zlacker

[parent] [thread] 85 comments
1. smooth+(OP)[view] [source] 2024-01-10 21:50:35
You can see this happen out in the open when Paul Graham (or anyone else) posts statistics about who's been killed, raw footage... he's immediately swarmed by people, some major players in the industry, accusing him of "antisemitism", which it most definitely is not.
replies(2): >>richar+R41 >>volley+Xb1
2. richar+R41[view] [source] 2024-01-11 05:03:36
>>smooth+(OP)
It was certainly interesting to see Paul Graham, famous for his skepticism of China's COVID numbers, immediately embrace the Gaza Ministry of Health's death toll, without understanding how they themselves generate it.
replies(2): >>JeffSn+791 >>keefle+Va1
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3. JeffSn+791[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 05:33:33
>>richar+R41
...is there any reason to doubt these figures? Is there any reason to suspect that Hamas is any less trustworthy than the Israeli government is?
replies(2): >>richar+ba1 >>loeg+8Pa
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4. richar+ba1[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 05:43:57
>>JeffSn+791
Yes, of course there is reason to suspect Hamas is untrustworthy. I'm not trying to argue one should take Israel's word at face value (of course you should subject it to scrutiny as well), but yes, Israel, a liberal democratic state with a free press, strong left-wing movement, and the second biggest tech sector out of silicon valley, is far more trustworthy than Hamas, a repressive, fundamentalist, authoritarian regime with no free press. This doesn't mean they always tell the truth, but there is no equivalence between them and Hamas.

In terms of specific reasons to doubt the Gaza Health Ministry numbers specifically, I could go on forever about that, but I don't see the point of doing so on HN. It's not a tech-related question.

replies(5): >>keefle+Nb1 >>JeffSn+8c1 >>Vagabu+Di1 >>bluish+vl1 >>IOT_Ap+ep1
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5. keefle+Va1[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 05:48:49
>>richar+R41
From my understanding their numbers have been fairly accurate throughout the years, do you have any specific examples of prior extreme discrepancies? (Because from what I followed, even the US believes those numbers to be accurate, but I would be happy to be corrected)

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-officials-have-gro...

replies(1): >>richar+dc1
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6. keefle+Nb1[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 05:56:58
>>richar+ba1
I believe there is very little reason to assume the numbers are not accurate. Not only have their numbers been fairly accurate in previous conflicts, but also many US officials believe them to be accurate if not underreported.

It feels more like an Israeli attempt at using fog of war and the masses ignorance on the matter to soften the reaction and spread doubt about the real numbers. As this talking point was continously used by Israeli spokespersons even after US officials believed these numbers to be fairly accurate. I would be happy to be corrected, I wish the numbers are actually less, and would want this to be the reality.

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-officials-have-gro...

replies(1): >>richar+Ca3
7. volley+Xb1[view] [source] 2024-01-11 05:58:38
>>smooth+(OP)
paulg was among those specifically targeted by high-profile pro-idf groups as part of the "information wars" in this latest conflict.

https://nitter.net/paulg/status/1733146138226614465 https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1733146138226614465

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8. JeffSn+8c1[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 05:59:28
>>richar+ba1
> I'm not trying to argue one should take Israel's word at face value (of course you should subject it to scrutiny as well), but yes, Israel, a liberal democratic state with a free press, strong left-wing movement, and the second biggest tech sector out of silicon valley, is far more trustworthy than Hamas, a repressive, fundamentalist, authoritarian regime with no free press.

None of this has any bearing on whether or not Israel's word is actually worth anything (...or Hamas's word, for that matter).

replies(1): >>richar+nL8
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9. richar+dc1[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 05:59:53
>>keefle+Va1
I'll answer your question, but first I'll ask you a question: Do you know how the Gaza Health Ministry generates their death toll? What do you think of their methods? My guess is you don't know but you trust it because you see these numbers repeated in the media (just like China's COVID death toll).

If you ask me how Israel calculates its death toll the answer is pretty simple: they use archaeologists, forensic medical teams, and more

One of the most obvious examples of a prior discrepancy was the Health Ministry claiming that ~500 innocent civilians died when Israel bombed al Ahli hospital. Of course, we later discovered the hospital wasn't bombed, the parking lot was, the bomb wasn't dropped by Israel but was rather an errant rocket from Hamas, and that far fewer people died. In other words, a series of lies. The Health Ministry never corrected the death toll and kept adding from that.

Beyond this, here's one of many analyses casting shade on the Health Ministry's statistics: https://twitter.com/Aizenberg55/status/1744381711993946209

You can google around for dozens more. As I said to the prior commenter, I'd rather not have a debate here about whether the numbers are accurate (not because I'm not confident but rather because of the famous XKCD) and I simply mean to point out that Paul Graham has one standard for China's COVID death toll and a completely different standard for Hamas's Health ministry figures.

replies(3): >>keefle+Rf1 >>IOT_Ap+mo1 >>ignora+mtB
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10. keefle+Rf1[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 06:34:08
>>richar+dc1
I still this still ignores important points, and ill make some comments and questions, some of which might be pedantic so feel free to ignore them

1. Regardless of the method, it was fairly accurate for years, and matched closely to Israeli estimates of casualties in prior conflicts.

2. The US, Israeli's largest ally, is not doubting those numbers. This alone says alot given that the US from a strategic perspective would want to present Israel in the best possible light they can given the majority of the globe is heading towards leaving Israel in isolation.

3. The Israeli claim against Almamadani hospital incident is placing the blame on Islamic Jihad (not Hamas) (pedantic point)

4. The issue of Almamadani hospital incident is still not settled, especially as the Israeli claimes have been debunked by multiple entities most notably the New York times. [1]

5. Ignoring the questionable numbers of this specific incident, because you might be right, but its interesting that the US's admission that the death toll coming from Gaza is accurate came at a date way after the Al mamadani hospital incident (my claim would be that this incident has been taken into consideration by the US officials when they admitted the accuracy of the death toll coming from Gaza). This paired with the US's strategic support of Israel makes their admission that the death toll is accurate is way more trust worthy than possibly exaggerated COVID death tolls, as in one case its an admission playing against the admitter, whereas the other case the admission is in favor of the admitter.

But thank you for sharing the Twitter thread, I'll investigate it and look into other sources as well

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/24/world/middleeast/gaza-hos...

replies(1): >>richar+Y03
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11. Vagabu+Di1[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 07:01:12
>>richar+ba1
>Israel, a liberal democratic state with a free press, strong left-wing movement, and the second biggest tech sector out of silicon valley

With Netanyahu and other far right parties in power I'm not sure this is argument you think it is.

Also not great numbers with the free press either:

https://rsf.org/en/index

Better than some in the region, but not great.

