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[return to "Emmett Shear becomes interim OpenAI CEO as Altman talks break down"]
1. roddyl+b4[view] [source] 2023-11-20 05:42:19
>>andsoi+(OP)
Contrarian prediction: OpenAI will be just fine.

The board will bring in an adult CEO who can balance the nonprofit charter with Microsoft and the commercial business, and who doesn't have a million side projects taking his or her focus away. Some employees will leave but the vast majority will stay for the usual reasons (i.e. inertia), the business will keep growing because ChatGPT is already a worldwide brand at this point and the vast majority of users don't give a hoot about any of this palace intrigue as long as the product works.

And the board will ultimately be vindicated for acting as fiduciaries for the nonprofit's mission and bylaws -- and not for the financial interests of Satya Nadella, Vinod Khosla, and the like.

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2. buffer+K4[view] [source] 2023-11-20 05:45:35
>>roddyl+b4
If they don't get Altman back, Altman starts a new company AkshuallyOpenAI and most talent moves there. They quickly get the funding and the contracts with MS. OpenAI is left in the dust.
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3. kumarv+N5[view] [source] 2023-11-20 05:51:55
>>buffer+K4
Yes, but data for the training, model development and other things requires a lot of time and investment, with OpenAI having a huge head start.

It is to be seen if investors will likely pour another set of billions of dollars, just to catch up to speed with OpenAI, which, by that time, would have even further evolved.

There is a ray of hope that, as it so happens in this field, that old things are quickly obsolete and new things are the cutting edge, Sam Altman can convince investors to invest in the cutting edge with him. Then investors have a choice on an almost level field, to choose between people, companies and personalities, for a given outcome.

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