Hopefully AV2.
IIRC AV1 decoding hardware started shipping within a year of the bitstream being finalized. (Encoding took quite a bit longer but that is pretty reasonable)
Yeah, that's... sparse uptake. A few smart TV SOCs have it, but aside from Intel it seems that none of the major computer or mobile vendors are bothering. AV2 next it is then!
Eventually people and companies will associate HEVC with "that thing that costs extra to work", and software developers will start targeting AV1/2 so their software performance isn't depending on whether the laptop manufacturer or user paid for the HEVC license.
[1] https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2025/11/hp-and-dell-disable-...
This is a big victory for the patent system.
I am eagerly awaiting for AV2 test results.
I'm not sure what you mean by "patent system" having a victory here, but it's not that the goal of promoting innovation is happening.
But this just indicates that HEVC etc. is a dead end anyway.