It’s popular in the AI space to claim altruism and openness; OpenAI, Anthropic and xAI (the new Musk one) all have a funky governance structure because they want to be a public good. The challenge is once any of these (or others) start to gain enough traction that they are seen as having a good chance at reaping billions in profits things change.
And it’s not just AI companies and this isn’t new. This is art of human nature and will always be.
We should be putting more emphasis and attention on truly open AI models (open training data, training source code & hyperparameters, model source code, weights) so the benefits of AI accrue to the public and not just a few companies.
[edit - eliminated specific company mentions]
"string theory breakthrough to unify relativity and quantium mechanics"
"The future will have flying cars and robots helping in the kitchen by 2000"
"Agi is going to happen 'soon'"
We got a rocket that landed like it was out of a 1950's black and white B movie... and this time without strings. We got Star Trek communicators. The rest of it is fantasy and wishful thinking that never quite manages to show up...
Lacking a fundamental undemanding of what is holding you back from having the breakthrough, means you're never going to have the breakthrough.
Credit to the AI folks, they have produced insights and breakthroughs and usable "stuff" unlike the string theory nerds.
String theory is waste of time and has been for awhile now. The best and brightest couldn't make it map onto reality in any way, and now the next generation of best and brightest are working either on Wall Street or in Silicon Valley.
The robots are also coming sooner than we think. They won't be like Rosey from the Jetsons, but they'll get there.
AGI may or may not happen soon, it's too early to tell. True AGI is probably 100 years away or more. Lt. Cmdr. Data isn't coming any time soon. A half-ass approximation that "appears" mostly human in it's reasoning and interaction is probably 3-10 years off.
I hope it succeeds, but after decades of research there is still no demonstrable breakthrough in fusion (that outputs more energy than required as input)