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[parent] [thread] 2 comments
1. _joel+(OP)[view] [source] 2022-05-23 22:14:37
Perhaps the confluence of NLP and something generative?
replies(2): >>astran+a3 >>Semant+j3
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2. astran+a3[view] [source] 2022-05-23 22:34:31
>>_joel+(OP)
That doesn’t even lead in the direction of an AGI. The larger and more expensive a model is the less like an “AGI” it is - an independent agent would be able to learn online for free, not need millions in TPU credits to learn what color an apple is.
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3. Semant+j3[view] [source] 2022-05-23 22:35:10
>>_joel+(OP)
Yes metaculus mostly bet a magic number based on perhaps and tbh why not, the interaction of NLP and vision is mysterious and has potential. However those magic numbers should still be considered magic numbers. I agree that in 2040 the interactions will have extensively been studied though but the conclusion of wether we czn go much further on cross-models synergies is totally unknown or pessimist.
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