zlacker

>>Tenoke+(OP)
Older and related article from one of the authors titled "What 2026 looks like", that is holding up very well against time. Written in mid 2021 (pre ChatGPT)

https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/6Xgy6CAf2jqHhynHL/what-...

//edit: remove the referral tags from URL

>>beklei+hd
That's incredible how much it broadly aligns with what has happened. Especially because it was before ChatGPT.

>>motoxp+Xh
There's a pretty good summary of how well it has held up here, by the significance of each claim:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/u9Kr97di29CkMvjaj/evaluating...