So far in my experience watching small to medium sized companies try to use it for real work, it has been occasionally useful for exploring apis, odd bits of knowledge etc, but overall wasted more time than it has saved. I see very few signs of progress.
The time has come for llm users to put up or shut up - if it’s so great, stop telling us and show and use the code it generated on its own.
Having something else write a lot of the boring code that you'll need and then you finish up the final touches, that's amazing and a huge accelerator (so they claim).
The claim is not "AI will replace us all", the claim of the parent article is "AI is a big deal and will change how we work, the same way IDEs/copy-paste/autocomplete/online documentation have radically changed our work."
Vim and bash solved that for me a long time ago in a more reliable and efficient way (and it's certainly not the only tool capable of that).
> the same way IDEs/copy-paste/autocomplete/online documentation have radically changed our work
I was there before and went in the autocomplete/lsp thing pretty late (because Vim didn't have good lsp support for a long time, and Vim without it was still making me more efficient than any other IDE with it). Those things didn't radically change our work as you claim, it just made us a bit more productive.