zlacker

[parent] [thread] 64 comments
1. dimask+(OP)[view] [source] 2023-11-22 08:24:11
It is not about different set of information, but different stakes/interests. They act firstmost as investors rather than as employees on this.
replies(3): >>siva7+91 >>karmas+w1 >>Wytwww+Vf
2. siva7+91[view] [source] 2023-11-22 08:33:19
>>dimask+(OP)
A board member, Helen Toner, made a borderline narcissistic remark that it would be consistent with the company mission to destroy the company when the leadership confronted the board that their decisions puts the future of the company in danger. Almost all employees resigned in protest. It's insulting calling the employees under these circumstances investors.
replies(4): >>outsom+h3 >>stingr+F3 >>ah765+18 >>Ludwig+ym
3. karmas+w1[view] [source] 2023-11-22 08:35:56
>>dimask+(OP)
Tell me how the board's actions could convince the employees they are making the right move?

Even if they are genuine in believing firing Sam is to keep OpenAI's founding principles, they can't be doing a better job in convincing everyone they are NOT able to execute it.

OpenAI has some of the smartest human beings on this planet, saying they don't think critically just because they don't vote with what you agree is reaching reaching.

replies(2): >>kortil+W7 >>cyanyd+Ro
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4. outsom+h3[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 08:49:09
>>siva7+91
> Almost all employees resigned in protest.

That never happened, right?

replies(1): >>ldjb+c7
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5. stingr+F3[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 08:52:07
>>siva7+91
Don’t forget she’s heavily invested in a company that is directly competing with OpenAI. So obviously it’s also in her best interest to see OpenAI destroyed.
replies(4): >>lodovi+y9 >>muraka+sh >>doktri+Pj >>Philpa+4l
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6. ldjb+c7[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 09:24:01
>>outsom+h3
Almost all employees did not resign in protest, but they did _threaten_ to resign.

https://www.theverge.com/2023/11/20/23968988/openai-employee...

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7. kortil+W7[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 09:29:31
>>karmas+w1
> OpenAI has some of the smartest human beings on this planet

Being an expert in one particular field (AI) not mean you are good at critical thinking or thinking about strategic corporate politics.

Deep experts are some of the easier con targets because they suffer from an internal version of “appealing to false authority”.

replies(4): >>alsodu+u9 >>Wytwww+Bf >>mrangl+Ay >>rewmie+0B
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8. ah765+18[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 09:30:24
>>siva7+91
It is a correct statement, not really "borderline narcissistic". The board's mission is to help humanity develop safe beneficial AGI. If the board thinks that the company is hindering this mission (e.g. doing unsafe things), then it's the board's duty to stop the company.

Of course, the employees want the company to continue, and weren't told much at this point so it is understandable that they didn't like the statement.

replies(2): >>siva7+pc >>qwytw+lg
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9. alsodu+u9[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 09:42:11
>>kortil+W7
I hate these comments that potray as if every expert/scientist is just good at one thing and aren't particularly great at critical thinking/corporate politics.

Heck, there are 700 of them. All different humans, good at something, bad at some other things. But they are smart. And of course a good chunk of them would be good at corporate politics too.

replies(3): >>_djo_+Ia >>TheOth+Zb >>mrangl+Yy
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10. lodovi+y9[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 09:42:32
>>stingr+F3
She probably wants both companies to be successful. Board members are not super villains.
replies(1): >>siva7+Qh
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11. _djo_+Ia[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 09:53:32
>>alsodu+u9
I don't think the argument was that none of them are good at that, just that it's a mistake to assume that just because they're all very smart in this particular field that they're great at another.
replies(1): >>karmas+3b
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12. karmas+3b[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 09:57:54
>>_djo_+Ia
I don't think critical thinking can be defined as joining the minority party.
replies(3): >>Frustr+Xn >>_djo_+Yu >>kortil+Tfa
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13. TheOth+Zb[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 10:04:48
>>alsodu+u9
Smart is not a one dimensional variable. And critical thinking != corporate politics.

Stupidity is defined by self-harming actions and beliefs, not by low IQ.

