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[return to "My AI skeptic friends are all nuts"]
1. davidc+K8[view] [source] 2025-06-02 22:01:46
>>tablet+(OP)
>If you were trying and failing to use an LLM for code 6 months ago †, you’re not doing what most serious LLM-assisted coders are doing.

Here’s the thing from the skeptic perspective: This statement keeps getting made on a rolling basis. 6 months ago if I wasn’t using the life-changing, newest LLM at the time, I was also doing it wrong and being a luddite.

It creates a never ending treadmill of boy-who-cried-LLM. Why should I believe anything outlined in the article is transformative now when all the same vague claims about productivity increases were being made about the LLMs from 6 months ago which we now all agree are bad?

I don’t really know what would actually unseat this epistemic prior at this point for me.

In six months, I predict the author will again think the LLM products of 6 month ago (now) were actually not very useful and didn’t live up to the hype.

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2. anxoo+0l[view] [source] 2025-06-02 23:17:25
>>davidc+K8
name 5 tasks which you think current AIs can't do. then go and spend 30 minutes seeing how current AIs can do on them. write it on a sticky note and put it somewhere that you'll see it.

otherwise, yes, you'll continue to be irritated by AI hype, maybe up until the point where our civilization starts going off the rails

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3. alison+du[view] [source] 2025-06-03 00:31:20
>>anxoo+0l
The problem with AI hype is not really about whether a particular model can - in the abstract - solve a particular programming problem. The problem with AI hype is that it is selling a future where all software development companies become entirely dependent on closed systems.

All of the state-of-the-art models are online models - you have no choice, you have to pay for a black box subscription service controlled by one of a handful of third-party gatekeepers. What used to be a cost center that was inside your company is now a cost center outside your company, and thus it is a risk to become dependent on it. Perhaps the risk is worthwhile, perhaps not, but the hype is saying that real soon now it will be impossible to not become dependent on these closed systems and still exist as a viable company.

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