zlacker

>>"International trust in anything related to the Chinese government is currently very low"

- there is a long track record leading to this low trust. Based on this we should place a very low prior belief in what ccp says

>>qualif+(OP)
Who to trust then?

>>_y5hn+01
No one can be trusted 100%. That's the whole point of the linked analysis. You assign certain probability ranges (based on facts, past track record, research results, etc.) to various events and then mathematically infer the probability of event in question.