I’ve seen lots of people:
* think that conflating LLMs and “AI” produces a lot of poorly reasoned arguments
* doubt the economic narratives being built around LLM technology
* think the current rate of progress in the technology is basically flat
* think most “AI companies” resemble most crypto companies
An addendum to the last point: very few crypto skeptics deny that BitCoin is a thing or think it’s going away, either. It’s just strawmanning.
* I don't care what "AI" is. There's a section in the post about this. Nobody needs to update their religious beliefs because of LLMs.
* I don't care about the economic futures of Nvidia or the frontier model companies. I'm not recommending you invest in their stock.
* The article opens with "all progress in LLMs could halt and this would still apply".
* The article doesn't care about "AI companies".
I'm a crypto skeptic and I do deny Bitcoin is a long-term thing, for what it's worth. I'm a hard skeptic of cryptofinance.
Case in point: WWW and the “dot com” bubble. Dot com was a bubble, but the WWW (and Internet) was a big thing that transformed all major societies. It survived the bust that followed after the boom.
Are LLMs here to stay? We can guess, but as usual, time will tell.
The only real dispute about the usefulness of the current technology I hear is the concern that this will leave us without devs who understand the code at a deep level.