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1. beklei+hd[view] [source] 2025-04-03 17:12:26
>>Tenoke+(OP)
Older and related article from one of the authors titled "What 2026 looks like", that is holding up very well against time. Written in mid 2021 (pre ChatGPT)

https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/6Xgy6CAf2jqHhynHL/what-...

//edit: remove the referral tags from URL

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2. motoxp+Xh[view] [source] 2025-04-03 17:36:58
>>beklei+hd
That's incredible how much it broadly aligns with what has happened. Especially because it was before ChatGPT.
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3. Fairly+ng1[view] [source] 2025-04-03 23:30:55
>>motoxp+Xh
There's a pretty good summary of how well it has held up here, by the significance of each claim:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/u9Kr97di29CkMvjaj/evaluating...

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