zlacker

To be fair, the technology sigmoid curve rises fastest just before its inflection point, so it is hard to predict at what point innovation slows down due to its very nature.

The first Boeing 747 was rolled out in 1968, only 65 years after the first successful heavier-than-air flight. If you told people back then that not much will fundamentally change in civil aviation over the next 57 years, no one would have believed you.

>>latchu+(OP)
And not just in aviation. Consider what aviation did to make the world smaller. Huge 2nd order changes. The COVID-19 pandemic would not have happened the way it did, if there were no Boeing or Airbus.

Big hard-to-predict changes ahead.