Israel has created a beast that I don't think they can control themselves. I do think that the court is going to get more legitimacy after they explicitly tell Israel to __chill__, for Israel not to chill, and then get the ceasefire ruling against them & potentially an intensification of the genocide case.
Meanwhile, unfortunately, real people are suffering so these political games can be played.
I am so deeply disappointed in the Biden administration here. They're throwing away a lot of the good work they've done, and are actively getting Trump elected. People, naturally, do not want to participate in an election that is giving them a choice between ${person_currently_helping_a_genocide} and ${person_that_will_intensify_genocide}. You're just going to get voter apathy, and the consequences from that.
[Ianal]
How would Israel disappear? Palestine is clearly no match for them - who else is expected to suddenly move in?
I certainly think we could stop funding their military while still pledging to support them if someone actually tries to invade.
Keep in mind, Israel has it's own defense budget - it's not like it's military just disappears when US funding dries up
Militaries are just as interconnected as anybody else. They depend on supplies of weapons and munitions. If the supply is gone, the size of the budget doesn't matter.
Israel is expected to because they are not.
What do you expect him to do? With or without any assistance, Israel has more than enough weapons completely annihilate Gaza. Don't forget that they likely have nuclear capabilities. Israel believes they are demonstrating restraint and this restraint is the first thing to go if Israel feels like it's being backed into a corner.
Keep in mind that Hamas reiterated their ceasefire deal recently, which includes the release of all hostages, and Israel rejected it.
More public denouncement of what Israel is doing.
Get the Department of State to start sanctioning heads of state of Israel that are actively calling for a genocide.
He's effectively done nothing other than "handling it in private."
At least as much as Ronald Regan: https://www.upi.com/Archives/1982/08/12/A-shocked-and-outrag...
They've had wars with all their immediate neighbours since the modern state was created: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arab–Israeli_conflict#Notable_...
Some of those countries are more friendly now, but loss of USA support would be huge. Such a removal of support would IMO be extremely unlikely due to how USA internal politics looks like from outside.
American foreign policy wasn't parodied as "world police" for nothing.
> I certainly think we could stop funding their military while still pledging to support them if someone actually tries to invade.
Subtly and nuance? Oh how I wish any politics cared about that.
I'm assuming, from the PoV of Israel and the Jewish diaspora in the USA, that because the specific attack that set this in motion was much much worse (proportionally speaking) than the 9/11 attacks were to the USA, anything less than 100% uncritical total support will look like "a betrayal" or "giving in to terrorism", to enough of the Jewish electorate in the USA, as to make that kind of talk unviable for at least a decade.
Real people aren't Vulcans. Emotions are raw, and will remain that way for a long time. And so the cycle will continue until either one side or the other is dead, or some absolute negotiating genius steps in and manages something even more impressive than the Good Friday Agreement in Northern Ireland.
(Makes me wish for Mo Mowlam to be reincarnated; good luck to you if she was an inspiration!)
So while they have majority support, it's not like they've had any real alternative.
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2023/10/was-hamas-electe...
Additionally, the state of palestine is not a party to this case.
So no, the icj cannot tell hamas to do anything. The only people it can give orders to in this case are israel and south africa.
Hamas's crines are the juridsiction of the ICC.
I wouldn't put too much stock in any kayfabe between them.
They do have to submit a report on their implementation of the orders, but reducing civilian deaths wasn't on the list of things they had to report on.
From the section of the ICJ ruling dealing with dehumanizing language used by Israeli officials:
> "I have released all restraints . . . You saw what we are fighting against. We are fighting human animals"
-- Mr Yoav Gallant, Defence Minister of Israel
I doubt it, Israel would nuke Iran before letting this happen.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/trump-i-thought-israelis-would....
Apparently, those still supporting Biden will throw human lives under the bus for a more comfortable home life.
The concept of nations and borders in the middle east is a bit... different from the western variant.
Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hamas-says-it-will...
Or when Israel bombed Gaza two months after the previous cease fire: https://abcnews.go.com/International/israel-bombs-gaza-city-...
I absolutely 100% can imagine it. I would go so far as to characterise him as:
1) Pro-Israel:
> On December 6, 2017, the United States of America officially recognized Jerusalem as the capital city of the State of Israel. American president Donald Trump, who signed the presidential proclamation, also ordered the relocation of the American diplomatic mission to Jerusalem from Tel Aviv [...]. Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu welcomed the decision and praised the announcement by the Trump administration.
> Trump's decision was rejected by the vast majority of world leaders; the United Nations Security Council held an emergency meeting on December 7, where 14 out of 15 members condemned it, but the motion was overturned by U.S. veto power.
2) Non-cooperative with Congress:
> The United States federal government shutdown from midnight EST on December 22, 2018, until January 25, 2019 (35 days) was the longest government shutdown in history.
> The shutdown stemmed from an impasse over Trump's demand for $5.7 billion in federal funds for a U.S.–Mexico border wall.