And the refrain gets old when used as a cover for Israels terrible actions, but it actively makes me ill nowadays, maybe not as ill as "IDF is the most moral army in the world" when I think about the tens of thousands of kids they have blown up (killed and injured) I suppose.

replies(1): >>richar+Ab3
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12. bluish+vl1[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 07:27:20
>>richar+ba1
> Israel, a liberal democratic state with a free press

Israeli law allows news censorship by the IDF. Currently, if you are a news outlet working in Israel, you have to pass your war coverage by them [1,2] even the CNN is forced to do this [3]. I don't know, but you seem to have a strange definition of free press. Should I list some of the series of scandals of IDF caught laying in the past to complete the picture? Just remember that they tried to convince people that the words [Saturday, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday] in Arabic are Hamas members names [4].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_Military_Censor

[2] https://theintercept.com/2023/12/23/israel-military-idf-medi...

[3] https://theintercept.com/2024/01/04/cnn-israel-gaza-idf-repo...

[4] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/truth-or-fake/20231116-...

replies(1): >>richar+H24
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13. IOT_Ap+mo1[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 07:52:41
>>richar+dc1
First, Israel has been carpet bombing Gaza for weeks on end. They have destroyed everything & bombed housing, schools, mosques, churches, universities, kids schools, restaurants, bakeries & every aspect of civilization there.

How many Palestinian journalists have been murdered or had their families targeted and extended family bombed by the IOF?

The IDF have targeted & murdered more journalists in 2 months than in any other conflict.

The IDF is the only military on the planet that has a military court for juveniles and imprisons them by the thousands. You can search this all out on YouTube & see footage of it. They were holding boys in open air cages in the winter. Their parents not even knowing which military prison their kids were in.

We see the US bombs falling 24/7 on all of Gaza. We see what is going on every single day.

We know the Israeli policy of “mowing the lawn” every few months.

We SEE it. You should own it and be revulsed by it, just as you should by the Israeli Apache gunships emptying their machine guns at Israelis at the concert or the tank rounds. Or shooting unarmed Israeli civilians hostages waving a white flag.

What policy is that called by the IDF again? Oh yeah, The Hannibal Directive. Only now they target their own.

replies(1): >>richar+p53
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14. IOT_Ap+ep1[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 07:59:14
>>richar+ba1
A liberal democratic state? You consider likkud a liberal party? I suppose Irgun was liberal too.
replies(1): >>richar+Wa3
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15. richar+Y03[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 17:21:49
>>keefle+Rf1
Hi keefle, thanks for taking the time to write this in such a reasonable, friendly way. I appreciate that. I notice you still didn't answer the question of how the Gaza Health Ministry gets their data. Do you have confidence in their methods? Are they going into North Gaza (now controlled by Israel) and looking at dead bodies?

1. No it wasn't, despite the link PG shared. See: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-28688179 . This won't surprise you but the Gaza Health Ministry also put out false data during COVID.

2. The American government's position has shifted over time from outright denial of the Health Ministry numbers to "we don't know, but we do know there are too many deaths." Let's see how it continues to shift as the conflict evolves.

4. Remember the context. You asked for an instance of the Gaza Health Ministry lying and I provided one. Are you now saying the 500 dead figure was accurate? Because if so, you're wrong that the matter is unsettled. While the exact estimates vary from as few as a dozen KIA to ~300 KIA, the entire open source intelligence community, all western intelligence agencies, and most publications agree the initial death toll was wrong. Also--not to be pedantic--but the NYT retracted their early coverage of the al Ahli hospital incident; the piece you link to was widely panned by open source intelligence experts; and it doesn't actually question the incident -- it just calls into question one particular piece of evidence.

5. I don't think you're following the narrative. Israel has said that the total death toll may be roughly 30% lower than what the Gaza Health Ministry asserts, but they also argue the list is NOT accurate. The list says almost everyone dead are women and kids, whereas Israel claims that roughly 8,000 militants have been killed and 1,000 captured.

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16. richar+p53[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 17:38:20
>>IOT_Ap+mo1
So confident yet so wrong.

- Israel has not carpet bombed gaza. They've used a higher portion of smart bombs than any other military in history and use F16s to guide their dumb bombs. Israel has dropped more than 25,000 bombs, and according to the high estimates fewer than 25,000 palestinians have been killed, meaning each bomb kills less than one person. Israel also establishes humanitarian corridors, drops leaflets, sends evacuation warnings, allows in aid, establishes safe zones, and much more.

- Nobody knows how many Palestinian journalists have been murdered. Gaza does not have a free press. What we do know is that many militants posing as journalists have been killed. See: https://www.camera.org/article/using-journalists-lives-as-cu...

- You're upset that Israel imprisons minors like these guys? https://www.wionews.com/world/are-hamas-resorted-to-training... Save some of your outrage for Hamas using child soldiers. Also, plenty of other countries, including the United States, imprison minors.

- I can see you've been listening to lots of Norman Finkelstein? Israel does not just wake up one day and say "let's mow the lawn" - each time they bomb gaza it's been in response to something like a suicide bomb or stabbing, which has happened for decades in Israel.

- I see you think you're familiar with the Hannibal directive. Can you link me to the text of this directive? The principles are tactical rather than strategic and followed by many other militaries, including the US.

replies(1): >>runarb+sJ3
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17. richar+Ca3[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 17:56:58
>>keefle+Nb1
"I believe there is very little reason to assume the numbers are not accurate."

How are the numbers generated?

replies(1): >>Saucie+tl3
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18. richar+Wa3[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 17:58:18
>>IOT_Ap+ep1
That's like saying America isn't a liberal democratic state because of Trump and the republican party. Israel is a liberal democracy, far more liberal than America, and there were hundreds of thousands of people who marched against Netanyahu.
replies(1): >>JeffSn+F14
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19. richar+Ab3[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 18:01:13
>>Vagabu+Di1
The blame for kids dying lies on Hamas for (1) recruiting child soldiers; (2) building weapons factories in children's bedrooms; (3) building terror tunnels under schools; (4) preventing civilians from evacuating from the north... I could go on.

Not sure if you're a Hebrew reader, but you don't know what you're talking about with regard to journalism in Israel. Have you ever read Gideon Levy? There is tons of criticism of the government and its conduct in this war in Israeli media.

Sorry these facts make you ill. Get better soon!

replies(1): >>Vagabu+lk6
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20. Saucie+tl3[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 18:36:53
>>richar+Ca3
Not the OP, but does it matter if I specifically know how the numbers are generated? I'll absolutely appeal to authority and accept that the United States, various United Nations agencies, MSF, etc accept these numbers as reasonably accurate and acknowledge that they're in a far better position to understand the provenance of the data than I'll ever be.
replies(1): >>richar+tz3
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21. richar+tz3[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 19:26:02
>>Saucie+tl3
Great - I'll rely on scientific thinking -- nullius in verba -- and ask questions I'd ask anyone else about how they gather their data, how they know what they claim to know, etc. You believe in the church when it says the sun revolves around the earth.
replies(1): >>Saucie+8S3
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22. runarb+sJ3[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 20:00:12
>>richar+p53
> Israel has not carpet bombed gaza.

This is a bold claim to make considering the evidence. We have satellite photos of Gaza and many estimates are that over 60% of the housing stock in the entire Gaza strip are damaged or destroyed[1] (some estimates up to 70% [2]; the lowest I could find was 45.3% [3]). Entire neighborhoods have been leveled in all parts of the Gaza strip. At least 29,000 bombs dropped on the strip have targeted residential areas. Over 65% of the population is displaced. More than 200 heritage and archaeological sites have been destroyed in the Israeli bombardment[2].

