I think the difference is in the Monty Hall problem a 3rd party who knows one of the options to be a dud, reveals it to be so. In real life you're still just as likely to pick the dud. (One of many)
>>dizhn+(OP)
No your life experiences narrow the choices. You don't randomly emigrate. While the reasoning is wonky, there is , in reality, only a small pool of choices under consideration. Life is the 3rd party that reveals duds.
>>tlarkw+Kcb
Yeah sure. But that's not Monty hall. "Life" is something you experience, not something that you know like "no car behind that door". You know after the fact.
>>dizhn+qKb
Experience shifts your beliefs in a Bayesian information thoeretic way. It's the same thing of extra information entering the system but with more diffused probability distributions compared to hard knowledge like "the prize is not in that door". But the overall effect that the fuzzy information improves your outcomes holds