Plugins were a failure. GPTs are a little better, but I still don't see the product market fit. GPT-4 is still king, but not by that much any more. It's not even clear that they're doing great research, because they don't publish.
GPT-5 has to be incredibly good at this point, and I'm not sure that it will be.
This isn’t a race to write the most lines of code or the most lines of text. It’s a race to write the most correct lines of code.
I’ll wait half an hour for a response if I know I’m getting at least staff engineer level tier of code for every question
I see how most people would prefer a better but slower model when price is equal, but I'm sure many prefer a worse $2/mo model over a better $20/mo model.
In LLMs it’s even worse. To make it concrete, for how I use LLMs I will not only not pay for anything with less capability than GPT4, I won’t even use it for free. It could be that other LLMs could perform well on narrow problems after fine tuning, but even then I’d prefer the model with the highest metrics, not the lowest inference cost.
LLM are not AGI, they are tools that have specific uses we are still discovering.
If you aren’t trying to optimize your accuracy to start with and just saying “I’ll run the most expensive thing and assume it is better” with zero evaluation you’re wasting money, time, and hurting the environment.
Also, I don’t even like running Mistral if I can avoid it - a lot of tasks can be done with a fine tune of BERT or DistilBERT. It takes more work but my custom BERT models way outperform GPT-4 on bounded tasks because I have highly curated training data.
Within specialized domains you just aren’t going to see GPT-4/5/6 performing on par with expert curated data.