126. jimkle+iX2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 09:35:26
>>nwiene+NO1
> People usually don't like that solution, especially when considering welfare programs, but it is fair to give no one assistance in the sense that everyone was treated equally/fairly.

If you're saying all the different ways you could spend that money, then you're saying non-intervention for the wealthier people how made a bad financial choice, and yes-intervention for other ways in which the money could be spent, which again, is a decision on where to give limited resources.

I'm not saying I agree or don't agree with whether it would be more helpful to give it to those who have college debt or those in the US who are without a home or frankly those here in Kenya (where I am now) who if don't have money, might starve to death.

Moreover that each decision can be judged.

> Now its a totally different question whether its fair that some people are in this position today. The answer is almost certainly no, but that doesn't have a direct impact on whether an intervention today is fair or not.

If we approach it from this side, I agree. Non-intervention, or not giving any limited resources to anyone, is the most fair approach and then we can evaluate whether it's fair the position in which those people are. Yet I don't know how realistic this is, to withhold all resources from everyone.

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127. jimkle+IX2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 09:39:44
>>golerg+6P1
Have you lived in a country where the citizens believe that the government is overall apathetic to their situations? It often doesn't create a utopia, but rather a lot of cynicism and reliance on family support networks. I'm an American currently in East Africa and I imagine many if not most people here would say the government doesn't care about them and does very little for them. So what ends up happening is that since there is little government/social welfare programs, people rely on family welfare. And well, if you don't have a rich family, your life can be really really really hard, if you even survive.

Your family doesn't have money? No food. No service at the emergency room. Heck, even no water.

I think there's a balance and that people who want more apathy and inaction may not realize what it's like when that's actually the case.

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128. jimkle+XX2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 09:42:15
>>_heimd+1h2
Government is just a collection of people, collection of unknown neighbors. Action can lead to unintended consequences, but so can inaction. Someone is bleeding on the street, do you help? If you help, you might get HIV, if they were attacked the attacker might come after you, the person might even attack you. If you don't help, they might bleed out on the street, they might have permanent damage, or something else.

Do you act or do you not act?

Both have unintended, often unpredictable consequences.

replies(1): >>_heimd+6y3
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129. jimkle+n03[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 10:12:06
>>currym+zN1
ah ok, i appreciate the clarification and am grateful to hear that. I think I've worried that the EA movement often has an obsession with optimization, which can lead to getting the absolute best perfect solution and become really dehumanized in the process.

But as I said, I'm glad to hear that unconditional cash is gaining traction with those folks, as I think it not only gives someone financial resources but also trust.

> And this trust — another resource it’s difficult to measure — is the aspect of gifts that many have said they value most.

The above is an excerpt from MacKenzie Scott's essay, "No Dollar Signs This Time." [0] I really appreciate the approach she is taking, which seems to be especially embracing the uncertainty of it all and trusting people to do what they believe is best.

[0]: https://yieldgiving.com/essays/no-dollar-signs-this-time

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130. jimkle+g13[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 10:24:01
>>_heimd+Nf2
I personally don't like the word "fair" very much because of how context-dependent it is. It's often used in "that's unfair" by a person who feels attacked or aggrieved in some way. It seems to have such a subjective quality to it, and yet can be claimed to be objective.

It actually reminds me of an essay I wrote years ago called "The Subjective Adjective" [0] (wow, I wrote it 10 years ago!) The premise is that we take how we subjectively feel and then transform it into an objective statement on reality, overlooking how subjective it really is.

Anyways, I agree some of these conversations seem to devolve into definitional debates that may not get at the real point.

I think I also replied to a different comment thinking it was you—identity and conversational continuation, an aspect of context so often hidden/lacking on HN.

In general, I agree with you that a policy could be equal/fair as in giving everyone an equal amount of X, and that the unfair part is where people are in life. I actually liked the idea of charging a flat tax across the US and then having people voluntarily pay the tax for those who couldn't pay it, because I agree, I would see the tax as fair but the wealth inequality as unfair and one way to rectify that is for people to voluntarily rebalance the wealth. But yeah, I'm sure tons of people would see that as unfair.

I really don't know lol.