The bombings are not uniformly distributed, so if we focus on the most destroyed areas, which is norther Gaza and Gaza city, the numbers are much worse. Looking at this map[4] published by the BBC you can see that every part of Gaza city, Jabalia and Beit Hanoun have been targeted. Between 70% and 90% of all housing stock in these areas are damaged or destroyed[5]. Khan Younis south of the evacuation line has also had most of its areas targeted in Israeli bombardment and with an estimate 50% of all housing stock damaged or destroyed[5].

Here is what wikipedia has to say about carpet bombing[6]:

> Carpet bombing, also known as saturation bombing, is a large area bombardment done in a progressive manner to inflict damage in every part of a selected area of land.

You have to be extremely selective in you consideration of reports on the evidence to deny that Gaza has been—and is currently in to process of being—carpet bombed. So selective in fact, that you would not just be wrong, but obviously wrong.

---

1: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/gaza-is...

2: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/12/31/israeli-bombardmen...

3: https://menafn.com/1107703299/ICJ-Should-Consider-Damaged-Ho...

4: https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/89CD/production/...

5: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-20415675

6: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carpet_bombing

replies(1): >>richar+BS3
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23. Saucie+8S3[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 20:36:02
>>richar+tz3
I don't have the arrogance to assume I can become a domain expert in everything that happens. At the end of the day these people are dead. Killed by Israel. And the world's experts agree. One UN official explained how after previous conflicts they've engaged in post-hoc investigations to ascertain the accuracy of the Gaza health ministry numbers and found them accurate. It's unfortunate for Israel that the numbers make it appear that they're committing a genocide. There are any number of strategies Israel could employ other than indiscriminate mass slaughter. They'd rather deny the numbers than stop incrementing them.
replies(1): >>richar+R34
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24. richar+BS3[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 20:37:46
>>runarb+sJ3
Carpet bombing is what the allies did to Dresden. Carpet bombing is indiscriminate. For every bomb that israel drops there is a lawyer approving it. There is lots of damage, particularly in the north (which Israel did its best to evacuate before bombing), because Hamas had built military infrastructure virtually everywhere: under schools, UN buildings, under residential houses, hospitals, etc.

I'm not trying to say there has been little damage to Gaza. There's been lots. But that doesn't mean it's been carpet bombed. There's lots of damage because there was lots of military infrastructure.

replies(1): >>runarb+r04
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25. runarb+r04[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 21:12:21
>>richar+BS3
You are arguing semantics, and I’m taking the bait. You can do the same with genocide (it is what the Ottomans did to the Armenians) or terrorism (it is what the Irish republicans did in England). But just like genocide, terrorism and apartheid the meaning has broadened outside of the initial conception and prototypical example.

In every explanation and definition of carpet bombing I find online the focus is on the destruction, not the method. Yes, historical examples of carpet bombing has used unguided bombs, and the targets have been indiscriminate. However what is important is the damage and the time period. That is, the damage has to be massive, involve every part of a large area, and it has to happen progressively (as opposed to all at once; this excludes the nuclear bombing of Hiroshima). The bombing of Gaza checks every one of this criteria.

What doesn’t matter is the bureaucratic process before a target is selected, whether the bomb is guided. If a military specifically targets over half of all residential building, many historic and cultural sites, civilian infrastructure, etc. runs this through lawyers, who approve the bombing, then uses precession guided bombs to destroy these targets, and does so over every area, than that is carpet bombing.

And just to hammer the point home. Hamas still to this day retains the ability to fire rockets over to Israel, despite this vast damage of civilian area. However Israel is picking their target, if they indeed intend on destroying military targets, than they are certainly doing a lousy job.

replies(1): >>richar+Qk4
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26. JeffSn+F14[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 21:18:58
>>richar+Wa3
Israel has a parliamentary system, no? It seems appropriate to blame the parties that forms the coalition for the behavior of the state, and there's certainly no shortage of illiberal actions Israel has done against their own citizens in the last three months to point to.

Regardless, our (USA) parties are in fact the biggest blockers to our functioning correctly as a liberal democracy. One is desperate for votes from anyone, the other party is terrified to pass anything or imagine any kind of future that isn't a slightly less grim version of what the republicans offer. Just by our ability to come to a consensus and do things as a country, we seem to have ground to a complete halt. So yea, people should be a lot more critical of whether or not we're actually espousing the democratic ideals we claim.

replies(1): >>richar+em4
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27. richar+H24[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 21:23:14
>>bluish+vl1
Can you name a country that doesn't allow news censorship by their military during combat? The same exact thing happens with US journalists embedded with the US military. It's obvious operational security. I'm guessing you don't speak hebrew, but Israeli journalists are even more critical of their government than American journalists.
replies(1): >>ignora+RoB
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28. richar+R34[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 21:28:43
>>Saucie+8S3
Nobody is asking you to be a domain expert. When it comes to almost any other issue, people ask how and demand evidence. But when it comes to Hamas's claims of a certain number of dead, nobody seems to ask "How do they calculate it? Are they looking at morgue data? Are they doing photographs of mass burial sites, as Ukraine did? What is their method?"

So people are asking you to be scientific and critical rather than to uncritically repeat the claims of a belligerent in combat.

Finally, I'm not sure if you're saying this facetiously or if you genuinely don't know what Israel is capable of, or the lengths its gone to to reduce civilian harm but Israel is not doing indiscriminate mass slaughter. That's what Hamas did on October 7.

replies(1): >>Saucie+A94
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29. Saucie+A94[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 21:50:39
>>richar+R34
Ok, fair. My curiosity about methodology was satisfied when I saw an interview with a UN relief director who explained the retrospective examination of past casualty reporting that had happened.

I mean completely seriously that Israeli occupation forces are engaging in deliberate mass slaughter, including widely reported upon declarations of certain zones as safe for civilians followed by the bombing of those zones (https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-war-news-01-03-2024-...).

replies(1): >>richar+tl4
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30. richar+Qk4[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 22:37:38
>>runarb+r04
Of course target selection matters, as does the existence of checks and balances associated with each strike. There is lots of destruction because Hamas built its military infrastructure in and under urban environments.

Maybe this is semantics to you, but to me carpet bombing implies indiscriminate bombing, which is the opposite of what Israel has done, despite its having dropped many bombs.

replies(1): >>runarb+rr4
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31. richar+tl4[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 22:40:21
>>Saucie+A94
The UN is unfortunately not a credible source when it comes to this issue. Hostages have been held at UN employees' houses; the UN failed to condemn the October 7 attack for months; and they denied that rape occurred for months.

