zlacker

>>amrrs+(OP)
People are drawing erroneous conclusions from this.

My read of this is that the paper demonstrates that given a particular model (and the problems examined with it) that giving more thought tokens does not help on problems above a certain complexity. It does not say anything about the capabilities of future, larger, models to handle more complex tasks. (NB: humans trend similarly)

My concern is that people are extrapolating from this to conclusions about LLM's generally, and this is not warranted

The only part about this i find even surprising is he abstract's conclusion (1): that 'thinking' can lead to worse outcomes for certain simple problem. (again though, maybe you can say humans are the same here. You can overthink things)

>>avstee+Sy3
You can absolutely extrapolate the results, because what this shows is that even when "reasoning" these models are still fundamentally repeating in-sample patterns, and that they collapse when faced with novel reasoning tasks above a small complexity threshold.

That is not a model-specific claim, it's a claim on the nature of LLMs.

For your argument to be true would need to mean that there is a qualitative difference, in which some models possess "true reasoning" capability and some don't, and this test only happened to look at the latter.