[0]: https://www.jimkleiber.com/the-subjective-adjective/

replies(1): >>_heimd+fw3
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131. refurb+G83[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 11:45:57
>>buran7+T
You can make the same argument about going to the moon. Why bother when so many problems could be solved on earth.
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132. mlazos+wc3[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 12:28:39
>>cma+S42
Going bankrupt isn’t just some chill thing, your credit score will get completely destroyed. Some people will definitely continue to pay.
replies(2): >>datavi+E38 >>indymi+7Ed
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133. neilc+xf3[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 12:54:55
>>bdangu+N22
Basically all college-bound 18-year olds understand what debt is — you’re infantilizing them to a ridiculous degree if you think otherwise. A lot of them choose to proceed with college due to career optimism and following the herd, not because “debt” is some magical concept that they don’t understand.
replies(1): >>bdangu+iy3
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134. rqtwte+Bs3[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 14:25:05
>>aimanb+W12
As far as I know the money doesn't go to professors but to ever increasing administration and shiny buildings.
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135. _heimd+xv3[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 14:43:09
>>no_wiz+pw2
For sure, I'd argue that's mainly because any industry that centralizes or grows big enough to really matter finds itself the subject of new government oversight and regulation. As soon as the government becomes involved, for better or worse, its no longer a free market.
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136. _heimd+fw3[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 14:46:35
>>jimkle+g13
If we're considering tax changed, I'd love to see a government run like a kickstarter. Government departments' role should be designing programs, estimate costs, and pitching the program to the public.

For taxes, the government provides estimates or recommendations on what a household would owe but its voluntary. You throe your money into programs that you want to see funded.

It could go horribly wrong, but so can centralized planning. At least this way the people are responsible for it either way.

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137. _heimd+6y3[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 14:57:44
>>jimkle+XX2
> Government is just a collection of people, collection of unknown neighbors.

I don't think that's an accurate comparison. None of the politicians in Washington are my neighbors, the closes one lives about 300 miles away but he is never actually home. Those politicians have an extreme amount of control over my life, well beyond what seems reasonable given how disconnected we are.

> Do you act or do you not act?

That varies a lot, but context is everything. If I see someone bleeding out, yes I would help. I generally have basic first aid on me including a tourniquet and chest seals. If I have open cuts on my hands and no gloves I'd have to consider the risk of infection, but if someone is likely to die I think I would take the risk (you never know until you're in the situation though).

If someone is attacked on the street, again yes I'd likely act. Context still matters, if I'm 30 feet away and the person has a gun I'd be of no use unless I'm also armed, and even then I'd have to draw before they saw me. If someone is getting beat up, mugged, even stabbed, sure I'd jump in. I think of have a really hard time living with the knowledge that I watched someone get attacked or murdered and did nothing.

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138. bdangu+iy3[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 14:58:41
>>neilc+xf3
Basically all college-bound 18-year olds understand what debt is

not to sound snarky but seldom do I read here something more wrong... if they did they would NEVER take on the kind of debt they are taking on in droves to get that paper. "debt" is one thing, you probably understand "debt" when you are a kid... understanding loans however - is an entirely different thing from general concept of "debt"

replies(1): >>neilc+U74
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139. freeja+YQ3[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 17:13:41
>>ajmurm+zz
People complain about effective altruism because they just talk about mosquito nets instead of anything like this.

Also, who is the person that "screwed up big"? I'm guessing you mean SBF but my view is that MacAskill is an outright shuckster.

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140. aylmao+TR3[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 17:19:37
>>whimsi+T52
Those who can afford it as easily as you say are the kind that will go to private schools in a heartbeat

Those who are struggling to afford it are the ones who will appreciate the help

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141. aylmao+tS3[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 17:23:27
>>_uxvx+L72
The world keeps showing the USA things can be better, but some of you really are entrenched deep in American hubris
replies(1): >>vtashk+Dg4
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142. aylmao+sT3[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 17:30:36
>>itsokt+eZ1
Source? If you're curious cost as it relates to supply and demand of higher education, here's one [1].

[1] https://www.stern.nyu.edu/sites/default/files/assets/documen...

