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1. beeran+(OP)[view] [source] 2021-09-25 17:20:06
It's not the probability of any specific configuration, but the probability of a specific configuration over any other particular configuration.

All configurations could have an infinitesimal chance of occurring, but one configuration could still have a billion to one chance of occurring over another particular configuration.

Which is especially relevant if we have a relatively recent basepoint of comparison.

An infinite number of monkeys with typewriters might eventually reproduce Shakespeare, but 10000 monkeys doing it on their first try points to causation beyond "chance".

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