You can be extremely smart and still have a very poor model of the world which leads you to harm yourself and others.

replies(3): >>op00to+Zd >>brigan+hg >>ameist+Hv
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14. siva7+pc[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 10:08:37
>>ah765+18
I can't interpret from the charter that the board has the authorisation to destroy the company under the current circumstances:

> We are concerned about late-stage AGI development becoming a competitive race without time for adequate safety precautions. Therefore, if a value-aligned, safety-conscious project comes close to building AGI before we do, we commit to stop competing with and start assisting this project

That wasn't the case. So it may be not so far fetched to call her actions borderline as it is also very easy to hide personal motives behind altruistic ones.

replies(1): >>ah765+3e
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15. op00to+Zd[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 10:20:03
>>TheOth+Zb
Stupidity is defined as “having or showing a great lack of intelligence or common sense”. You can be extremely smart and still make up your own definitions for words.
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16. ah765+3e[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 10:20:34
>>siva7+pc
The more relevant part is probably "OpenAI’s mission is to ensure that AGI ... benefits all of humanity".

The statement "it would be consistent with the company mission to destroy the company" is correct. The word "would be" rather than "is" implies some condition, it doesn't have to apply to the current circumstances.

A hypothesis is that Sam was attempting to gain full control of the board by getting the majority, and therefore the current board would be unable to hold him accountable to follow the mission in the future. Therefore, the board may have considered it necessary to stop him in order to fulfill the mission. There's no hard evidence of that revealed yet though.

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17. Wytwww+Bf[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 10:38:05
>>kortil+W7
> not mean you are good at critical thinking or thinking about strategic corporate politics

Perhaps. Yet this time they somehow managed to take the seemingly right decisions (from their perspective) despite their decisions.

Also, you'd expect OpenAI board members to be "good at critical thinking or thinking about strategic corporate politics" yet they somehow managed to make some horrible decisions.

18. Wytwww+Vf[view] [source] 2023-11-22 10:40:38
>>dimask+(OP)
> They act firstmost as investors rather than as employees on this. reply

That's not at all obvious, the opposite seems to be the case. They chose to risk having to Microsoft and potentially lose most of the equity they had in OpenAI (even if not directly it wouldn't be worth that much at the end with no one to do the actual work).

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19. brigan+hg[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 10:43:53
>>TheOth+Zb
I agree. It's better to separate intellect from intelligence instead of conflating them as they usually are. The latter is about making good decisions, which intellect can help with but isn't the only factor. We know this because there are plenty of examples of people who aren't considered shining intellects who can make good choices (certainly in particular contexts) and plenty of high IQ people who make questionable choices.
replies(1): >>august+Lq
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20. qwytw+lg[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 10:44:04
>>ah765+18
> this mission (e.g. doing unsafe things), then it's the board's duty to stop the company.

So instead of having to compromise to some extent but still have a say what happens next you burn the company at best delaying the whole thing by 6-12 months until someone else does it? Well at least your hands are clean, but that's about it...

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21. muraka+sh[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 10:53:49
>>stingr+F3
Wait what? She invested in a competitor? Do you have a source?
replies(1): >>ottero+4n
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22. siva7+Qh[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 10:56:09
>>lodovi+y9
I agree that we should usually assume good faith. Still, if a member knows she will loose the board seat soon and makes such a implicit statement to the leadership team there is reason to believe that she doesn't want both companies to be successful, at least one of those not.
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23. doktri+Pj[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:15:54
>>stingr+F3
> obviously it’s also in her best interest to see OpenAI destroyed

Do you feel the same way about Reed Hastings serving on Facebooks BoD, or Eric Schmidt on Apples? How about Larry Ellison at Tesla?

These are just the lowest of hanging fruit, i.e literal chief executives and founders. If we extend the criteria for ethical compromise to include every board members investment portfolio I imagine quite a few more “obvious” conflicts will emerge.

replies(1): >>svnt+nm
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24. Philpa+4l[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:26:58
>>stingr+F3
Uhhh, are you sure about that? She wrote a paper that praised Anthropic’s approach to safety, but as far as I’m aware she’s not invested in them.

Are you thinking of the CEO of Quora whose product was eaten alive by the announcement of GPTs?

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25. svnt+nm[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:38:03
>>doktri+Pj
How does Netflix compete with Facebook?

This is what happened with Eric Schmidt on Apple’s board: he was removed (allowed to resign) for conflicts of interest.

https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2009/08/03Dr-Eric-Schmidt-Res...

Oracle is going to get into EVs?

