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[return to "Birth rates are falling in the Nordics. Are natalist policies no longer enough?"]
1. brtkdo+T5[view] [source] 2024-01-30 16:26:32
>>toomuc+(OP)
The ratio of housing cost vs real income almost tripled over the last 20 years in Sweden. Add a looming climate crisis and a self-fulfillment-oriented culture and you get very few new babies.
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2. pjc50+57[view] [source] 2024-01-30 16:32:18
>>brtkdo+T5
> The ratio of housing cost vs real income almost tripled over the last 20 years in Sweden

I think this is all that needs to be said on these articles.

(There's a lot more that _could_ be said, such as how few actual birthing HN readers there are, but I think the economics is really simple at the root of it.)

Besides, even the countries with really the worst outlook and conditions aren't falling all that fast. Russia since the high point of the 1990s: https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/russia-popula...

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3. somena+Ck[view] [source] 2024-01-30 17:26:56
>>pjc50+57
Russia's not a great example to look at. They're one of the only 'Western' countries that's historically actually maintained a healthy fertility rate. The big catch in their numbers is that in the 90s the country turned into a near anarchic hellhole. But they managed to pull out of that and have had a growing fertility rate since 1998, which has been met with an ever widening array of pro-natal incentives, and a generally very pro-family culture as well. [1]

More relevant is something like Japan. [2] They are currently losing 1 in every 200 people, every year. And that rate of decline is still accelerating. And they have a similar fertility rate to Finland 1.37 vs 1.42. The only difference is that Japan has had its low fertility rate for longer, and so it's closer to the equilibrium rate of loss that such a fertility rate implies, while Finland is closer to their older higher fertility rates.

[1] - https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/RUS/russia/fertility-r...

[2] - https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/JPN/japan/population

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4. CRConr+si6[view] [source] 2024-02-01 13:49:37
>>somena+Ck
> They're one of the only 'Western' countries that's historically...

...in pretty much no sense of the word a "Western" country.

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