143. cudgy+vU3[view] [source] 2025-01-23 17:39:10
>>CSSer+(OP)
Allowing student debts to be included in bankruptcy takes care of most of the issue. Those that were unable to find decent, paying jobs will have a path to relieve the stress of high student loan payments, while those that found high paying jobs will continue paying on the loans from which they received a benefit.
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144. qwytw+p24[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 18:28:16
>>bun_at+v81
Isn't most debt incurred by graduate students, especially those in med or law schools? Surely 4 years of higher education should be enough for someone to figure out basic maths?
replies(2): >>steven+Pw4 >>datavi+R38
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145. neilc+U74[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 18:57:33
>>bdangu+iy3
I suppose we’ll have to agree to disagree. I know lots of liberal arts majors who still have a lot of student loan debt in their late 20s and 30s. They knew what they were doing when they enrolled in college and chose their major, it wasn’t like cost of tuition or what an “interest rate” is was somehow obscured from them or too difficult for them to comprehend. In some cases they regret the choices they made earlier but that’s a different matter, those choices were not made in ignorance of the basic situation they were entering into.
replies(1): >>bdangu+cU4
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146. antice+pb4[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 19:22:16
>>bdangu+SV1
Yes, it's a specialised degree track: marketing is a full on 4 year degree with a possibility of continuing to postgraduate programs, including leading to Doctor of Marketing: https://www.hbs.edu/doctoral/phd-programs/marketing/Pages/de...
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147. olyjoh+Nc4[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 19:29:47
>>_heimd+482
Sorry, but you're just being a bit pedantic about this and it's not helping any conversation.
replies(1): >>_heimd+KO4
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148. vtashk+Dg4[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 19:53:05
>>aylmao+tS3
I am actually European :)
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149. steven+Ju4[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 21:30:38
>>no_wiz+s12
Also, there was lip service to relaxing regulations on building power plants (just for the data centers) and data centers, but it remains to be seen how much of this can be accomplished with just the federal government.
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150. steven+Pw4[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-23 21:48:05
>>qwytw+p24
Maybe, maybe not? This is hard to find via search, possibly due to graduate being inside the search term undergraduate. :)

This shows the average total owed by graduate students is much higher than undergraduates, about 3x. https://www.usatoday.com/money/blueprint/student-loans/avera... So just spitballing here, if there are more than 3x undergraduates than graduate students, and the same number have loans, the undergraduate debt is higher overall.

But then there's this showing the median being closer to only 2x different https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/09/18/facts-abo...

The long rise of for profit undergraduate institutions until quite recently says it was extremely profitable to get students into debt for questionable education value, it's almost like payday loan shops, just preying on different segment of population.

https://www.highereducationinquirer.org/2022/01/how-universi...

I don't think traditional public or private four year universities are blameless, either, raising tuition to match this endlessly rising loans guaranteed by Federal government with spiraling administrative system costs.

Even though the cost is high I thought in the USA the number of med school students is restricted to a very small number.

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151. _heimd+KO4[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-24 00:48:53
>>olyjoh+Nc4
I'm not sure how, it seems really important to distinguish between free and not free. To me it seems disingenuous to call something free when its publicly funded.
replies(1): >>thfura+JT4
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152. thfura+JT4[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-24 01:51:26
>>_heimd+KO4
But everyone knows that "free" in this context means publicly funded. Free as in beer never meant that the entire production of the beer somehow was accomplished without financial or material input.
replies(1): >>_heimd+qY4
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153. bdangu+cU4[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-24 01:56:56
>>neilc+U74
We definitely agree to disagree… I am trying to understand your point of view but failing - if they understood the loan and still took on it does that mean that they are just being irrational? or stupid (I don’t mean to sound mean here but lacking a more PC word here…)?
replies(1): >>neilc+Pca
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154. _heimd+qY4[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-24 03:09:57
>>thfura+JT4
That doesn't hold up even just in this comment thread. Higher up when I asked who pays for it the reply I got was "Not anyone". The person really didn't seem to get that " free" == publicly funded == taxpayers pay for it.
replies(1): >>thfura+p15
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155. thfura+p15[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-24 03:48:00
>>_heimd+qY4
No, they said that not just anyone can get in for free; there's an admission test.
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156. dinkum+a55[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-24 04:30:10
>>_heimd+jf2
You think defense is only necessary in times of war? I think you should re-think that position. If you mean that, it is just a fundamental misunderstanding of ... everything.
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157. ashoea+9c5[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-24 06:30:08
>>lumost+i12
For now. If trump wages the culture war to completion and decides to ruin the universities with a cut of future income and a haircut .
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158. piltdo+to5[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-24 09:41:11
>>tallda+BI1
>>the Weekend At Bernie's-esque corpse that is America's "lead" in software technology

Compared with who exactly? Certainly not EMEA. Korea is mainly hardware and China has run out of IP to copy.

159. lauren+ks5[view] [source] 2025-01-24 10:46:06
>>CSSer+(OP)
You are forgetting the fact that this is a private investment, whereas the student loans problem should be solved by the government. No private institutions will have any interests in paying off student loans.
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160. Eleven+k16[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-24 15:40:25
>>cma+S42
> I don't like it, but how would you prevent everyone from getting expensive schooling and then immediately declaring bankruptcy?

