I suspect I'm a little bit more skeptical about this than other people might be? 10 years out is a long way to predict and I'm hesitant to try, but I might be primed wrong looking at voice assistants/video/etc... where I think the format changes have been a little over-exaggerated in some ways in the past, and where I think people have traditionally underestimated how much staying power traditional models have. There were a lot of things that were supposed to kill a traditional text-based Internet, but the only thing that's come close is video, and that seems to get a lot of blowback; I'm not sure it was an improvement.
But regardless, your comment is a insightful perspective that gives me some alternative ways of looking at this. So I think I agree. I might be just more on the skeptical side of things of how well-suited the current tools are for building the kinds of applications you're describing, but I get the theory.
And generative AI that's separate from AI answering questions is kind of another story; I can absolutely imagine potential creative impacts around stuff like music loop generation, art generation, etc... I similarly am looking at the current state of things and saying, "well... the tech doesn't seem to be as good as people say it is, so I don't want to start using it now before it improves", but I can at least imagine how things might change if the tech does get good. I'm not sure it would be a "revolution" or that it's going to put artists out of business or whatever, but it could potentially lower the barrier of entry for certain applications. And certainly LLMs for general website classification I think would be a really good use that I wish was being pursued more.
At the least though, even if I'm skeptical, I can definitely understand why someone would have that perspective, and your summation of the different groups rings true to me.
I still don't think I want it in my current search box today though :) I don't think that LLMs are useless at all, I'm just not sure searching in specific is a good use for them.