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1. llmsla+(OP)[view] [source] 2026-01-01 05:30:00
> But the capabilities of LLMs is clearly exponential and perhaps super exponential

By what metric?

replies(3): >>utopia+eb >>jennyh+bu3 >>aspenm+NC4
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2. utopia+eb[view] [source] 2026-01-01 08:22:39
>>llmsla+(OP)
BS metric... /s
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3. jennyh+bu3[view] [source] 2026-01-02 14:20:52
>>llmsla+(OP)
Chat GPT told him it was true
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4. aspenm+NC4[view] [source] 2026-01-02 21:08:20
>>llmsla+(OP)
- Scaling laws (Chinchilla type)

- METR task horizon

It's a mix, performance gains are bursty but we have been getting a lot of bursts (RLVR, test-time compute, agentic breakthroughs)

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