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Google's year in review: areas with research breakthroughs in 2025

submitted by Anon84+(OP) on 2025-12-24 09:30:58 | 245 points 168 comments
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18. MrOrel+Ak[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 13:15:25
>>cpursl+lg
There has been a lot of discussion on this recently in the blog-o-sphere. All conclusions I've seen so far are that the economy is basically fine and maybe people's expectations have risen (I'm oversimplifying). I'm also quite eager to hear different conclusions, because there is a lot of cognitive dissonance on the economy right now.

- https://www.slowboring.com/p/you-can-afford-a-tradlife

- https://www.slowboring.com/p/affordability-is-just-high-nomi...

- https://thezvi.substack.com/p/the-revolution-of-rising-expec...

- https://open.substack.com/pub/astralcodexten/p/vibecession-m...

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21. 10xDev+nl[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 13:22:03
>>cpursl+lg
Truth be told, it is more complicated than a "tanking" economy so you will get headlines like this: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62n9ynzrdpo but that's because it is a K-shaped economy: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/dec/07/stock-price... thanks to the stock market and AI investment. The job market especially for entry level tech jobs is also essentially screwed whether that's due to AI or something else, who even knows anymore: https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2025/12/16/us-unemployment...
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31. andsoi+lo[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 13:47:41
>>10xDev+8g
> Meanwhile the economy is tanking.

NYT: US GDP Grew 4.3%, surging in 3rd Quarter 2025 - https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/23/business/us-economy-consu...

WSJ: Consumers Power Strongest US Economic Growth in 2 years - https://www.wsj.com/economy/us-gdp-q3-2025-2026-6cbd079e

The Guardian: US economy grew strongly in third quarter - https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/dec/23/us-economy-...

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33. cj+0r[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 14:07:29
>>andsoi+lo
Meanwhile, consumer debt is at record highs.

https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc

47. hubrau+Bt[view] [source] 2025-12-24 14:29:50
>>Anon84+(OP)
"The Thinking Game" is an absolutely fascinating and inspirational documentary about DeepMind and Demis Hassabis: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d95J8yzvjbQ

Makes you really optimistic about the future of humanity :)

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58. raw_an+cv[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 14:40:25
>>pm90+rm
Google has been at the forefront of “AI” and Machine Learning forever. I didn’t appreciate this myself until listening to the Acquired podcast episode

https://www.acquired.fm/episodes/google-the-ai-company

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64. two_ha+Qv[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 14:44:48
>>bawis+pt
The new problem with GDP is we can no longer trust government numbers.

1 - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/trump-seeks-to-fire-bu...

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71. state_+xx[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 14:54:40
>>kace91+ds
>>Google could have been an advertising company with a search engine. I'm glad they aren't.

>They kind of are though?

Splitting[1] is a psychological phenomena that you'll find often once you learn to recognize it. Google can both be doing great research, and run a significant influence operation.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Splitting_(psychology)

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73. andsoi+5y[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 14:58:49
>>ryandr+9v
> I think we should start separating discussion of “The Economy” from “human prosperity and wellbeing.”

Do you think Americans' prosperity and wellbeing is tanking?

We can still look at quantitative and qualitative data.

The Economist ran a story in July "What is the richest country in the world in 2025"[1] in which they compared economies in three different ways: GDP per person at market exchange rates, Adjusted for price differences, and Adjusted for prices and hours worked.

Against those three metrics, the US is ranked in 4th, 7th, and 6th positions.

Even these statistics may need further interpretation or further adjustment (the article does a great job explaining why adjustments are needed for places like Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Ireland, Luxembourg).

> While you are probably right in that The Economy, technically is growing, it doesn’t feel like it to normal people I know.

Pew's research shows that most Americans rate the US economy negatively, with a strong partisan divide. 44% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents rat the economy as excellent or good (up 8 points from April) while only 10% of Democrats and Democratic-leaners say so.

Arguments for "better off" than, say, 3 years ago: strong job market, economic growth, reduced debt burden.

Arguments for "worse off" than, say, 3 years ago: high cost of living.

Notwithstanding the pessimism and the visible fact that people are not as economically strong as a pre-pandemic (but certainly much more than 2007 - 2008), I don't know that I would say the US economy is "tanking" OR that Americans are becoming destitute.