You don't! If the government is backing the loan, as is true in almost all cases, you eagerly take the write-off on the public purse in the knowledge that you've just gained an enthusiastic taxpayer who can open a new business or take a flyer on a new career, instead of a debt slave that is terrified to do anything but brownnose their way up the ladder at their dead-end callcenter job that will disappear the minute someone figures out it can be done in Bangladesh or by AI for cents on the dollar.

Sure, it would be better and more efficient to do this directly by nationalizing the state schools and offering free tuition or something, but we have to work with what we have.

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161. nuance+4N6[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-24 21:32:02
>>no_wiz+s12
I really really don't get it. You (US) all saw it coming. Everybody knew voting for the dark side would funnel money away from poor and middle class towards the rich. Is it a dementia outbreak? Can someone shed a spark of light on the mechanics of all this crazyness?
replies(2): >>drekk+4d7 >>datavi+N28
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162. nuance+rP6[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-24 21:50:49
>>_heimd+DF
Educated people get better paying jobs. More pay means more payed taxes as well. If you have a smart tax system with progressive tax, that's a real lever.

It sounds counter intuitive, but more taxes is more fair and better as a whole. To prove, it takes no more than to look up correlation of amounts of taxes with percentages of homelessness (and other such indicators) between western countries.

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163. drekk+4d7[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-25 02:00:22
>>nuance+4N6
Americans are fine voting against their interests as long as someone else is hurt worse by it. These policies will hurt most Americans, but as long as trans folks and racial minorities get hurt worse it's fine. Nothing new about the southern strategy.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_strategy?wprov=sfti1

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164. datavi+N28[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-25 14:49:28
>>nuance+4N6
We have a saying here. "It's the economy, stupid." The orange one appealed straight to the people's economic situation. Our elections hinge on who turns out to vote. Anyone of modest means saw their cash bleed away and their life gets harder. The sitting president always gets punished for this. It's not complicated.
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165. datavi+838[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-25 14:53:45
>>visarg+rg
Simple ten years of tax deductions for paid student loans. Fixed it.
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166. datavi+E38[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-25 14:58:21
>>mlazos+wc3
In America so many banks are hungry to loan money. You can build up your credit and save. I recovered from bankruptcy before the ink was dry. I was driving a new car and living in a new house in short order. It is now long gone from my credit file. Don't ever talk someone out of bankruptcy if they qualify for it.

If you own a home you can exclude it from the bankruptcy. You can also include it and continue to pay the payments and the contract must be honored!

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167. datavi+R38[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-25 15:01:43
>>qwytw+p24
My mom has a master's degree and couldn't plan her finances or retirement if her life depended on it.
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168. neilc+Pca[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-26 14:21:00
>>bdangu+cU4
They absolutely understood the terms of the loan. I think they do it anyway because: (1) everyone else is doing it and they don’t have a good alternative (2) career optimism. If you end up becoming a lawyer/consultant/accountant or otherwise have a good corporate job, in the medium-term your student loan debt doesn’t really have a significant impact on your life.

It’s really only a problem if you (1) choose a private college and don’t stay in-state, (2) get a degree which doesn’t have a lot of practical value, and (3) then want to pursue a low-paying field or get a not-useful graduate degree. For example, a friend of mine did her undergrad in art history, master’s in museum studies, and works for a non-profit. She’s not rich but she’s able to survive reasonably comfortably. She’s not dumb or financially illiterate, and she knew what she was getting in for.

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169. indymi+H1d[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-27 13:45:20
>>cma+S42
> how would you prevent everyone from getting expensive schooling and then immediately declaring bankruptcy

If the expensive schooling works, then the person should be able to get a nice, well paying job and pay off the loan over the next 20 years. Many of the differal programs (i.e. "putting the loan on hold") programs and policies would prevent this. It's when the clock runs out, and the student can't get the high-paying job that we have issues...

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170. indymi+7Ed[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-27 17:27:26
>>mlazos+wc3
Bankruptcies are not a cure all. They are a way to force creditors to work with debtors to either get the debt to where it can be paid back, or git rid of debts the debtor will ever be able to pay. The idea is to prevent usury or debt servitude. It also has the effect of introducing a risk to a loan where the lender can lose their money, and has to consider if it is a good idea to write the loan. Student loans are risky, so the government guarantees them, but even so the default rate is high. Perhaps our focus should be on figuring out why so many loans default and working on bringing expenses and outcomes to an alignment where people don't default.
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