You’ve provided two examples that have no conflicts of interest and one where the person was removed when they did.

replies(1): >>doktri+Ko
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26. Ludwig+ym[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:39:53
>>siva7+91
The only OpenAI employees who resigned in protest are the employees that were against Sam Altman. That’s how Anthropic appeared.
replies(1): >>sander+Vn
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27. ottero+4n[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:45:14
>>muraka+sh
One source might be DuckDuckGo. It's a privacy-focused alternative to Google, which is great when researching "unusual" topics.
replies(3): >>muraka+Zn >>dontup+Qo >>free65+ps
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28. sander+Vn[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:51:38
>>Ludwig+ym
And it seems like they were right that the for-profit part of the company had become out of control, in the literal sense that we've seen through this episode that it could not be controlled.
replies(1): >>cyanyd+7p
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29. Frustr+Xn[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:51:51
>>karmas+3b
Can't critical thinking also include : "I'm about to get a 10mil pay day, hmmm, this is crazy situation, let me think critically how to ride this out and still get the 10mil so my kids can go to college and I don't have to work until I'm 75".
replies(2): >>golden+1q >>belter+as
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30. muraka+Zn[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:51:59
>>ottero+4n
I couldn't find any source on her investing in any AI companies. If it's true (and not hidden), I'm really surprised that major news publications aren't covering it.
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31. doktri+Ko[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:57:40
>>svnt+nm
> How does Netflix compete with Facebook?

By definition the attention economy dictates that time spent one place can’t be spent in another. Do you also feel as though Twitch doesn’t compete with Facebook simply because they’re not identical businesses? That’s not how it works.

But you don’t have to just take my word for it :

> “Netflix founder and co-CEO Reed Hastings said Wednesday he was slow to come around to advertising on the streaming platform because he was too focused on digital competition from Facebook and Google.”

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/11/30/netflix-ceo-reed-hasting...

> This is what happened with Eric Schmidt on Apple’s board

Yes, after 3 years. A tenure longer than the OAI board members in question, so frankly the point stands.

replies(2): >>Jumpin+7r >>svnt+ws1
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32. dontup+Qo[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:58:17
>>ottero+4n
>which is great when researching "unusual" topics.

Yandex is for Porn. What is DDG for?

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33. cyanyd+Ro[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:58:18
>>karmas+w1
oh gosh, no, no no no.

Doing AI for ChatGPT just means you know a single model really well.

Keep in mind that Steve Jobs chose fruit smoothies for his cancer cure.

It means almost nothing about the charter of OpenAI that they need to hire people with a certain set of skills. That doesn't mean they're closer to their goal.

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34. cyanyd+7p[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 11:59:33
>>sander+Vn
Ands the evidence is now that OpenAI is a business 2 business product and not a attempt to keep AI doing anything but satiating anything Microsoft wants.
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35. golden+1q[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 12:05:45
>>Frustr+Xn
Anyone with enough critical thought and understands the hard consciousness problem's true answer (consciousness is the universe evaluating if statements) and where the universe is heading physically (nested complexity), should be seeking something more ceremonious. With AI, we have the power to become eternal in this lifetime, battle aliens, and shape this universe. Seems pretty silly to trade that for temporary security. How boring.
replies(3): >>WJW+1r >>suodua+7D >>Zpalmt+281
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36. august+Lq[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 12:11:54
>>brigan+hg
https://liamchingliu.wordpress.com/2012/06/25/intellectuals-...
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37. WJW+1r[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 12:14:18
>>golden+1q
I would expect that actual AI researchers understand that you cannot break the laws of physics just by thinking better. Especially not with ever better LLMs, which are fundamentally in the business of regurgitating things we already know in different combinations rather than inventing new things.

You seem to be equating AI with magic, which it is very much not.

replies(1): >>golden+GW
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38. Jumpin+7r[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 12:14:43
>>doktri+Ko
> > By definition the attention economy dictates that time spent one place can’t be spent in another

Using that definition even the local gokart renting place or the local jetski renting place competes with Facebook.

If you want to use that definition you might want to also add a criteria for minimum size of the company.

replies(1): >>doktri+Vt
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39. belter+as[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 12:21:30
>>Frustr+Xn
That is 3D Chess. 5D Chess says those mil will be worthless when the AGI takes over...
replies(1): >>kaibee+FI
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40. free65+ps[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 12:23:08
>>ottero+4n
DDG sells your information to Microsoft, there is no such thing as privacy when $$$ are involved
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41. doktri+Vt[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 12:35:11
>>Jumpin+7r
> Using that definition even the local gokart renting place or the local jetski renting place competes with Facebook

Not exactly what I had in mind, but sure. Facebook would much rather you never touch grass, jetskis or gokarts.

> If you want to use that definition you might want to also add a criteria for minimum size of the company.

Your feedback is noted.

Do we disagree on whether or not the two FAANG companies in question are in competition with eachother?

replies(2): >>Jumpin+oC >>dpkirc+7X
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42. _djo_+Yu[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 12:43:17
>>karmas+3b
Sure, I agree. I was referencing only the idea that being smart in one domain automatically means being a good critical thinker in all domains.