While you rely on authorities, I'll do what enlightenment thinkers do. Ask questions like "how" and "what is their method."

replies(2): >>Saucie+xv4 >>johnny+m25
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32. richar+em4[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 22:44:08
>>JeffSn+F14
Friend, Israel has a shitty party in power and a shitty prime minister in power, but that doesn't mean it's not a liberal democratic state. It's pretty obvious that you don't know much about Israel. Do you know that the kibbutzim that were attacked on october 7 were full of people who used to go to Gaza to drive gazans to Israeli hospitals? I myself have donated to gazans and marched with palestinians for decades. I will not stand silent as people who know much less than they think they do make overconfident statements maligning Israel.
replies(1): >>runarb+dt4
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33. runarb+rr4[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 23:07:14
>>richar+Qk4
The amount of residential areas being bombed seems to suggest that the bombing is indeed indiscriminate. It is hard to believe that 70-90% of all buildings in Gaza City are valid military targets.

Bombings can still be indiscriminate even when you carefully select and hit each and every target. The indiscriminateness is just moved from an imprecise bomb to a non-discriminatory target selection method.

But fine, don’t call this carpet bombing. Call it something else. The level of destruction is on the maps, and has been documented to be extremely severe. More severe than in any other bombing campaigns since World War 2. Perhaps this amount of destruction warrants a new name that accurately depicts the horrors of something worse than carpet bombings.

replies(1): >>richar+OA4
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34. runarb+dt4[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 23:15:22
>>richar+em4
I agree that having Likud in power is not in and of it self a reason to cast doubt over democracy in Israel. However I do think that the occupation over the West Bank, the Blockade of Gaza, the double judicial system for Palestinians vs. Israeli, the apartheid, the unequal paths to citizenship, etc. together makes Israel no more democratic then Apartheid era South Africa or pre-civil rights era USA. Neither of which constitute a liberal democracy be modern standards.
replies(1): >>richar+eL8
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35. Saucie+xv4[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 23:27:35
>>richar+tl4
Israel has a vested interest in discrediting the UN, this does not mean that the UN is in fact not a credible source. I'll glaze over their non-condemnation (since nobody required to condemn the IDF to participate in this discourse) and I'll say that independent investigations have yet to substantiate the accusations of sexual violence and infant beheadings that the Israeli state makes. So at least on that accord, the facts are on the side of the UN denials.
replies(2): >>tptace+tz4 >>richar+LE4
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36. tptace+tz4[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 23:46:48
>>Saucie+xv4
It may well be the case that Israel has a vested interest in discrediting the UN, but it's also pretty clear that the UN doesn't have much of an interest in establishing its own credibility. The Human Rights Council includes military dictatorships and countries responsible for unquestioned genocides. It has had a standing agenda item ("Item 7") regarding Palestine and the "occupied Arab territories"; Israel is the only country to receive such attention. The Special Rapporteur on Palestine, Francesa Albanese, has accused the US and Europe of being "subjugated by the Jewish lobby". The UN itself sponsors several organizations dedicated to the Israel/Palestine conflict, despite drastically more severe human rights issues elsewhere on the globe.

None of this is to defend any of the Netanyahu administrations actions in Gaza. I think these discussions on HN are largely cursed, and nobody is going to persuade anybody to "switch sides". You don't have to agree that the UN is, as Israel's supporters would say, so clearly biased against Israel as to be fatal to their credibility. But I don't think you can dismiss the charge easily. If you dig in, you're going to read some uncomfortable stuff.

replies(1): >>pvg+Q95
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37. richar+OA4[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-11 23:53:14
>>runarb+rr4
It's hard to believe that the earth goes around the sun!

Yes, there is lots of destruction. Yes, that's regrettable. No, that doesn't mean Israel is carpet bombing.

replies(1): >>johnny+NT4
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38. richar+LE4[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 00:16:18
>>Saucie+xv4
With regard to the evidence for sexual violence, can I ask you what would be an acceptable form of evidence for you that doesn't include watching a video of a girl getting raped?

Also, with regard to the beheadings, I know this is uncomfortable, but it's worth looking into a bit more than you have. There is lots of evidence that would pass muster in any court.

replies(1): >>johnny+315
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39. johnny+NT4[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 01:56:04
>>richar+OA4
"the Earth goes around the sun, so this is not what you see with your own eyes" is not an argument. The declared aim is to make Gaza unlivable, the actions match it. Including just turning off water, talking about human animals. And the destruction is not "regrettable", it's a despicable atrocity.

And then there is the IDF just going into civilian buildings, villages, rigging them up and blowing them up, singing about moving into Gaza and all that. The idea that it's only about military targets does not hold a drop of water.

replies(1): >>richar+DN7
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40. johnny+315[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 02:47:43
>>richar+LE4
> With regard to the evidence for sexual violence, can I ask you what would be an acceptable form of evidence for you that doesn't include watching a video of a girl getting raped?

"not none" would be acceptable for me.

https://speakupeg.com/2023/12/30/nyts-disgraceful-investigat...

> “She said she then watched another woman “shredded into pieces.” While one terrorist raped her, she said, another pulled out a box cutter and sliced off her breast. “One continues to rape her, and the other throws her breast to someone else, and they play with it, throw it, and it falls on the road.”

If people accept that at face value from a party that calls people "human animals" and turns off water for civilians and all that, while prepping to take over occupied territory it doesn't even consider occupied but theirs, well.

> Also, with regard to the beheadings, I know this is uncomfortable, but it's worth looking into a bit more than you have. There is lots of evidence that would pass muster in any court.

If it would pass in court, you can link to it here. Because, again, so far it's been claims accepted at face value, then attacking those who ask for evidence (it's in the OP article even, someone asking for evidence being flagged as "terrorist/fake"), then still no evidence.

https://www.declassifieduk.org/beheaded-babies-how-uk-media-...

replies(1): >>richar+RO7
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41. johnny+m25[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 02:59:12
>>richar+tl4
> The UN is unfortunately not a credible source when it comes to this issue

This issue includes the second paragraph of the comment your replied to.

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42. pvg+Q95[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 04:07:35
>>tptace+tz4
but it's also pretty clear that the UN doesn't have much of an interest in establishing its own credibility.

That's a little glib though, since it's fundamentally not how the UN works.

replies(1): >>tptace+ja5
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43. tptace+ja5[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 04:11:13
>>pvg+Q95
It felt glib. Can you think of a better way to write it?
replies(1): >>pvg+Kl5
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44. pvg+Kl5[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 05:34:41
>>tptace+ja5
Probably not, plus as a former UN brat (DISCLOSURE!), this stuff tends to get my goat a little.

Since the org is huge, multipurpose and multifaceted (and often less than the sum of its parts), I'd say it's best to stay as specific as possible both when using some UN thing to buttress an argument or to critique the thing - so, what is the thing, by what org, person, representative, etc.

In this case, the specific thing is

an interview with a UN relief director who explained the retrospective examination of past casualty reporting that had happened

Which doesn't seem to be linked? From there the whole thing swerves into a discussion of 'The UN' which turns to vague generalities that are mostly (I think often unintentionally) recycled talking points. 'Israel seeks to discredit the UN' is a recycled talking point itself, of course. But I think 'HRC has bad members' is too - the UN is full of bad members. The Security Council has an aggressor state on it with veto power and everything! UN has a lot of orgs and items dedicated to the conflict? Sure, but Israel and the UN were almost born together and the conflict is one of the closest things the UN has to a foundational, OG issue - state formation, genocide, wars of aggression, right to defense, refugees, it's all there. Special Rapporteurs are kind of unserious (and why is there no Special Raconteur)? A real thing but doesn't seem clearly related to whatever interview the poster read.

