zlacker

>>cheese+(OP)
Predicting the stock market will likely never happen because it’s recursive. We can predict the next 10 days of weather, but the weather doesn’t change because it read your forecast. As long as markets continue to react to their own reactions, they will remain unpredictable.

If the strategy is long, there might be alpha to be found. But day trading? No way.

>>mvkel+TX1
"We can predict the next 10 days of weather, but the weather doesn’t change because it read your forecast."

Less true than it used to be, with cloud seeding being an off-the-shelf technology now. Still largely true, but not entirely true anymore.