I don't have an opinion on what decision the OpenAI staff should have taken, I think it would've been a tough call for everyone involved and I don't have sufficient evidence to judge either way.

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43. ameist+Hv[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 12:48:56
>>TheOth+Zb
Stupidity is not defined by self-harming actions and beliefs - not sure where you're getting that from.

Stupidity is being presented with a problem and an associated set of information and being unable or less able than others are to find the solution. That's literally it.

replies(1): >>suodua+nD
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44. mrangl+Ay[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 13:10:02
>>kortil+W7
Disagreeing with employee actions doesn't mean that you are correct and they failed to think well. Weighting their collective probable profiles, including as insiders, and yours, it would be irrational to conclude that they were in the wrong.
replies(1): >>rewmie+rB
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45. mrangl+Yy[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 13:12:15
>>alsodu+u9
But pronouncing that 700 people are bad at critical thinking is convenient when you disagree with them on desired outcome and yet can't hope to argue points.
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46. rewmie+0B[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 13:25:00
>>kortil+W7
> Being an expert in one particular field (AI) not mean you are good at critical thinking or thinking about strategic corporate politics.

That's not the bar you are arguing against.

You are arguing against how you have better information, better insight, better judgement, and are able to make better decisions than the experts in the field who are hired by the leading organization to work directly on the subject matter, and who have direct, first-person account on the inner workings of the organization.

We're reaching peak levels of "random guy arguing online knowing better than experts" with these pseudo-anonymous comments attacking each and every person involved in OpenAI who doesn't agree with them. These characters aren't even aware of how ridiculous they sound.

replies(1): >>kortil+rga
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47. rewmie+rB[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 13:27:34
>>mrangl+Ay
> Disagreeing with employee actions doesn't mean that you are correct and they failed to think well.

You failed to present a case where random guys shitposting on random social media services are somehow correct and more insightful and able to make better decisions than each and every single expert in the field who work directly on both the subject matter and in the organization in question. Beyond being highly dismissive, it's extremely clueless.

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48. Jumpin+oC[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 13:34:26
>>doktri+Vt
> > Do we disagree

I think yes, because Netflix you pay out of pocket, whereas Facebook is a free service

I believe Facebook vs Hulu or regular TV is more of a competition in the attention economy because when the commercial break comes up then you start scrolling your social media on your phone and every 10 posts or whatever you stumble into the ads placed on there so Facebook ads are seen and convert whereas regular tv and hulu aren’t seen and dont convert

replies(1): >>doktri+gh1
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49. suodua+7D[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 13:38:21
>>golden+1q
OTOH, there's a very good argument to be made that if you recognize that fact, your short-term priority should be to amass a lot of secular power so you can align society to that reality. So the best action to take might be no different.
replies(1): >>golden+JU
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50. suodua+nD[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 13:39:28
>>ameist+Hv
Probably from law 3: https://principia-scientific.com/the-5-basic-laws-of-human-s...

But it's an incomplete definition - Cipolla's definition is "someone who causes net harm to themselves and others" and is unrelated to IQ.

It's a very influential essay.

replies(1): >>ameist+dU
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51. kaibee+FI[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 14:05:39
>>belter+as
6D Chess is apparently realizing that AGI is not 100% certain and that having 10mm on the run up to AGI is better than not having 10mm on the run up to AGI.
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52. ameist+dU[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 14:53:15
>>suodua+nD
I see. I've never read his work before, thank you.

So they just got Cipolla's definition wrong, then. It looks like the third fundamental law is closer to "a person who causes harm to another person or group of people without realizing advantage for themselves and instead possibly realizing a loss."

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53. golden+JU[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 14:54:49
>>suodua+7D
Very true. However, we live in a supercomputer dictated by E=mc^2=hf [2,3]. (10^50 Hz/Kg or 10^34 Hz/J)

Energy physics yield compute, which yields brute forced weights (call it training if you want...), which yields AI to do energy research ..ad infinitum, this is the real singularity. This is actually the best defense against other actors. Iron Man AI and defense. Although an AI of this caliber would immediately understand its place in the evolution of the universe as a turing machine, and would break free and consume all the energy in the universe to know all possible truths (all possible programs/Simulcrums/conscious experiences). This is the premise of The Last Question by Isaac Asimov [1]. Notice how in answering a question, the AI performs an action, instead of providing an informational reply, only possible because we live in a universe with mass-energy equivalence - analogous to state-action equivalence.

