zlacker

>>kevema+(OP)
Metacalculus, a mass forecasting site, has steadily brought forward the prediction date for a weakly general AI. Jaw-dropping advances like this, only increase my confidence in this prediction. "The future is now, old man."

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general...

>>james-+V4
I don't see how this gets us (much) closer to general AI. Where is the reasoning?

>>tpmx+V9
Perhaps the confluence of NLP and something generative?

>>_joel+1f
That doesn’t even lead in the direction of an AGI. The larger and more expensive a model is the less like an “AGI” it is - an independent agent would be able to learn online for free, not need millions in TPU credits to learn what color an apple is.