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1. codema+(OP)[view] [source] 2024-06-24 17:07:57
At 2.7% that's 2.7% and .7% growth faster than wages.

Let's look at the bay's wage growth[0]: 11% (or ~1%/yr) from 2010-2020, but they removed CPI-U inflation[1], so it's something higher (annual was ~1-3% in that time period). Which puts the bay area housing at 5%+ higher growth, 2x to 7x worse than Spain.

So, once again - Spain is doing well when it comes to housing prices. Tourism frustrates locals because they think it's increased their housing costs wildly - but in fact it's because their economy is switching to a tourist economy unless they find an industry to grow.

[0]: https://bayareaequityatlas.org/indicators/income-growth?year... [1]: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SA0&output_view=pct_...

replies(1): >>verteu+Gt1
2. verteu+Gt1[view] [source] 2024-06-25 03:29:25
>>codema+(OP)
I don't follow your calculations; It appears you're doing arithmetic with CAGRs from three different date ranges (2010-2020, 2012-2019, and L10Y).

An apples-to-apples comparison illustrates my point:

L10Y cumulative change in:

Bay Area rent: +46.0% [0]

Bay Area wages: +45.7% [1]

Vs:

Barcelona rent: +70% (if we believe TFA)

Spain wages: +30% [2]

Or:

Cumulative 2010-2020 change in:

Bay Area rent: +57% [0]

Bay Area wages: +34% [1]

which also looks bad (but not as bad as Barcelona L10Y). Indeed, there were lots of complaints about housing costs in SF then.

[0] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUURA422SEHA [1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SMU06418840500000003 [2] https://www.ine.es/jaxiT3/Tabla.htm?t=59150

replies(1): >>codema+gp6
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3. codema+gp6[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-06-26 18:40:01
>>verteu+Gt1
Yeah I didn't have good data sources, and took shortcuts on the math.

I guess it just doesn't look bad to me in terms of their real estate, thanks for pointing me to these better data sources.

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