>>emoden+(OP)
Not an expert but it seems to me you'd be making the same kind of error that the article denounces: attaching equal value to direct evidence on the one hand and inference to the best explanation on the other. If a physician does not observe tell-tale signs of suffocation in an infant, then it is not their role to say "Well, statistically speaking, or logically speaking, pretty good chance it's accidental suffocation isn't it? I'll jot this down as Accidental Suffocation Syndrome" or alternatively "I know in my heart that this is accidental suffocation but let's just call it SIDS for the benefit of the parents" but rather they should simply conclude "there's not enough evidence, therefore this death remains unexplained".