zlacker

>>Tenoke+(OP)
Feels reasonable in the first few paragraphs, then quickly starts reading like science fiction.

Would love to read a perspective examining "what is the slowest reasonable pace of development we could expect." This feels to me like the fastest (unreasonable) trajectory we could expect.

>>ikerin+ya
The forecasts under "Research" are distributions, so you can compare the 10th percentile vs 90th percentile.

Their research is consistent with a similar story unfolding over 8-10 years instead of 2.