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[return to "A lot of population numbers are fake"]
1. vladms+Xc[view] [source] 2026-01-29 14:43:32
>>bookof+(OP)
Quoting from the article "But here’s a question about Papua New Guinea: how many people live there? The answer should be pretty simple."

That sounds a very strange expectation. Most of my life post university I realized most of questions have complex answers, it is never as simple as you expect.

If the author would check how things biology and medicine work currently, I think he will have even more surprises than the fact that counting populations is an approximate endeavor.

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2. jkling+kh[view] [source] 2026-01-29 15:01:16
>>vladms+Xc
> Most of my life post university I realized most of questions have complex answers, it is never as simple as you expect.

I find the complication comes from poor definitions, poor understanding of those definitions, and pedantic arguments. Less about the facts of reality being complicated and more about our ability to communicate it to each other.

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3. apercu+wj[view] [source] 2026-01-29 15:10:37
>>jkling+kh
I’ve noticed the inverse as in the more I understand something, the less “simple” it looks.

Apparent simplicity usually comes from weak definitions and overconfident summaries, not from the underlying system being easy.

Complexity is often there from the start, we just don’t see it yet.

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4. somena+Om[view] [source] 2026-01-29 15:25:11
>>apercu+wj
There's a great analog with this in chess as well.

~1200 - omg chess is so amazing and hard. this is great.

~1500 - i'm really starting to get it! i can beat most people i know easily. i love studying this complex game!

~1800 - this game really isn't that hard. i can beat most people at the club without trying. really I think the only thing separating me from Kasparov is just a lot of opening prep and study

~2300 - omg this game is so friggin hard. 2600s are on an entirely different plane, let alone a Kasparov or a Carlsen.

Magnus Carlsen - "Wow, I really have no understanding of chess." - Said without irony after playing some game and going over it with a computer on stream. A fairly frequent happening.

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5. ric2b+8p[view] [source] 2026-01-29 15:37:11
>>somena+Om
Funny how the start of your scale, 1200 Elo, is essentially what I have as a goal and am not even close yet, lol.
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