zlacker

AI exists, yes, but "future AI" that "will be possible soon" that I hear many people talk about on HN doesn't exist. Yet. Maybe it will exist some day. Or maybe not. Or maybe it will take 40 years instead of half a year.

That was really my point: you can't really predict what the future will bring based on what we can do today. People were extrapolating from "we've got fancy rockets and space satellites" to "moon base" in the past, and now they're extrapolating from "GPT-4" to "GPT-5 will replace $thing soon" and even "major step towards AGI". I don't think you can make that assumption.

I'm also somewhat skeptical on the economic value, but that's a long argument I don't have time to expand on right now, and this margin is too narrow to contain it.