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1. partyb+(OP)[view] [source] 2020-04-27 07:30:13
Basic probability. How come when I flip a coin it is just as likely to come up heads or tails even if it has just been heads 5 times in a row?

I understand the physical properties of the coin make it so it is an independent event but if I were to run the experiment multiple times the number of times it would be heads after 5 heads would not be an even probability, it would be unlikely since 6 heads in a row is a rare event.

replies(2): >>Reraro+e >>ausbah+sB
2. Reraro+e[view] [source] 2020-04-27 07:32:48
>>partyb+(OP)
Yeah, but 5 heads followed by 1 tail is also a rare event. Basically, after drawing 5 heads you have a choice between two rare events which are equally probable. The same after drawing anything else, not just 5 heads.
3. ausbah+sB[view] [source] 2020-04-27 14:18:21
>>partyb+(OP)
this 3blue1brown video might answer your questions

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=8idr1WZ1A7Q

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