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[return to "Israeli startup claims Covid-19 likely originated in a lab, willing to bet on it"]
1. pengar+p3[view] [source] 2020-12-30 21:00:45
>>delbar+(OP)
They're probably receiving >$100k worth of attention by making this claim so... I'd like to see more zeroes in the wager.
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2. dash2+J8[view] [source] 2020-12-30 21:32:00
>>pengar+p3
Yeah, the problem with this startup is that the high-minded Bayesianism of their model is going to run up against the crass incentive to make exciting, media-friendly claims. Their track record doesn't seem that rigorous either, they just list a few (like 5) cases where evidence has later supported them: https://www.rootclaim.com/rootclaim_track_record
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