zlacker

[parent] [thread] 7 comments
1. morale+(OP)[view] [source] 2023-11-20 05:46:48
Also, serious investors won't touch OpenAI with a ten foot pole after these events.

There's an idealistic bunch of people that think this was the best thing to happen to OpenAI, time will tell but I personally think this is the end of the company (and Ilya).

Satya must be quite pissed off and rightly so, he gave them big money, believed in them and got backstabbed as well; disregarding @sama, MS is their single largest investor and it didn't even warrant a courtesy phone call to let them know of all this fiasco (even thought some savants were saying they shouldn't have to, because they "only" owned 49% of the LLC. LMAO).

Next bit of news will be Microsoft pulling out of the deal but, unlike this board, Satya is not a manchild going through a crisis, so it will happen without it being a scandal. MS should probably just grow their own AI in-house at this point, they have all the resources in the world to do so. People who think that MS (a ~50 old company, with 200k employees, valued at almost 3 trillion) is now lost without OpenAI and the Ilya gang must have room temperature IQs.

replies(3): >>visarg+p4 >>clover+s4 >>didibu+Nc
2. visarg+p4[view] [source] 2023-11-20 06:12:04
>>morale+(OP)
200k MS employees can't do what 500 from OAI can, the more you pile on the problem, the worse the outcome. The problem with Microsoft is that, like Google, Amazon and IBM, they are not a good medium for radical innovation, are old, ossified companies. Apple used to be nimble when Steve was alive, but went to coasting mode since then. Having large revenue from old business is an obstacle in the new world, maybe Apple was nimble because it had small market share.
replies(2): >>codebo+37 >>hn_thr+z9
3. clover+s4[view] [source] 2023-11-20 06:12:25
>>morale+(OP)
My first question to this scenario would be: Could MS provide the seed funding for Sam's next gig? As in, they bet on OpenAI, and either OpenAI keeps on keeping on or Sam's gig steals the thunder, and they presumably have the cash to play a role in both.
replies(1): >>morale+Q11
◧◩
4. codebo+37[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-20 06:29:04
>>visarg+p4
MS isn't starting from scratch, it already has the weights of the worlds most powerful LM, and it's all running on their datacenters. Even without Sam, they just need to keep the current momentum going. Maybe axe ChatGPT and focus solely on Bing/Copilot going forward. It would give me great satisfaction to see the laughing stock search engine of the past decade being the undisputed face of AI over the next.
◧◩
5. hn_thr+z9[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-20 06:45:56
>>visarg+p4
> Apple used to be nimble when Steve was alive, but went to coasting mode since then

Give me a break. Apple Watch and Air pods are far and away leaders in their category, Apple's silicon is a huge leap forward, there is innovation in displays, CarPlay is the standard auto interface for millions of people, while I may question the utility the Vision Pro is a technological marvel, iPhone is still a juggernaut (and the only one of these examples that predate Jobs' passing), etc. etc.

Other companies dream about "coasting" as successfully.

replies(1): >>Freedo+Na
◧◩◪
6. Freedo+Na[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-20 06:55:08
>>hn_thr+z9
> Apple Watch and Air pods are far and away leaders in their category,

By what metric? I prefer open hardware and modifiable software - these products are in no way leaders for me. Not to mention all the bluetooth issues my family and friends have had when trying to use them.

7. didibu+Nc[view] [source] 2023-11-20 07:08:38
>>morale+(OP)
But OpenAI is a non for profit that was exploring a goal that it saw financial incentives as misaligned.

It's what kind of got it achieved. Because every other company didn't really see the benefit of going straight to AGI, instead working on incremental addition and small iteration.

I don't know why the board decided to do what it did, but maybe it sees that OpenAI was moving away from R&D and too much into operations and selling a product.

So my point is that, OpenAI started as a charity and literally was setup in a way to protect that model, by having the for-profit arm be governed by the non-for-profit wing.

The funny thing is, Sam Altman himself was part of the people who wanted it that way, along with Elon Musk, Illya and others.

And I kind of agree, what kind of future is there here? OoenAI becomes another billion dollar startup that what? Eventually sells out with a big exit?

It's possible to see the whole venture as taking away from the goal set out by the non for profit.

◧◩
8. morale+Q11[view] [source] [discussion] 2023-11-20 12:15:25
>>clover+s4
Surprise surprise!

https://x.com/satyanadella/status/1726509045803336122?s=46

[go to top]