zlacker

https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/john-schulman

>>ctoth+(OP)
Is the quote you're thinking of the one at 19:11?

> I don't think it's going to happen next year, it's still useful to have the conversation and maybe it's like two or three years instead.

This doesn't seem like a super definite prediction. The "two or three" might have just been a hypothetical.

>>N0b8ez+q2
Right at the end of the interview Schulman says that he expects AGI to be able to replace himself in 5 years. He seemed a bit sheepish when saying it, so hard to tell if he really believed it, or if was just saying what he'd been told to say (I can't believe Altman is allowing employees to be interviewed like this without telling them what they can't say, and what they should say).