Anyway, sorry for the grumptone, I just think substantive UN critique is such a fecund orchard of low hanging fruit there's not much point in settling for the frozen trope concentrate stuff.

replies(3): >>tptace+Vn5 >>Saucie+lr6 >>richar+sO7
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45. tptace+Vn5[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 05:51:19
>>pvg+Kl5
These are all points well taken, and my general approach of dipping into fever threads only when there's something concrete I think can be added to the thread does in this case seem to be contributing to veering. It's just memorable to me because I got my ass handed to me in a conversation with a friend about how credible the anti-Israel bias argument was. But I don't pretend this is dispositive of anything; my only claim is that there's a colorable argument here, it's not just some random made-up thing.

Thanks for checking me on this!

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46. Vagabu+lk6[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 14:07:23
>>richar+Ab3
The blame for the kids dying lies firmly with the IDF/Israeli government. They have agency and they have made a choice to seal borders, cut off food, water and electricity, and bomb the living shit out of a captive population. Hamas have their own crimes they can answer for. I wouldn't mind if the leadership of Israel, IDF and Hamas were dragged before the ICC war crimes. Lock them all up, tbh.

Reporters Without Borders are a widely recognised and reputable organisation. Here's the direct link to the entry on Israel:

https://rsf.org/en/country/israel

replies(1): >>richar+OK8
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47. Saucie+lr6[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 14:40:36
>>pvg+Kl5
Hey, I'm sorry I didn't link the specific interview! I believe it was PBS, and I'm highly confident the individual from the UN in the interview was Martin Griffiths.
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48. richar+DN7[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 20:41:44
>>johnny+NT4
The declared aim is to make Gaza unlivable? Really? Israel has stated hundreds if not thousands of times that he declared aim is to (1) destroy hamas's ability to wage war; (2) return the hostages; and (3) prevent such an attack from recurring.

Yes, there have been particular government officials who've said they want to make Gaza unlivable, just as there are crazies in the US congress and senate who say things like we should nuke the middle east.

In terms of the earth going around the sun, the point I was trying to make is that at first glance it does look like the sun goes around the earth, just as at first glance it looks like Israel is trying to reduce Gaza to rubble, but after careful observation and adherence to scientific thinking we learn that the earth goes around the sun -- and that Israel is not carpet bombing gaza.

replies(1): >>johnny+7u8
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49. richar+sO7[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 20:46:14
>>pvg+Kl5
Hey Paul, I just want to clarify that you are an idol of mine and I hugely respect your thinking. I've read your essays for decades. I think there may be an imbalance between your knowledge and confidence when it comes to these matters, but I still highly respect you and I know you're more philosemite than antisemite. Thanks for inspiring me for decades.
replies(1): >>tptace+1W7
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50. richar+RO7[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 20:48:02
>>johnny+315
I'm kind of tired of showing people evidence of rape, but yes, all the evidence does exist, and at some point you will see it. You can even find it today if you search around carefully.
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51. tptace+1W7[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 21:19:46
>>richar+sO7
That's not Paul. Wrong /p[a-z]?g/.
replies(1): >>pvg+k78
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52. pvg+k78[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-12 22:23:24
>>tptace+1W7
On the other hand it’s nice to see Feynman is alive and posting on HN.
replies(1): >>richar+HK8
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53. johnny+7u8[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 01:13:11
>>richar+DN7
Under the Genocide convention, Israel is obliged to prohibit and prosecute such speech. US senators aren't the standard, just like Hamas is not the standard. Besides one US senators hardly being the equivalent of hundreds of public figures, from the head of state to security and education minister, to army generals and so on. They're crazies alright, but they're not fringe, they're in charge. Those who call it out get viciously attacked, such as Ofer Cassif or Israel Frey ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMKyH4jCnTE )

And the rhetoric matches the actions of the IDF. It's not "just" the bombing, it's also just blowing up whole villages demolition style, before/after making selfies and TikToks making fun of it. Just turning off water, plowing up the asphalts of streets, etc. etc.

replies(1): >>richar+vK8
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54. richar+vK8[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 04:38:26
>>johnny+7u8
It is absolutely 100% mainstream, repeated in almost every speech by Israeli politicians at a ratio of maybe 100:1 that the war goals are what I stated versus what you concocted. I understand it's tough for you to know this since you don't speak hebrew and may not follow Israeli media, but I can assure you--assure you as someone who has followed this topic for 20 years, criticized the Israeli government for 20 years, marched with free palestine-- that you're dead wrong in your assessment.

Also, not sure how much of an expert you are in the Genocide convention, but Israel allows free speech and like the United States it does not prosecute legislators for saying wild things.

There is a massive gulf between your confidence and knowledge.

replies(3): >>runarb+FQ8 >>johnny+B29 >>ignora+BuB
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55. richar+HK8[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 04:42:02
>>pvg+k78
haha
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56. richar+OK8[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 04:44:01
>>Vagabu+lk6
At the beginning of 1945 the allies had most of germany occupied. The nazis didn't surrender, and the allies killed countless german civilians until they did. Who was responsible for their deaths? The allies or the nazis?

Also, reporters without borders is not at all reputable. Here is one of countless rebuttals to their position: https://www.camera.org/article/using-journalists-lives-as-cu...

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57. richar+eL8[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 04:49:41
>>runarb+dt4
2 million Palestinians live in Israel as equal citizens. They're called Israeli arabs. They disagree with you that Israel is an apartheid state. There are arab supreme court justices in Israel. Those Palestinians love Israel. There is no separate judicial system for them. There is no apartheid. There is a separate judicial system for foreigners, like people living in Gaza, just as there is in the United States.

I do not agree with Israel's policies on the West Bank, but the issue is more complicated than I suspect you think and I encourage you to read Israeli perspectives on it.

replies(1): >>runarb+8Q8
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58. richar+nL8[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 04:51:15
>>JeffSn+8c1
Yes it does. When the Hamas government lies in Gaza (say about a death toll) there is no one to question them or dispute their narrative. By contrast, in Israel, when the government lies it's a national pasttime to criticize and dispute them. For this reason, it's easier to tell when the Israeli government is lying than when Hamas lies.
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59. runarb+8Q8[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 06:09:41
>>richar+eL8
So there is no apartheid if we ignore those living under apartheid?
replies(1): >>richar+bQ9
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60. runarb+FQ8[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 06:18:43
>>richar+vK8
(1) Hamas retains the ability fire rockets over to Israel despite 70% of Gaza city being destroyed or damaged.

(2) The USA consistently vetoes UN resolutions which would bring back the hostages. So (3) is obviously valued higher then the lives of the hostages.

(3) Do you honestly believe this is achievable via militaristic means?

Israels stated goals—if we ignore those who say the goal is genocide—seem rather vague and/or unachievable. And in the case of (2) Israel (or rather the USA) is self sabotaging.