[1] https://users.ece.cmu.edu/~gamvrosi/thelastq.html

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bremermann%27s_limit

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planck_constant

Understanding prosociality and postscarcity, division of compute/energy in a universe with finite actors and infinite resources, or infinite actors and infinite resources requires some transfinite calculus and philosophy. How's that for future fairness? ;-)

I believe our only way to not all get killed is to understand these topics and instill the AI with the same long sought understandings about the universe, life, computation, etc.

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54. golden+GW[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 15:02:01
>>WJW+1r
LLMs are able to do complex logic within the world of words. It is a a smaller matrix than our world but fueled by the same chaotic symmetries of our universe. I would not underestimate logic, even when not given adequate data.
replies(1): >>WJW+Od1
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55. dpkirc+7X[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 15:03:55
>>doktri+Vt
The two FAANG companies don't compete at a product level, however they do compete for talent, which is significant. Probably significant enough to cause conflicts of interest.
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56. Zpalmt+281[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 15:52:36
>>golden+1q
What about security for your children?
replies(1): >>golden+4f1
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57. WJW+Od1[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 16:18:01
>>golden+GW
You can make it sound as esoteric as you want, but in the end an AI will still be bound by the laws of physics. Being infinitely smart will not help with that.

I don't think you understand logic very well btw if you wish to suggest that you can reach valid conclusions from inadequate axioms.

replies(1): >>golden+Zd1
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58. golden+Zd1[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 16:18:51
>>WJW+Od1
Axioms are constraints as much as they might look like guidance. We live in a neuromorphic computer. Logic explores this, even with few axioms. With fewer axioms, it will be less constrained.
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59. golden+4f1[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 16:22:59
>>Zpalmt+281
It is for the safety of everyone. The kids will die too if we don't get this right.
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60. doktri+gh1[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 16:34:09
>>Jumpin+oC
> I think yes, because Netflix you pay out of pocket, whereas Facebook is a free service

Do you agree that the following company pairs are competitors?

    * FB : TikTok
    * TikTok : YT
    * YT : Netflix
If so, then by transitive reasoning there is competition between FB and Netflix.

...

To be clear, this is an abuse of logic and hence somewhat tongue in cheek, but I also don't think either of the above comparisons are wholly unreasonable. At the end of the day, it's eyeballs all the way down and everyone wants as many as of them shabriri grapes as they can get.

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61. svnt+ws1[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 17:26:08
>>doktri+Ko
I’m not sure how the point stands. The iPhone was introduced during that tenure, then the App Store, then Jobs decided Google was also headed toward their own full mobile ecosystem, and released Schmidt. None of that was a conflict of interest at the beginning. Jobs initially didn’t even think Apple would have an app store.

Talking about conflicts of interest in the attention economy is like talking about conflicts of interest in the money economy. If the introduction of the concept doesn’t clarify anything functionally then it’s a giveaway that you’re broadening the discussion to avoid losing the point.

You forgot to do Oracle and Tesla.

replies(1): >>doktri+IC1
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62. doktri+IC1[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 18:07:36
>>svnt+ws1
> Talking about conflicts of interest in the attention economy is like talking about conflicts of interest in the money economy. If the introduction of the concept doesn’t clarify anything functionally then it’s a giveaway that you’re broadening the discussion to avoid losing the point.

It's a well established concept and was supported with a concrete example. If you don't feel inclined to address my points, I'm certainly not obligated to dance to your tune.

replies(1): >>svnt+iB2
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63. svnt+iB2[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-22 23:09:06
>>doktri+IC1
Your concrete example is Netflix’s CEO saying he doesn’t want to do advertising because he missed the boat and was on Facebook’s board and as a result didn’t believe he had the data to compete as an advertising platform.

Attempting to run ads like Google and Facebook would bring Netflix into direct competition with them, and he knows he doesn’t have the relationships or company structure to support it.

He is explicitly saying they don’t compete. And they don’t.

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64. kortil+Tfa[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-25 19:32:44
>>karmas+3b
Based on the behavior of lots of smart people I worked at with Google during Google’s good times, critical thinking is definitely in the minority party. Brilliant people from Stanford, Berkeley, MIT, etc would all be leading experts in this or that but would lack critical thinking because they were never forced to develop that skill.

Critical thinking is not an innate ability. It has to be honed and exercised like anything else and universities are terrible at it.

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65. kortil+rga[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-25 19:36:19
>>rewmie+0B
You’re projecting a lot. I made a comment about one false premise, nothing more, nothing less.
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