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1. tomjen+(OP)[view] [source] 2021-05-07 14:56:28
What is least likely? A group of scientists in a quasy communist country do a shit job of safety and end up endangering the worlds population or that a virus that coexists with Bats, somehow and for no (direct) evolutionary benefit, becomes able to infect humans?
replies(2): >>Siempr+63 >>jounke+Rw
2. Siempr+63[view] [source] 2021-05-07 15:14:00
>>tomjen+(OP)
Uh, infecting a new type of organism is a pretty big evolutionary benefit though?

Saying there is no benefit is like saying there is no benefit for people people who switch jobs just so they get paid more.

replies(1): >>tomjen+p9
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3. tomjen+p9[view] [source] [discussion] 2021-05-07 15:55:14
>>Siempr+63
It is, on the whole, but not immediately. It is kinda like the idea that while having eyes is a huge evolutionary benefit, having just part of the eye confers none. Or like guessing a password by random chance. If you get some immediate feedback by being partially right then it is pretty easy, but if you only know if the password is right or wrong, then the odds of guessing the password rounds to zero.
4. jounke+Rw[view] [source] 2021-05-07 17:47:02
>>tomjen+(OP)
Based on what we know about the history and ecology of pathogens, the latter is far more likely. I say this as someone with training in the biological sciences.
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