This meme was already dead before the recent events. Whatever the company was doing, you could say it wasn’t open enough.
> a real disruptor must be brewing somewhere unnoticed, for now
Why pretend OpenAI hasn’t just disrupted our way of life with GPTs in the last two years? It has been the most high profile tech innovator recently.
> OpenAI does not have in its DNA to win
This is so vague. What does it not have in its… fundamentals? And what is to “win”? This statement seems like just generic unhappiness without stating anything clearly. By most measures, they are winning. They have the best commercial LLM and continue to innovate, they have partnered with Microsoft heavily, and they have so far received very good funding.
Leaving the economic side even to make the tech 'greener' will be a challenge. OpenAI will win if they focus on making the models less compute intensive but it could be dangerous for them if they can't.
I guess the OP's brewing disruptor is some locally runnable Llama type model that does 80% of what ChatGPT does at a fraction of the cost.
It hasn't disrupted mine in any way. It may do that in the future, but the future isn't here yet.