zlacker

>>modele+(OP)
AI is going to continue to have incremental progress, particularly now in hardware gains. No one can even define what AGI is or what it will look like, let alone be something that OpenAI would own? Features progress is too incremental to suddenly pop out with "AGI". Fighting about it seems a distraction.

>>okhuma+3k
Progress is definitely not inremental, it's exponential.

The same performance (training an LLM with a given perplexity) can be achieved 5x cheaper next year while the amount of money deep learning infrastructure gets increases exponentially right now.

If this method is able to get to AGI (which I believe but many people are debating), human intelligence will just be mostly ,,skipped'', and won't be a clear point.

>>xiphia+4U
how long do you think the "exponential" (that looks very linear to me) growth in funding can continue?

until it's more than US GDP? world GDP? universe GDP?

either way you're close to the point it will have to go logistic