No, I choose to believe the officials who claim ethnic cleansing is the goal. The reality from the ground seems to support their narrative.

replies(1): >>richar+74a
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61. johnny+B29[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 09:47:36
>>richar+vK8
When someone flashes a knife and mentions $racist_slur -- or in the case of Israel, actually just arbitrarily kills people, turns off their water, blows up civilian buildings after posing for selfies, making all these sick videos playing with the children's toys of displaced or killed Palestinian families, attacks refugee camps even in the West Bank, just rips up roads, tears down shops with bulldozers, hands out weapons to utterly deranged settlers -- and then talks 5 hours about how they're a fan of African Americans or whoever they slurred, how much they like rap... you don't weigh these things against these other.

What could be weighed against it could be protest against and prosecution of the genocidal statements and actions. Nothing else, not ever.

There still are Israelis with conscience who are against this. But they're in the minority, as shown by Israelis demonstrating in front of the house of Ofer Cassir, tearing up a Palestinian flag with a scissor, grinning from ear to ear -- the first member of the Knesset they want to expel for supporting having this brought before the ICJ.

And there is the translate button. We can translate audio, too. Everybody speaks Hebrew. And whatever change in tune from here on out, while not changing the actions, will not change what Israel showed the world. Just like cutting off Internet access to Gaza will not make the world forget about Gaza.

But since we will simply not agree on this anyway, I want to ask, did you march with "Free Palestine", or with Palestinians? As in, in those 20 years, did you make Palestinian friends? If so, what are they saying?

replies(1): >>richar+j2a
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62. richar+bQ9[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 16:37:26
>>runarb+8Q8
Gaza is not part of Israel. They have their own government (Hamas), their own military (Hamas) and their own administrative functions. Israel withdrew in 2005, forcibly pulling out every Jewish person that lived there (and Jewish people have lived there for thousands of years).
replies(2): >>runarb+gra >>tptace+NLa
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63. richar+j2a[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 17:36:02
>>johnny+B29
1) Israel does not arbitrarily kill people. The ratio of dead combatants to dead civilians is roughly 1:2, which is better than the US or other Western powers achieved in Iraq and Afghanistan. It's obviously also significantly better than Russia achieved in Mariupol alone (75k dead civilians, about 5k dead combatants).

2) I repeat: The IDF, Netanyahu, and other leaders have said a zillion times that the goals are to neuter Hamas, bring back the hostages, and provide a Hamas-free future for Gaza. These goals are consistent with their actions, which include dropping leaflets, sending text messages, doing roof-knock warnings, establishing humanitarian corridors, safe zones, allowing in aid, and more.

3) Yes, I have many Palestinian friends, and while I would never march with the current #freepalestine movement, which I think is highly antisemitic, I did march with the movement for years. Most of my Palestinian friends are afraid to speak up for fear of career damage. I encourage them to speak up and tell their side! I can guarantee you I've donated more to Palestinian causes than you or almost anyone on the thread has.

4) Do you think when Israel goes into a West Bank town they just do so for fun or malice? I mean, seriously! What a weird conception of the world. They go in and risk their soldiers to get terrorists, of which there are many.

5) I encourage you to browse Israeli media and hit the translate button! Based on your limited knowledge, I would guess you're not doing this at present. If you were, you would never claim Israel's goals are to make Gaza unlivable.

6) Yes, there are bad apples in the Israeli military who destroy stores and worse, but that is illegal in Israel and those soldiers get punished and face the military justice system. The same thing happens in every war, including US wars. Remember Abu Ghraib? That was far worse.

replies(1): >>ignora+jvB
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64. richar+74a[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 17:43:56
>>runarb+FQ8
1. This is true, and it's unfortunate that Hamas is firing rockets from safe zones. This makes Israel's job substantially more difficult. But what you're ignoring is that Hamas's military abilities have been substantially reduced, the number of rockets being fired has dwindled, and they are being fired from fewer places. Hamas has all but been displaced from Northern Gaza and Khan Younis will fall probably by the end of the month.

2. Israel will not accept a future in which Hamas, which has vowed to repeat October 7, remains in power. So any resolution that calls for a ceasefire (meaning Israel puts down its weapons but Hamas doesn't) without a return of hostages will not pass muster.

3. Yes, I do believe it is possible to achieve with military means, and moreover I believe it's impossible to achieve without military means. And I believe it already has been achieved in Northern Gaza. I'm not saying Hamas will go away completely, just as Nazism didn't go away completely, but just as the allies crushed the Nazis, Israel can crush Hamas. I think it's unlikely for Israel to get many more hostages back, but I'm glad it's trying.

Interesting to me that you believe the officials who claim ethnic cleansing is the goal rather than the 100x more numerous officials, including the head of the IDF and Netanyahu, who say the three goals are what I stated. Also, there is no ethnic cleansing of Palestinians on the ground. The net reduction in the Palestinian population since the start of the war has been roughly 6k people if you believe Hamas's death toll claims (22k deaths, 16k births).

replies(1): >>runarb+Aua
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65. runarb+gra[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 19:55:42
>>richar+bQ9
A) You are ignoring the West Bank

B) Apartheid South Africa used the same excuse. That black people lived in independent bantustans who were self governing and therefor not apart of South Africa.

C) You are ignoring the fact that Israel very much controls Gaza, including every border crossing, the airspace and sea access, imposes a blockade, controls the registry, etc. Unlike apartheid South Africa, Israel does not recognize independent Palestine, let alone independent Gaza.

replies(1): >>richar+mIa
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66. runarb+Aua[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 20:14:47
>>richar+74a
85% of the population of Gaza has been displaced. Officials have from the start constantly stated goals of evacuating people to live in tent cities on the Sinai peninsula. This includes lower or retired officials, leaked documents, and Netanyahu himself to foreign leaders. Make no mistake, this goal is ethnic cleansing. Just because they haven’t been successful, that doesn’t mean this isn’t their goal or that they haven’t been trying. It is my inclination to believe those official given that the reality very much matches their rhetoric.

That you invoke the historical example of the Nazis seems interesting to me. World War 2 is the most devastating war in human history. About 3% of the global population died in that war. You may think Hamas is that frightening but I think this level of destruction is not proportionate to the actual threat imposed by Hamas.

Instead I would like to invoke the historic example of the IRA. Another resistance group that did horrible acts of terrorism, causing countless civilian civilian casualties. IRA was not defeated militarily, instead the Catholic population of Northern Ireland were granted equal rights, and the system of oppression was dismantled.

Israel seem very reluctant to even consider a peaceful solution as an option. So far in the current conflict peaceful solutions has save over a 100 hostages, military options has saved a single hostage (and killed at least 3).

The point with these three goals you—and Israeli officials—claim, is that they are vague or unachievable. Genocide is hardly ever stated as a goal, instead it is hidden by a rhetoric such as these. Particularly the promise of security.

replies(1): >>richar+rJa
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67. richar+mIa[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 21:49:09
>>runarb+gra
A) I thought we were talking about Gaza? The Palestinian Authority controls the West Bank, so obviously there is a different legal system there. I don't like Israel's west bank policies either, but unless you consider palestinians living there to be Israelis (something I think they'd object to) then of course they have different ways of life and different administrative functions.

