“Chance of escaping sandbox = upvote conversion rate x views”
“Chance” must be a probability. But this formula will yield a chance > 1 most of the time. That makes no sense.
His example is 30 page views and an upvote conversion rate of 13.3%, which means the “Chance of escaping sandbox” = 3.99.
Reading more, I see that most of the math makes no sense. But I’d love to “triple” my chances of getting to the front page by making my probability 11.97.