The models could be incomplete, or obsolete
We had past long time ago the question if is happening or not. What I'm discussing is the "how fast" part.
The sub-question is if the war or wars if you prefer (You all know what I'm talking about) are causing the current wave of claims "I'm worried now but I was not worried yesterday"
I assume that the war is making it faster, but the effect of this particular factor could be temporal. Artifacts happen in science all the time. We don't know if war is a modifier (and in that case if would be a temporary or permanent modifier). I personally suspect that it has an impact. I could be wrong.
My comment was mean to point out that the scale of warming is far more intense than two conflicts would produce.
I really hope the recent acceleration in warming can be traced to industrial methane emissions that could be stopped.