B) The apartheid in South Africa was based on race. By contrast the different policies in the West Bank reflect the historical and cultural context there: that it used to be part of Jordan, that the people there want to be separate from Israel, etc.

C) Israel does not control Gaza's border crossing any more than the US controls Canada's border crossing. Israel is an independent, sovereign country, so of course they get to control who goes in from Gaza. The other border gaza has is with Egypt, and Egypt has the same policies.

replies(2): >>wolf55+YQa >>runarb+cTa
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68. richar+rJa[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 21:57:01
>>runarb+Aua
1. If Israel didn't evacuate people from the north, there would be more dead Gazans. 2. Gazans have been begging to go to Egypt; the idea is to allow them to; Egypt refuses. 3. I'm not comparing this war to WW2, I'm comparing the principle that "you can't kill terrorism because it's an ideology" to the comparable principle of "you can't kill nazism because it's an ideology." 4. Of course Hamas was an existential threat to Israel. It literally killed ~1,000 Israeli civilians in a brutal, premeditated mass slaughter, a crime against humanity. If Hamas were stronger, or if Israel were weaker, they'd have killed more. 5. There can be no peace while Hamas is in power, retains hostages, and vows to repeat their atrocities. 6. Not only are Israel's three war aims achievable, but I'd argue they are just months away from achieving the first war aim (neutering Hamas). Time will tell. 7. You started off this thread by saying Israel's stated war aim is to ethnically cleanse Gaza. When I pointed out this is wrong, you changed your argument to some Israeli officials have said that. So you're arguing your interpretation of Israel's war aims supersede the official documentary record.
replies(1): >>runarb+hWa
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69. tptace+NLa[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 22:11:52
>>richar+bQ9
Gaza is and has been effectively occupied by Israel since 1967. It's independent from Israel in the same way that Xinjiang is independent from China. Sovereignty and autonomy in Gaza have been aspirational ideas since Sharon's 2005 disengagement. Meanwhile: only a small fraction of the population of Gaza has ever voted (they're too young to have, in the last election, wherein Hamas threw supporters of the PA off rooftops), so it's deeply misleading to describe Hamas as "their own government".

Pro-Palestinian rhetoric on this site goes off the rails in so many directions, and because it seems to be the majority opinion on the site, there are many more examples of off-the-rails comments from that side. But this assertion of Gaza's independence from Israel is one of the reliable off-the-rails pro-Israel sentiments I see here.

replies(2): >>wolf55+EPa >>richar+gfb
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70. loeg+8Pa[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 22:37:26
>>JeffSn+791
For example, Hamas claimed that an Israeli bomb struck a Gazan hospital and killed 500. Later the consensus viewpoint is that (1) it was a failed Gazan rocket launched at Israel that malfunctioned, and (2) it struck in a parking lot and the death toll is likely much, much lower. Hamas, a terrorist organization that repeatedly launches rockets at Israeli civilians, does not have a ton of credibility.
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71. wolf55+EPa[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 22:41:06
>>tptace+NLa
To me "occupied" means there is control enforced by troops on the ground. Israel didn't have any control of what went on inside Gaza.

Gaza was blockaded. Israel tried to control who and what goes in and out of Gaza (to try to limit the weapons Hamas has). But Israel had no control over what the Hamas Gaza government did in Gaza, how they spent their budget, what they built, what they taught in schools, what their military was planning.

replies(1): >>tptace+iXa
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72. wolf55+YQa[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 22:50:43
>>richar+mIa
Your point C is bad. Israel has a border with Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon and Syria. Israel tries to control its side of those borders. But Israel doesn't try to control whether those countries have sea and air ports. Israel very much tried to ensure Hamas in Gaza didn't have a sea and airport, to limit the weapons Hamas has. There was (and is) a blockade. Gaza was reliant on Israel and/or Egypt for bringing in food, fuel and electricity. If it was a regular independent country (albeit a small one), it would have control of its own sea and air port, and would be able to bring in heavy weapons from Iran.
replies(1): >>richar+yZa
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73. runarb+cTa[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 23:06:20
>>richar+mIa
We are debating whether Israel can count as a liberal democracy. And I am using the occupied territories to dispute that, because modern democracies have equal rights for its subjects, and imposing an apartheid system discredits any argument in favor of calling Israel a modern liberal democracy.

Palestinians in the occupied territories may not be Israeli citizens, but neither were the South African residents of the bantustans, so which passports the subjects of Israel holds doesn’t matter. What matters is that Israel controls most aspect of their lives and imposes different rules and condition depending on whether you are Israeli or Palestinian. However you separate the population doesn’t matter either, the fact that Israel does is all that counts.

There is a different legal system on the West Bank, true, however the Israeli settlers living there get charged in Israeli courts, and so do Palestinians, except that Palestinians get charged in a different court system, namely military court. This is a double justice system, and there is no other way of describing it. Modern liberal democracies don’t have those, only apartheid states do.

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74. runarb+hWa[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 23:29:46
>>richar+rJa
> You started off this thread by saying Israel's stated war aim is to ethnically cleanse Gaza.

I started off this thread by disputing the claim you made that Gaza is not being carped bombed. To circle back to that point here is an interesting article by the Washington Post Israel has waged one of this century’s most destructive wars in Gaza[1]. Of particular interest is the comparison to the bombing campaign of Aleppo and Raqqa.

ISIS is without a doubt one of the worse terrorist organizations we have ever seen. What makes ISIS particularly bad is that—unlike Hamas, IRA, Mau Mau or the Viet Cong—they are not resisting oppression of an occupying state but for their fight—like the Nazis—are for their own fascistic ideology and dominance. Their strength and brutality was also far worse then Hamas has ever been. And yet, they were defeated in Syria with far less damage and destruction then what the IDF has already imposed (without success) in Gaza.

I want to be absolutely clear though that the people suffering both the ISIS rule and then later the bombing campaigns which successfully deposed them, were indeed horrendous.

Another point of argument here is that there was no peaceful solution to ISIS. There is one for Hamas. ISIS wasn’t resisting oppression, Hamas is—just like IRA, FLN, etc. before them.

1: https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/interactive/20...

replies(1): >>richar+sfb
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75. tptace+iXa[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 23:38:28
>>wolf55+EPa
A common pattern for state autonomous zones seems to be devolved local governance, but no foreign policy or inter-state security, which seems to describe Gaza pretty well.
replies(1): >>wolf55+p4b
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76. richar+yZa[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-13 23:56:27
>>wolf55+YQa
Israel controls its borders with Gaza, Egypt, Lebanon, Jordan. That's what a state does; it's what a state is supposed to do. I too don't like the fact that Israel limits Gaza's maritime access (though it's worth noting Hamas developed a surprisingly sophisticated Navy indicating some degree of control of its maritime access). Hamas has not tried to build an airport in Gaza, though Qatar has proposed one, and proposed managing it. I can surely understand why Israel wouldn't want that.

Gaza was reliant on Israel for water because Hamas not only didn't invest in infrastructure, but literally dug up water pipes to make rockets. Why the heck should Israel be responsible for providing Gaza with water, food, fuel, or electricity? Do you also believe Ukraine should provide this stuff to Russia?

