zlacker

> LLMs already write better prose than 95% of humans and models like o3 reason better than 90% of humans on many tasks.

Except except lawyers are ~.4%[1] of the population in the United States, so that 95% isn’t very impressive

[1] https://www.americanbar.org/news/profile-legal-profession/de...

>>Crypto+(OP)
Fair point, but how much billable legal work requires that caliber of skill? I'd argue that 80% of it could probably be done with an o3 or o4 caliber model with some safeguards built into the pipeline and perhaps a bit of specialized training or MoE guardrails, human review, etc.

I think the mistake people make is misunderstanding the slope of the S-curve and instead quibbling over the exact nature of the current reality. AI is moving very fast. A few years ago I'd have said that at most 25% of legal work could fall to AI.

Note that this massive change happened in less time than it takes to educate one class of law school grads!