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[return to "A lot of population numbers are fake"]
1. merryo+5i[view] [source] 2026-01-29 15:04:23
>>bookof+(OP)
I was in Chile in 2017 for a census operation and the whole country shut down to conduct the census. It was a pretty big deal while I was there (and also a bit inconvenient because everything was closed). There was a lot of talk about how there had been a previous attempt at conducting the census which had ended up being a huge failure and how getting the 2017 census done right was a point of national pride.

I also worked as a canvasser in 2019 and 2020 for the US census and, while we were about as thorough as you could reasonably get, the whole operation made me somewhat skeptical of official statistics in general. 2020 in particular was a bit of a disaster due to the pandemic and when the statistics were published, a bunch of mainstream news outlets published stories about certain areas experiencing "population decline" and all I could think was that those were actually the areas where the census didn't manage to count everyone.

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2. Thlom+ql[view] [source] 2026-01-29 15:19:16
>>merryo+5i
Over here we just have every person registered in a central database from birth and it's mandated by law to keep the registry updated with your current address. The last census was in 2001 and then there was also done a big job registering every residences in multi residence houses. The assumption is that we will never have to do a form based census ever again and just use central registries instead.
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3. munifi+E91[view] [source] 2026-01-29 18:38:35
>>Thlom+ql
> we just have every person registered in a central database from birth

"Just" is doing a lot of work in that sentence!

A human female can have sex once and pop out a new human 9 months later regardless of her connection to any official social systems or state apparatus. She could disappear into the woods as a hermit and produce a completely uncounted unknown new person.

To the degree that that doesn't happen, it's because a country has spent generations building a giant high trust society with good widely available medical infrastructure and a culture where almost everyone believes it is better to use that than to go it alone. Building that system requires the powerless to organize themselves and counterbalance the powerful elite who otherwise have a tendency towards despotism and corruption. That in turn requires a lot of shared culture so that the powerless feel they are all one tribe and not fractured out-groups (a reality the elites are constantly incentivized to manufacture). You need good education, mobility, safety.

An easy census is the very pinnacle of a successful society and only in a few places in the recent past has any country reached it.

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4. Barrin+Rd2[view] [source] 2026-01-29 23:46:26
>>munifi+E91
> it is better to use that than to go it alone.

frankly I don't think in any even half modern country you can go at it alone. I struggle to imagine how someone would physically manage to evade public authorities here in Germany where schooling is mandatory and any kid not in the education system would sooner or later be caught. There's barely even a place so remote authorities or other citizens would notice you and report you. You couldn't go to the doctor or anywhere really without identification or insurance.

So I think it's less of a function of trust and more simply of modernity, you're not going to escape attention for too long unless you're a trained spy or something

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5. munifi+yM2[view] [source] 2026-01-30 05:05:20
>>Barrin+Rd2
Here's a case from the US: https://radiolab.org/podcast/invisible-girl/transcript
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6. cybera+H03[view] [source] 2026-01-30 07:42:40
>>munifi+yM2
This case would be impossible in Germany because homeschooling there is illegal.
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7. Mounta+6Y5[view] [source] 2026-01-31 03:09:18
>>cybera+H03
A recent case in the Netherlands involved six children being off the radar of the government their entire childhoods. Not sure if homeschooling is legal in the Netherlands or not but in this case, it wasn't relevant.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ruinerwold_secluded_family

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