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1. james-+V4[view] [source] 2022-05-23 21:17:30
>>kevema+(OP)
Metacalculus, a mass forecasting site, has steadily brought forward the prediction date for a weakly general AI. Jaw-dropping advances like this, only increase my confidence in this prediction. "The future is now, old man."

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general...

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2. sydthr+o5[view] [source] 2022-05-23 21:21:09
>>james-+V4
How can we prepare for this?

This will result in mass social unrest.

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3. dougmw+Ql[view] [source] 2022-05-23 23:01:31
>>sydthr+o5
I think the serious answer is that it is yet another labor multiplier like electricity and software. Our tech since the industrial revolution has allowed us to elevate ourselves from a largely agrarian society to space and cyberspace. AI, by all appearances, continues to be a tool, just the latest in a long line of better tools. It still requires a human to provide intent and direction. Right now in my job, I command the collect output of a million medieval scribes. In the future I will command a million Michelangelos.

Should ML/AI deliver on the wildest promises, it will be like a SpaceX Starship for the mind.

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4. sydthr+8A[view] [source] 2022-05-24 01:00:03
>>dougmw+Ql
Well, anyone over 40 will be fucked. There goes your utopia.
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5. dougmw+Cu1[view] [source] 2022-05-24 10:41:36
>>sydthr+8A
Computers didn't fuck anyone over 40, but they did create new opportunities for young people that slowly took over the labor market and provided a steady stream of productivity growth. Right now these are impressive benchmarks and neat toys that cost millions to train. This is going to be a slow transition to a new paradigm. We are not going to end up in a utopia any more than computers created a utopia.
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