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1. tjs8rj+(OP)[view] [source] 2022-05-21 23:08:46
The US economy doesn’t grow at 7% a year but that’s what the s&p is expected to do
replies(2): >>hrunt+M >>vkou+lu
2. hrunt+M[view] [source] 2022-05-21 23:13:26
>>tjs8rj+(OP)
Well, the S&P (assuming the S&P 500) doesn't represent the entire US economy, but 500 companies that represent, arguably, the "winners" of the US economy, so expecting them to grow 7% while the entire economy as a whole grows less is not unexpected.
replies(1): >>majorm+U
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3. majorm+U[view] [source] [discussion] 2022-05-21 23:14:18
>>hrunt+M
How much of that is inflation? If, historically, GDP growth is about 3% and inflation is about 3%, and you're trying to invest in the strongest companies, is that how you get to 7%+?
replies(1): >>abakke+bs
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4. abakke+bs[view] [source] [discussion] 2022-05-22 03:58:08
>>majorm+U
how many companies lose money for a few years and fold? if the S&P is winners, then it is counterbalanced by all the bad investments, pre revenue startups, and other businesses which are losing money. balancing out to 3% is not impossible.
5. vkou+lu[view] [source] 2022-05-22 04:31:57
>>tjs8rj+(OP)
Population growth + inflation + transfer of wealth from workers to capital owners + productivity gains has over the long run been pretty close to 7%.
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