Why? Because if I’m not right then I am convinced that AI is going to be a force for evil. It will power scams on an unimaginable scale. It will destabilize labor at a speed that will make the Industrial Revolution seem like a gentle breeze. It will concentrate immense power and wealth in the hands of people who I don’t trust. And it will do all of this while consuming truly shocking amounts of energy.
Not only do I think these things will happen, I think the Altmans of the world would eagerly agree that they will happen. They just think it will be interesting / profitable for them. It won’t be for us.
And we, the engineers, are in a unique position. Unlike people in any other industry, we can affect the trajectory of AI. My skepticism (and unwillingness to aid in the advancement of AI) might slow things down a billionth of a percent. Maybe if there are more of me, things will slow down enough that we can find some sort of effective safeguards on this stuff before it’s out of hand.
So I’ll keep being skeptical, until it’s over.
I keep hearing this but have yet to find a good resource to study the issues. Most of what I've read so far falls into two buckets:
"It'll hijack our minds via Social Media" - in which case Social Media is the original sin and the problem we should be dealing with, not AI.
or
"It'll make us obsolete" - I use the cutting edge AI, and it will not, not anytime soon. Even if it does, I don't want to be a lamplighter rioting, I want to have long moved on.
So what other good theories of safety can I read? Genuine question.
Bruce Scheneir, May 2024
https://www.schneier.com/academic/archives/2024/06/ai-will-i...
I am seeing a stream of comments on Reddit that are entirely ai driven, and even bots which are engaging in conversations. Worst case scenarios I’m looking at will mean it’s better to assume everyone online is a bot.
I know of cases where people have been duped into buying stocks because of an AI generated version of a publicly known VP of a financial firm.
Then there’s the case where someone didn’t follow email hygiene and got into a zoom call with what appeared to be their CFO and team members, and transferred several million dollars out of the firm.
And it’s only 2-3 years into this lovely process. The future is so bleak that just talking about this with people not involved with looking at these things call it nihilism.
It’s so bad that talking about it is like punching hope.
For that matter, My email has been /dev/null for a while now, and unless I have spoken to a person over phone and expect their email, I don't even check my inbox. Facebook/Instagram account is largely used as a photo back up service, plus online directory. And Twitter is for news.
I mostly don't trust anything that comes online, unless I already have verified the other party is somebody Im familiar with and even then only through the established means of communication we both have agreed to.
I do believe reddit, quora, leet code et al, will largely be reduced /dev/null spaces very soon.
There was a direct benefit from digitization and being able to trust digital video and information that allowed nations to deliver services.
Trust was a public good. Factual information cheaply produced and disseminated was a public good.
Those are now more expensive because the genAI content easily surpasses any cheap bullshit filter.
It also ends up undermining faith in true content, which may be outlandish.
I saw an image of a penny hitch on Reddit and I have no idea if it’s real or not without having to check anymore.
In all honesty, art in some form or the other has always been simulated to some extent. Heck, the whole idea of a story, even if in a book is something you know hasn't happened in real life, but you are willing to suspend belief for a while to be entertained. This is the essence of all entertainment. It is not real, but it makes you feel good.
Like action movies have had cgi, cartoon shows, magic shows and even actors putting on make up itself can be considered deviation from truth.
I guess your idea is that news can be manufactured and one could rig public opinion to all sorts of bad things. But again, once you are here, a good amount of public already knows this to be false enough to be wary of it. Come to think of it, a lot of news is already heavily edited to a point it doesn't represent the original story. This is just a continuation of the same.