Here’s the thing from the skeptic perspective: This statement keeps getting made on a rolling basis. 6 months ago if I wasn’t using the life-changing, newest LLM at the time, I was also doing it wrong and being a luddite.
It creates a never ending treadmill of boy-who-cried-LLM. Why should I believe anything outlined in the article is transformative now when all the same vague claims about productivity increases were being made about the LLMs from 6 months ago which we now all agree are bad?
I don’t really know what would actually unseat this epistemic prior at this point for me.
In six months, I predict the author will again think the LLM products of 6 month ago (now) were actually not very useful and didn’t live up to the hype.
If you ask different people the above question, and if you vary it based on type of task, or which human, you would get different answers. But as time goes on, more and more people would become impressed with what the human can do.
I don't know when LLMs will stop progressing, but all I know is they continue to progress at what is to me a similar astounding rate as to a growing child. For me personally, I never used LLMs for anything, and since o3 and Gemini 2.5 Pro, I use them all the time for all sorts of stuff.
You may be smarter than me and still not impressed, but I'd try the latest models and play around, and if you aren't impressed yet, I'd bet money you will be within 3 years max (likely much earlier).
In this context, never. Especially because the parent knows you will always ask 2+2 and can just teach the child to say “four” as their first and only word. You’ll be on to them, too.