3) Loving to go behind backs:
> Trump reportedly keeps finding a way to meet the Russian leader privately.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_recognition_of_J...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018%E2%80%932019_United_State...
[3] https://www.vox.com/2019/1/29/18202515/trump-putin-russia-g2...
A US official stated that at the rate Israel is bombing Gaza, Israel would have run out of munitions in 3 days without US aid. An Israeli official said the same, but he said their arsenal would only have lasted one day. Even if either/both were engaging in a degree of hyperbole, the gist is, that the bombing continues at the will of the Biden administration.
Yes, Israel would not cease to exist if the US withdrew support for genocidal murder and ethnic cleansing of Palestinians, but it would halt this most recent massacre of Palestinians by Israelis.
And, if the US stopped running cover for Israel in the UN Security Council, Israel would find it untenable to continue its belligerent disregard of international humanitarian law and past UN resolutions-- it might actually become the democratic state it claims to be, but to do so it will necessarily no longer be an ethno-religious state.
Granted Hamas attacked them first but their actions give Jews worldwide a bad rep.
From everything I’ve studied all super bombs (hydrogen fusion bombs) are also fission bombs. Since it is a chain of different kind of explosion stages that finally get the fusion reaction started.
First convention explosives then fission then fusion.
If they put it on Hamas, the radiation fallout would hit Israel pretty hard depending on winds.
It would fuck up Middle East in an awful way. Pretty much guarantee the Middle East Muslim countries ganging together to wipe out Israel completely.
1. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/dec/09/biden-admini... 2. https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-01-25/ty-article/.p... 3. https://www.voanews.com/a/us-aircraft-carrier-to-remain-in-m... 4. https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-un-resolution...
https://x.com/jonathan_k_cook/status/1748390405173842099?s=4...
Meanwhile, Josh Paul, a former US State Department official, detailed how a 13 year old kid was raped in an Israeli prison and “The State Department's inquiry into the case resulted in Israeli officials shutting down the charity involved in bringing the case to light.”
https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20231205-resigned-us-state...
Otherwise there isn't a direct rape claim in there, but a witnessed missed period which they say could be due to rape or the witness also says it could be due to the harsh conditions (malnutrition is a real cause of it in some cases; Washington Post has reported on worries of refeeding syndrome in some of the released hostages so some were severely malnurished). I found an article with longer excerpts of the testimony and the dolls on a string quote was about inappropriate clothing provided and claims of abuse but the testimony excerpts there also didn't directly allege rape. Is the full transcript of the hearing out there somewhere?
Moreover, Israel offered hamas a ceasefire if they release all the hostages and exile their top 6 leaders. That offer was rejected by hamas.
So please don’t present such a one sided view
You could argue they should be, but what is and what should be are entirely different things.
That wasn't a serious ceasefire offer, and you've left out the reasons why: it was a pause of 2 months, not a ceasefire offer at all! Furthermore, Israel wouldn't release the hostages they are holding. Why would anyone agree to release the hostages in exchange for nothing but a brief pause of genocide?
Netanyahu knew Hamas wouldn't agree to it; he only even made the offer because he'd turned down the Hamas offer first, and so needed a different story for the media to run with. Which worked just fine of course - MSM ran with "Hamas reject ceasefire" without even mentioning the Hamas offer.
Meanwhile, many of the hostages held by Israel are held without even being charged. From what I've seen, it's quite obvious that many are innocent civilians, and hundreds of them are children.
We've also seen evidence that Israel tortures its prisoners, and that rape is endemic - which is probably why Israel won't let the Red Cross near them (something else it complains Hamas won't do).
Israel is behaving like a rogue state.
Do you have any proof of rape accusations being endemic?
Strawman - I explicitly referred to those hostages that were members of the IDF.
> Conflating the hostages to the Israeli prisoners is terrorist rhetoric
Ah, so anyone who disagrees with you is a terrorist? I see you.
You're also implying that all hostages held by Israel were involved in the attack on 7/10 - blatantly untrue. Several Israeli soldiers are on camera saying they take Palestinians hostage purely so they have something to exchange with Hamas - this has been going on for years.
> Red Cross was pretty useless and one sided against Israel.
I'm sorry, but this is the kind of nonsense that spokespeople (like Eylon Levy) and career racists (like David Colier) like to espouse - everyone who disagrees with Israel's genocidal actions is an antisemite and/or Hamas lover. "The Red Cross are Hamas". "The UN are Hamas". Honestly, it's pretty pathetic.
On Israeli guards torturing and raping Palestinian prisoners, including children, there is a wealth of evidence and many, many video interviews with victims. Here is just one story: https://electronicintifada.net/blogs/tamara-nassar/israel-cr...
I am not saying that Hamas did not (or did) commit the crimes on videos, it just the source is so reliably untrustworthy, so the videos cannot be taken seriously.