Edit: Perhaps to clarify, what I'm trying to say is that evolution does not have foresight. And this is not my opinion, but merely that of Eugene Koonin, and I'm just repeating it.
Mutations are entirely random, usually deletrious. Evolutionary pressure is the selection for fitness.
What I'm trying to say is that it's not pressure into with evolution, but rather, random mutation + purifying selection = evolution of new traits.
Organisms can't determine what they need to evolve to. There is no guidance of "evolve to this", but rather - "entirely random evolution maybe I won't die yay" - everything that isn't useful dies.
So saying that organisms can evolve to something is a little misguided because they have no specific objective in mind.
You understand the nuances better than most. I'm guessing you're self taught? I've never read the origin of species, but I feel like you might have!
The points you're making are a given in modern evolutionary theory.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolutionary_pressure https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adaptation
>Actually, CRISPR/Cas is a fantastic example of lamarckian evolution.
This, however, is completely wrong.
>Lamarckism, also known as Lamarckian inheritance or neo-Lamarckism,[1] is the notion that an organism can pass on to its offspring physical characteristics that the parent organism acquired through use or disuse during its lifetime.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lamarckism
CRISPR has nothing to do with use or disuse. Lamarckism is only relevant as an example of what evolution isn't.
Let me restate my issue with the OP in a clearer way and then I'll get into the rest of the nuance and detail.
OP said:
>there is evolutionary pressure [...] for coronaviruses to follow this path
I interpreted this line as reading: "coronaviruses will likely evolve furin sites because <some external force/evolution> is causing them to". The issue I take with it is that coronaviruses don't know what to evolve to, they simply evolve, and if it works, great. If not, they die. I'm not sure there's a cause beyond random/stochastic factors. Otherwise, it would be Lamarckian. If I were to reword it myself, I'd say "evolution of furin sites will be selected for". The reason I make this distinction is because elsewhere in the thread, I commented that a lab leak is a real hypothesis, and one of the counterarguments of that seems to be that because coronavirus could evolve a furin site without human intervention means that they did evolve a furin site without human intervention, and I dislike the narrative that it was an inevitability. (To make my position clear, I'd give a personal weighting of a natural evolution of Covid as about 85%, and a lab leak at about 14.9999999999%, and a malicious lab leak at about 0.000000000001%. Those numbers could be wildly off. I just get upset when people try to say a lab leak was definitely not possible).
>You understand the nuances better than most. I'm guessing you're self taught? I've never read the origin of species, but I feel like you might have!
I'd prefer to avoid a conversation based on credentials because of recent bad experiences there, but yes, I have read it. However, I was thinking about "The Logic of Chance" by Eugene Koonin, who is fairly well respected in the evolutionary biology field. Particularly, in "The Logic of Chance", he defines Lamarckian evolution as the following:
>Lamarckian inheritance refers to nonrandomly acquired phenotypic changes, particularly those that are directly affected by the use of organs and are accordingly assumed to be adaptive (beneficial for the organism). The controversial French naturalist Jean-Bapteste Lamarck believed that directed changes are inheritable and constitute the basis of evolution
He also goes on to say:
>Lamarck was the author of the first coherent theory of the evolution of life, which he presented in his Philosophie Zoologique; “inheritance of acquired (adaptive) characters” played a key role in this theory.
He makes a good, and much more nuanced argument than I'll attempt to explain here (see "The Logic of chance: The Nature and Origin of Biological Evolution, Chapter 9 for the full argument) that the inability of Lamarckian evolution only applies to the central dogma (DNA -> RNA -> Protein) because the central dogma has no reverse mechanism (no way to transfer information from protein back to DNA). However, this scenario falls apart with the advent of things like proteins that can insert novel DNA into a genome, or reverse-transcriptases.
Specifically regarding CRISPR/Cas, Koonin has this to say: >The mechanism of heredity and genome evolution embodied in the CRISPR-Cas system seems to be bona fide Lamarckian (see Figure 9-2):
>• An environmental cue (a selfish genetic element, such as a virus) is employed to directly modify the genome.
>• The resulting modification (unique, element-specific spacer) directly affects the same cue that caused the modification.
>• The modification is clearly adaptive and is inherited by the progeny of the cell that encountered the selfish element.
He goes on to address your points about losing with disuse, as well:
>The CRISPR-mediated heredity appears to be short-lived: Even closely related bacterial and archaeal genomes do not carry the same inserts. The implication is that, as soon as a bacterium or archaeon ceases to encounter a particular agent (virus), the cognate spacer rapidly deteriorates.
While "Logic of Chance" was written in 2013, if I remember correctly, which was the nascent stages of CRISPR/Cas understanding, my personal experience in biology has proven that to be quite true. We know now that CRISPR spacers are inserted into the beginning of the spacer locus, directly adjacent the leader which is where spacer transcription is initiated, and this apparently serves an evolutionary function of ensuring that the transcription guarantees more transcripts of the most recently encountered viruses.
That said, there are some serious flaws in his thinking. See this rebuttal:
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10539-018-9662-y
As always, in large part, the phenomena is undisputed, and the fact that it breaks the central dogma is...mostly...undisputed, but the actual definition of the term "Lamarckian" is in hot dispute.
(See also Koonin's response to that rebuttal here: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10539-018-9666-7)
I appreciate the thoughtful discussion.