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77. wolf55+p4b[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-14 00:48:40
>>tptace+iXa
The national / federal government is able to send agents and enforce its will on states / provinces. Israel was not able to send anyone into Gaza.

It would be a "breakaway province" situation, except that:

a. Israel intentionally got all its citizens out of that place and

b. Israel had no intention of taking control and forcing Gaza to join back into Israel.

Israel mistakenly thought Hamas was transforming into a national government that is busy governing its territory.

Gaza was mostly an independent country at war with Israel and not even a little bit an autonomous province of Israel. The war could not be resolved and so it was stuck in a state where Israel thought it prevented Hamas from bringing in heavy weapons but did not want to commit to conquering a city.

I think some people thought that after Israel pulled out in 2005, and Gaza became autonomous, it would become a normal independent country, and people still treat Gaza of 2023 as if it's the Gaza of 2005.

replies(2): >>runarb+H7b >>tptace+Rcb
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78. runarb+H7b[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-14 01:26:48
>>wolf55+p4b
This paints a very rosy picture of the actual situation. Hardly any international organization would call Gaza an independent nation, not even Israel does that. Most (all?) international organization describe Gaza as an occupied territory of Israel.

Having control over a territory is what makes it occupied. And Israel very much has control over Gaza. The government and the legislator is one of few things which Gazans them self control, almost everything else is controlled by Israel, including the population registry, what goes in and out, etc.

> Israel mistakenly thought Hamas was transforming into a national government that is busy governing its territory.

They never thought such thing. There were regular bombing campaigns which Israelis described as “mowing the lawn” (talk about dehumanization) where the Israeli military went into Gaza—sometimes with groundtroups—including in 2008, 2012, 2014, 2018 and 2021. In 2018 the Israeli military indiscriminately shot at unarmed protestors inside Gaza. Israel always assumed Hamas to be a terrorist organization first, and an illegitimate government of Gaza second.

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79. tptace+Rcb[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-14 02:26:14
>>wolf55+p4b
By dint of Gaza's small size, dependence on Israel for resources, lack of control of its own borders (or, for that matter, it's own seafront), mandated lack of control of its airspace and complete inability to land an airplane, total inability to conduct international trade or international relations of any sort, political interdependence on the discontiguous territory of the occupied West Bank, and repeated IDF and IAF military incursions over the last 15 years, it seems facially unreasonable to suggest that Gaza is an independent country just because Ariel Sharon withdrew settlements just under 20 years ago.

I think if someone is going to raise the "Gaza isn't Israel it's an independent country" argument, the facts lining up against an natural reading of that kind of statement make it incumbent on the speaker to lay out the qualifications and contingencies, rather than counting on other speakers on the thread to do it for them. It's not a thing you can just say and pretend is clear; it's more or less an extraordinary claim.

I'd entertain the argument if someone wanted to explore it in a curious fashion. But, like, it's not true. Gaza is occupied territory in the intuitive meaning of the term.

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80. richar+gfb[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-14 02:55:06
>>tptace+NLa
Speaking as someone very familiar with the situation in Xianjiang (my best friend is a world authority on it), there are countless differences. The most obvious difference is that Xianjiang became a part of China in 1949, whereas Israel withdrew from Gaza in 2005, and Gaza has also been a part of Egypt. Moreover, China's control is focused on assimilation, a crackdown on religious practices, and re-education, whereas Israel is concerned with none of those things. I could go on forever.
replies(1): >>tptace+agb
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81. richar+sfb[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-14 02:57:13
>>runarb+hWa
no space to reply. even though we disagree, i thank you for the lack of ad hominems in this discussion, and I appreciate you taking the time for dialogue. a positive step.
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82. tptace+agb[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-14 03:04:12
>>richar+gfb
I wrote downthread about how persuasive this argument isn't.
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83. ignora+RoB[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-22 08:26:29
>>richar+H24
> Israeli journalists are even more critical of their government than American journalists.

Free to criticize but get jailed by the 100s: https://cpj.org/reports/2024/01/2023-prison-census-jailed-jo... (that's not free press)

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84. ignora+mtB[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-22 09:29:56
>>richar+dc1
Aizenberg55 seems like a disinfo propagandist shill. No different than any other shill, Gazan or Russian or German.

For instance, Aizenberg55 discounts the fact that over 10,000 bombs were dropped in the first 10 days, which resulted in higher casualties than in the later stages of the war, with fragile lives that of infants and young kids dying of shock and fear. It is also easier to count the fatalities when an entire building is reduced to rubble and everyone in it is either buried or dead. You don't need archaeologists and nuclear scientists to count.

> What do you think of their methods?

Their methods have been known to be robust. IDF, in the past wars, have arrived at similar numbers to those presented by the Gazans.

> One of the most obvious examples of a prior discrepancy.

Just like the discrepancy of 40 beheaded babies? Or the murder of a fictional Holocaust survivor? https://twitter.com/yairbrill/status/1748836323908346359 Applying your own logic, why do you even trust IDF or Zaka, then?

> Paul Graham has one standard...

- First, people are allowed to be wrong and change their minds when presented with facts. There is no need to hold them to prior beliefs and beat them for it forever.

- Second, if you don't personally know Paul Graham, I doubt you're in a position to judge whether he's willfully accepting ordinary claims just because he's a closet anti-semite, when the fact is, a wide number of independent institutions also accept those claims.

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85. ignora+BuB[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-22 09:47:15
>>richar+vK8
> I understand it's tough for you to know this since you don't speak hebrew and may not follow Israeli media, but I can assure you

One look at this "Hebrew" account and your assurances fall flat for the lies they are. https://twitter.com/ireallyhateyou

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86. ignora+jvB[view] [source] [discussion] 2024-01-22 09:55:48
>>richar+j2a
> Israel does not arbitrarily kill people

It has: https://www.btselem.org/publications/summaries/200203_trigge... (2002). It probably (orgs yet to verify) still does: https://reliefweb.int/report/occupied-palestinian-territory/... (2023)

> The IDF, Netanyahu, and other leaders

Pray tell, what are the Minister for National Security and Minister of Finance calling for?

As for everyone else, here are the receipts: https://twitter.com/KintsugiMuslim/status/174301442945995164...

> I've donated more to Palestinian causes than you or almost anyone on the thread has.

It is solidarity that is in short supply.

> They go in and risk their soldiers to get terrorists, of which there are many.

Of course. All 2m of them at some point must be killed or punished because terrorists: https://reliefweb.int/report/occupied-palestinian-territory/... Oh, and the violent Settlers... They are "security", too: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duma_arson_attack No one mistake them for terrorists, please.

> encourage you to browse Israeli media

I mean, they've been calling for genocide since ever: When Genocide is Permissible, Times of Israel (opinion, 2014), https://archive.is/EuUdc

> The same thing happens in every war, including US wars. Remember Abu Ghraib?

One crime doesn't excuse another. Genocide has also happened, as has ethnic cleansing. Those are not the Pandora's Box the World wants to open again, and rightly so.

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