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1. mlyle+(OP)[view] [source] 2023-11-22 22:56:35
> It needs the existence of something that does not exist,

Yes, if we're concerned about the potential consequences of releasing AGI, we need to consider the likely outcomes if AGI is released. Ideally we think about this some before AGI shows up in a form that it could be released.

> it needs a certain socio-economic response and so forth.

Absent large interventions, this will happen.

> Are children equally demoralized about additions

Absolutely basic arithmetic, etc, has gotten worse. And emerging things like photomath are fairly corrosive, too.

> Is there a way to counter the demoralization?

We're all looking... I make the argument to middle school and high school students that AI is a great piece of leverage for the most skilled workers: they can multiply their effort, if they are a good manager and know what good work product looks like and can fill the gaps; it works somewhat because I'm working with a cohort of students that can believe that they can reach this ("most-skilled") tier of achievement. I also show students what happens when GPT4 tries to "improve" high quality writing.

OTOH, these arguments become much less true if cheap AGI shows up.

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