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1. mitthr+(OP)[view] [source] 2025-04-03 17:47:44
Can you phrase this in a concrete way, so that in 2027 we can all agree whether it's true or false, rather than circling a "no true scotsman" argument?
replies(1): >>abeced+Tz
2. abeced+Tz[view] [source] 2025-04-03 20:56:59
>>mitthr+(OP)
Good question. I tried to phrase a concrete-enough prediction 3.5 years ago, for 5 years out at the time: >>29020401

It was surpassed around the beginning of this year, so you'll need to come up with a new one for 2027. Note that the other opinions in that older HN thread almost all expected less.

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