[1] https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2025/07/18/what-is-...

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74. prolyx+5z[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 15:05:30
>>gtsnex+Ug
Arb Research and Renaissance Philanthropy made an excellent list this year! https://frontier.renaissancephilanthropy.org/
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88. andsoi+PG[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 16:00:35
>>ryandr+7C
Prior discussion, including debate about averages and including free link to read article: >>44616486
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118. dang+Tr1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 21:46:01
>>hubrau+Bt
Discussed here if anyone's curious:

The Thinking Game Film – Google DeepMind documentary - >>46097773 - Nov 2025 (141 comments)

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124. Discou+7B1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 22:55:31
>>state_+xx
This antinomical understanding (contradictory opposites that are both true) has its origins in Kant's work[0], which was of course picked up by Freud, consciously or not.

[0]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kant%27s_antinomies

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132. tim333+gI1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 23:50:57
>>gtsnex+Ug
Maybe Science magazine https://www.science.org/content/article/breakthrough-2025 ?

>The seemingly unstoppable growth of renewable energy is Science’s 2025 Breakthrough of the Year

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135. tim333+bJ1[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-24 23:57:17
>>737373+M9
From a couple of weeks ago:

>Google DeepMind will establish its first “automated science laboratory” in the UK...

>The lab will focus on using AI tools to develop new materials for superconductors, solar cells and semiconductors.

(https://www.ft.com/content/b20f382b-ef05-4ea1-8933-df907d30c...)

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141. skybri+z12[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-25 03:25:05
>>LouisS+nL
> the main known applications of quantum computers remain (1) the simulation of quantum physics and chemistry themselves, (2) breaking a lot of currently deployed cryptography, and (3) eventually, achieving some modest benefits for optimization, machine learning, and other areas (but it will probably be a while before those modest benefits win out in practice).

...

> 2025 was clearly a year that met or exceeded my expectations on hardware, with multiple platforms now boasting >99.9% fidelity two-qubit gates, at or above the theoretical threshold for fault-tolerance. This year updated me in favor of taking more seriously the aggressive pronouncements—the “roadmaps”—of Google, Quantinuum, QuEra, PsiQuantum, and other companies about where they could be in 2028 or 2029.

...

> at some point, the people doing detailed estimates of how many physical qubits and gates it’ll take to break actually deployed cryptosystems using Shor’s algorithm are going to stop publishing those estimates, if for no other reason than the risk of giving too much information to adversaries. Indeed, for all we know, that point may have been passed already. This is the clearest warning that I can offer in public right now about the urgency of migrating to post-quantum cryptosystems, a process that I’m grateful is already underway.

https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=9425

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147. nsomar+4i2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-25 07:31:02
>>Discou+7B1
This may be of interest to you, a few years before Kant with “Syādvāda” going beyond the binary implied by contradiction alone: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anekantavada
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149. comman+Hi2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-25 07:40:57
>>LouisS+nL
I posted this as a submission that didn't really garner interest but from the cryptanalysis angle it is a boondoggle, here's a video of Peter Gutmann presenting his take: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xa4Ok7WNFHY
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150. echelo+Gm2[view] [source] [discussion] 2025-12-25 08:53:39
>>marbro+P61
Nothing is 100%. Unrestrained capitalism is just as bad as unrestrained government. Balance is important.

The system you exist in today is heavily regulated. Perhaps over-regulated. But you don't want to live in an unregulated chaos.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Jungle

159. passwo+lN3[view] [source] 2025-12-26 02:17:54
>>Anon84+(OP)
Browser automation finally works reliably enough for most tasks. Vision models have gotten good enough that AI agents can navigate dynamic websites without breaking on every UI change.

I've been using this for automated password rotation after breach notifications. The agent handles navigation while credentials are injected locally—LLM sees the page but never actual password values. When 2FA is required, OTP extraction happens via local regex, not AI.

~89% success rate on standard sites. Turns 6+ hours of tedious credential rotation into 40 minutes of supervision.

The gap between Google's research and "AI that saves me time today" is closing fast.

https://thepassword.app (Mac app I built for this)

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