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1. halzm+(OP)[view] [source] 2025-12-04 23:25:42
I think these tests are always difficult to gauge how meaningful they actually are. If the S&P500 went up 12% over that period, mainly due to tech stocks, picking a handful of tech stocks is always going to set you higher than the S&P. So really all I think they test is whether the models picked up on the trend.

I more surprised that Gemini managed to lose 10%. I wish they actually mentioned what the models invested in and why.

replies(2): >>taylor+v >>Marsym+Ws
2. taylor+v[view] [source] 2025-12-04 23:28:03
>>halzm+(OP)
Wait — isn't that exactly what good investors do? They look for what stocks are going to beat expectations and invest in them. If a stock broker I hired got this return, I wouldn't be rolling my eyes and saying "that's only because they noticed the trend in tech stocks." That's exactly what I'm paying them to do.
3. Marsym+Ws[view] [source] 2025-12-05 03:15:20
>>halzm+(OP)
> picking a handful of tech stocks is always going to set you higher than the S&P.

That's a bold claim.

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