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[parent] [thread] 33 comments
1. 383toa+(OP)[view] [source] 2025-01-21 23:29:41
Where are they getting the $500B? Softbank's market cap is 84b and their entire vision fund is only $100b, Oracle only has $11b cash on hand, OpenAI's only raised $17b total...
replies(14): >>notato+x1 >>dang+M1 >>handfu+R2 >>Turing+A4 >>themag+m5 >>jhalle+cc >>paulnp+qc >>bdangu+Uc >>LarsDu+Zc >>philip+Ed >>dkrich+xn >>mmoust+fE >>tim333+B61 >>eichi+6Q1
2. notato+x1[view] [source] 2025-01-21 23:40:24
>>383toa+(OP)
there doesn't appear to be any timeline announced here. the article says the "initial investment" is expected to be $100bn, but even that doesn't mean $100bn this year.

if this is part of softbank's existing plan to invest $100bn in ai over the next four years, then all that's being announced here is that Sama and Larry Ellison wanted to stand on a stage beside trump and remind people about it.

replies(2): >>HotHot+ut >>ericjm+DQ1
3. dang+M1[view] [source] 2025-01-21 23:41:45
>>383toa+(OP)
I agree that the numbers are confusing so I've taken $500B out of the title above and replaced it with just data centers.
4. handfu+R2[view] [source] 2025-01-21 23:48:45
>>383toa+(OP)
Sleight of hand with the phrasing "up to" $500B.
5. Turing+A4[view] [source] 2025-01-21 23:59:08
>>383toa+(OP)
>> Where are they getting the $500B? Softbank's market cap is 84b and their entire vision fund is only $100b, Oracle only has $11b cash on hand, OpenAI's only raised $17b total...

1. The outlays can be over many years.

2. They can raise debt. People will happily invest at modest yields.

3. They can raise an equity fund.

replies(4): >>jamesh+v5 >>griomn+j6 >>sangno+6c >>b3lved+gr1
6. themag+m5[view] [source] 2025-01-22 00:04:21
>>383toa+(OP)
Softbank is being granted a block of TRUMP MEMES, the price of which will skyrocket when they are included in the bucket of crypto assets purchased as part of the crypto reserve.
replies(2): >>griomn+g6 >>1oooqo+W8
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7. jamesh+v5[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 00:05:18
>>Turing+A4
Soooo this isn’t so much ‘announcing an investment’ as ‘announcing an investment opportunity’?

Why not continue:

4. They can start a kickstarter or go fund me

5. They can go on Dragons’ Den

replies(2): >>griomn+o6 >>Turing+m7
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8. griomn+g6[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 00:10:46
>>themag+m5
Altman is pivoting from WorldCoin to TrumpCoin - your retina will shortly be wired into the fascist meme-o-verse.
replies(1): >>themag+29
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9. griomn+j6[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 00:11:13
>>Turing+A4
4. Trump and Altman are both serial liars and it’s utter bullshit.
replies(1): >>gunian+I8
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10. griomn+o6[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 00:11:43
>>jamesh+v5
6. ??? 7. Profit.
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11. Turing+m7[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 00:19:37
>>jamesh+v5
>> 4. They can start a kickstarter or go fund me

Debt/Equity Fundraising is basically a kickstarter! Remarkably similar.

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12. gunian+I8[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 00:27:24
>>griomn+j6
who isn't at least they upfront
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13. 1oooqo+W8[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 00:28:59
>>themag+m5
how I wish that was a joke...
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14. themag+29[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 00:29:40
>>griomn+g6
It's actually wireless, via 5G as part of the AI designed MRNA vaccine.
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15. sangno+6c[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 00:56:12
>>Turing+A4
4. The US government can chip in via grants, tax breaks or contracts.

It's all very Dr. Strangelove. "Mr. President, we must not allow an AI gap! Now give us billions"

replies(1): >>selimt+y61
16. jhalle+cc[view] [source] 2025-01-22 00:56:37
>>383toa+(OP)
Oracle's cash on hand is presumably irrelevant- I think they are on the receiving end of the money, in return for servers. No wonder Larry Ellison was so fawning.

Is this is a good investment by Softbank? Who knows.. they did invest in Uber, but also have many bad investments.

replies(1): >>ansibl+lD2
17. paulnp+qc[view] [source] 2025-01-22 00:58:53
>>383toa+(OP)
> Where are they getting the $500B?

BTC

18. bdangu+Uc[view] [source] 2025-01-22 01:03:14
>>383toa+(OP)
from Uncle Sam
19. LarsDu+Zc[view] [source] 2025-01-22 01:04:18
>>383toa+(OP)
Quite possibly pulled out of their asses...

If Son can actually build a 500B Vision Fund it can only come from one of two places...

somehow the dollar depreciates radically OR Saudis

Vision Fund was heavily invested in by the Saudis so...

20. philip+Ed[view] [source] 2025-01-22 01:11:30
>>383toa+(OP)
MGX has at least $100bn: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/a-100-billion-middle...

This is Abu Dhabi money.

replies(2): >>petese+dn >>csomar+Jw
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21. petese+dn[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 02:10:34
>>philip+Ed
This would be a large outlay even for UAE, who would be giving it to a direct competitor in the space: UAE is one of the few countries outside of the US who are in any way serious about AI.
22. dkrich+xn[view] [source] 2025-01-22 02:13:13
>>383toa+(OP)
Psst: it’s probably going to end up being a fraction of that but doesn’t make for as good a headline
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23. HotHot+ut[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 02:57:17
>>notato+x1
The literal first sentence of the announcement is:

> The Stargate Project is a new company which intends to invest $500 billion over the next four years

replies(2): >>ericjm+cQ1 >>tmvphi+gJ2
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24. csomar+Jw[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 03:26:11
>>philip+Ed
That's their total fund and I doubt they are going all in with it in the US. Still, to reach $500bn, they need $125bn every single year. I think they just put down the numbers they want to "see" invested and now they'll be looking for backers. I don't think this is going anywhere really.
25. mmoust+fE[view] [source] 2025-01-22 04:39:39
>>383toa+(OP)
SoftBank's current AUM is $350B [1], and they will likely raise another fund.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SoftBank_Group

replies(1): >>Ardren+X71
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26. selimt+y61[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 09:25:59
>>sangno+6c
Is Elon putting on some black leather?
27. tim333+B61[view] [source] 2025-01-22 09:26:58
>>383toa+(OP)
I think it's more announce the plan first, then try to find the investors for most of it.
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28. Ardren+X71[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 09:35:17
>>mmoust+fE
> AUM ¥347.7 billion

Is that the figure correct figure? Because that's Japanese yen which is more like $2.2B USD?

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29. b3lved+gr1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 12:34:58
>>Turing+A4
Maybe it's in Bison Dollars?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DPy27XWfAyI

30. eichi+6Q1[view] [source] 2025-01-22 15:11:25
>>383toa+(OP)
Probably from the corrupted financial system, but we need to forword the project, haha
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31. ericjm+cQ1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 15:11:52
>>HotHot+ut
The project was announced a year ago so "new"
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32. ericjm+DQ1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 15:14:58
>>notato+x1
Seems like you nailed it.
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33. ansibl+lD2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 19:42:37
>>jhalle+cc
> `... they did invest in Uber, but also have many bad investments.`

The one I really don't get is that they funded Adam Neumann's new company after the collapse of WeWork. How stupid do you have to be to give that guy any more money?

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34. tmvphi+gJ2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-01-22 20:22:04
>>HotHot+ut
Not the first sentence of the new AP link target, which is much more vague. Kind of annoying for HN to swap it out like this.
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