zlacker

>>andsoi+(OP)
Contrarian prediction: OpenAI will be just fine.

The board will bring in an adult CEO who can balance the nonprofit charter with Microsoft and the commercial business, and who doesn't have a million side projects taking his or her focus away. Some employees will leave but the vast majority will stay for the usual reasons (i.e. inertia), the business will keep growing because ChatGPT is already a worldwide brand at this point and the vast majority of users don't give a hoot about any of this palace intrigue as long as the product works.

And the board will ultimately be vindicated for acting as fiduciaries for the nonprofit's mission and bylaws -- and not for the financial interests of Satya Nadella, Vinod Khosla, and the like.

>>roddyl+b4
If they don't get Altman back, Altman starts a new company AkshuallyOpenAI and most talent moves there. They quickly get the funding and the contracts with MS. OpenAI is left in the dust.

>>buffer+K4
You know, we are dealing with people and people think differently so they won't move altogether. Moving to a new company under Alt is not an easy choice, at least the new company:

- Does not yet have a big model (need $$$ and months to train, if code is ready)

- Does not have proprietary code OpenAI has right now

- Does not have labeled data ($$$ and time) and chatgpt logs

- Does not have ChatGpt brand...

>>azurez+q5
I thought GPT-4 was not trained on labeled data, but simply on a large volume of text / code. Most of it is publicly accessible: wikipedia, archives of scientific articles, books, github, plus probably purchased data from text-heavy sites like Reddit.

>>buffer+47
Whatever they've built this year presumably uses all the positive/negative feedback on ChatGPT that they have a year worth of data now...

Another examples is the Be My Eyes data - presumably the vision part of GPT-4 was trained on the archive of data the blind assistance app has, and that could be an exclusive deal with OpenAI.